Friday, July 22, 2011
Some much needed rain on the way..
After a week of hot temperatures, and yesterday's dry and windy weather.. things are getting parched in the Red river valley. Winnipeg has seen only 7 mm of rain this month, with many storms bypassing the city to the north, west or south of us. Finally though, it looks like a system moving through North Dakota Saturday will bring a widespread area of rain that should give Winnipeg and the RRV its first significant rainfall in a month. Showers and thunderstorms will develop over southeast SK and the western Dakotas later today into this evening then spread into SW Manitoba overnight. Precipitation is expected to move into Winnipeg and the RRV Saturday morning, with 10-20 mm possible by Saturday night. Embedded thunderstorms may give locally heavier rainfalls of 20-40 mm in some areas. The unsettled weather will move out Saturday night with drier weather by Sunday.
Posted by rob at 8:32 AM
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Quite the spread on the ensembles as to how much rain Winnipeg will see Saturday.. ranging anywhere from 5-40 mm. Ensemble mean is about 20 mm. A good indication that the precipitation will be heavily influenced by convection which models have a tough time with..ReplyDelete
SPC showing moderate risk of severe thunderstorms over western Dakotas and eastern MT for later this afternoon into this evening. High winds main threat along with large hail and small risk of tornadoes.ReplyDelete
Any Storm chances for the red river valley ? I haven't seen a good storm in years, I'm gonna give up sooner or later. It's a bummer of a summer. While at least we have the hot sunny weather we were wishing for all winter.ReplyDelete
Looks like a very large area of rain heading toward southern Manitoba! Surely we can't miss this one....ha right???ReplyDelete
Wow... Looks like a big time miss for us. Rain shield grazing US border with bulk of rain to the south. We may not see anything out of this!ReplyDelete
North Dakota sure doesn't want to share it's storms with us lately! I'm starting to think the barrier that surrounds Winnipeg has extended to the international border this time!ReplyDelete
Look on the bright side they haven't exactly shared Tornadoes/Snowstorms for a few years either.〠ReplyDelete
Rob was July 2006 the driest July on record, or was there even drier ones? We're starting to challenge some dry records.ReplyDelete
Yes, July 2006 is Winnipeg's driest July ever at 10.5 mm. We're indeed in record territory if we can continue to dodge these pcpn bullets.. but at this time of year, it doesn't take much to get a few extra mm.ReplyDelete
I wouldn't mind seeing a tornado and experiencing a good snowstorm while at the same time obviously not wanting peoples safety and livelihoods to be compromised :)ReplyDelete