Tuesday, October 04, 2011

Warm and windy Wednesday.. record breaking temperatures possible.

The summerlike conditions over southern Manitoba will continue Wednesday.. with even warmer temperatures expected. Gusty south to southeast winds up to 60 km/h will bring in unseasonably warm air from the Dakotas, with temperatures rising into the upper twenties over Winnipeg and the Red River valley. In fact, it's possible that some localities may touch the 30C mark Wednesday. In Winnipeg, a high of 28C is forecast which is very close to the day's record high of 28.3C set on Oct 5 1943. If Winnipeg hits 28C tomorrow, it will be the warmest October day in the city since Oct 1 1992 when we hit 30.5C. Note however that the record warmth will be accompanied by strong southerly winds up the valley which will gust to 60 km/h by afternoon. The unseasonably warm conditions, accompanied by low humidity and strong winds will create dangerous fire conditions.. and in fact a fire weather watch has been posted for the Red River valley in North Dakota.

8 comments:

  1. Nice balmy evening.. still 22C as of 8 pm. Not too often you get weather like that in October around here. Jets must feel like they're still in Atlanta! :)

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  2. Just give the Jets another few months and they will hopping on the next available "JET", after they get a slap in the face with a
    -30 C windchill.

    Mind you, they have at least seen snow before,so that won't be a major shock!

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  3. According to SHAW 48:
    8:00 in the evening:
    Winnipeg = 21 C
    Atlanta = 20 C

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  4. A low of only around 17C last night, we already have a good head start at trying to get that record of 28. 3 C today!

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  5. Latest NAM and RUC forecasting a high of 31C for Winnipeg today as 925 mb temps rise to 25C. If that indeed verifies, today would be Winnipeg's hottest October day ever (currently 30.5C in 1992) Personally I'm finding it hard to believe we could get that high.. but we'll see. SPC analysis does show bubble of 25-26C air at 925 mb over the RRV of ND with strong southerly flow all day. Winnipeg has hit 30C in October only 3 times since 1872.. Oct 1 1992 (30.5C), Oct 1 1922 (30.0C) and Oct 6 1879 (30.0C)

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  6. I cannot believe how quickly the temperatures is rising, even at your place Rob. 25C at your place at 11:40 am.

    Could you imagine with this setup and then add a more south Westerly direction with the wind which usually allows better mixing of some warmer air!

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  7. I for sure think we will surpass the record temperature of 28.3C set back in 1943 as we could possibly hit a high of 30C at most for winnipeg. Add that to the fact around this time last year our actual high temperature for today was 20.5C so we are indeed getting an extended period of warmth this october. Oh and there is a system that could cause trouble on friday with a potential risk for thunderstorms. Ill have more later.

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  8. 26C as of noon at the airport! That's even warmer than what the RUC and NAM were showing for this time. Today's 28.3C record looks like a sure thing.. next stop, the all time October high of 30.5C!

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