Saturday, November 10, 2012

Winter Storm Update

Snow has spread over southern MB this morning with the heaviest snow occurring through western MB and the interlake areas. As of  9 am, about 15 cm of snow has fallen through the Roblin/Dauphin areas, with 8 cm in Brandon, 5 cm in Portage and about 2-3 cm in Winnipeg. Snowfall drops off to a dusting south and east of Winnipeg where precipitation is mixing with freezing drizzle or ice pellets. Winnipeg will be on the edge of  heavier snow to the west and north today, and more intermittent light snow to our south and east. As such, the weather in Winnipeg today will vary between periods of light snow, and heavier bursts from time to time. In general, about 5-10 cm of snow is expected in Winnipeg today, with higher amounts of 10-20 cm to our north and west, and lighter amounts of 2-5 cm to our south and east.  For tonight the storm system will be tracking into northern Minnesota and NW Ontario, bringing another wave of heavier precipitation over southern MB. This could bring another 10-15 cm of snow to Winnipeg and the RRV overnight into Sunday morning before the snowfall tapers off. So we'll be dealing with this storm for the next 24-36 hours yet.. Overall, Winnipeg could see about 15-25 cm of snow from this system, with the heaviest snowfall over western MB into the interlake areas where 30-40 cm is possible by Sunday evening.

125 comments:

  1. Hey Rob will the bulk of the snow fall overnight then. Just trying to get an idea what will be the best time to send the machines out to the parking lots. Will sunday during the day just be occasional flurries or heavy snow as well. Or is it just to early to say.

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  2. Daryl, latest indications are that the worst of the storm will hit us tonight where 10-20CM+ is possible.

    we will continue to see periods of light snow with heavier bands of snow from time to time through the rest of this morning into this afternoon with 5-10cm expected.

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  3. Getting freezing drizzle in many parts of the city right now...this will make roads even more slick. caution is certainly a must today when travelling on these roads.

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  4. Daryl.. Based on latest guidance, I would say the potential for the heaviest snowfall for us would be between midnight tonight and noon Sunday. Then it should be light snow/flurries in the afternoon with another shot of some accumulations possible Sunday night (2-5 cm) as another trof swings through. I think there will definitely be a window to clean things up Sunday afternoon, but there might be a little more snow Sunday night to deal with.

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  5. Looks like pretty decent band of snow falling in northwest part of city right now otherwise not elsewhere and looking at latest radar imageries not much south and southwest of winnipeg either.

    Rob, do you think it's a stretch to think that even 5-10 cm of will this afternoon here in the Peg?

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  6. 3.8 cm River Park South so far. Took a few measurements in the yard and averaged them.

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  7. 4.5 cm at my place as of noon.. looking at radar, doesn't look like too much more this afternoon unless things fill in suddenly. So we'll likely be on the low end of that 5-10 cm estimate for today.

    If we don't get that heavy shot tonight, this storm will be a major bust for Winnipeg.

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  8. So far, 3.5 cm of snow in the Island Lakes area of Southeast Winnipeg. Also perhaps a mm or so of Freezing Drizzle.

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  9. I agree with you on that Rob. But it would not be surprising to me that this become a bust because quite frankly there even isn't a whole lot in North Dakota right now either which almost makes you wonder what happened to this colorado low.

    Note that it wouldn't be the first time in 2012 that a well advertised storm event becomes nothing more than talk. Let's go back to June 9,212..everyone remember that day when a well advertised supposed tornado outbreak was expected in Southern Manitoba and well we waited for this event that never was.

    So it wouldn't suprise me that this become a bust either because as I mentioned it's happened at least once already this year with a well advertised storm event..who knows, though..this storm could still hit us good tonight.

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  10. **correction** June 9th,2012 not June 9,212

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  11. Still early people

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  12. The Prairie and Arctic SPC discussion from 2:00 indicates that intense frontogenesis is likely over Winnipeg tonight as the storm moves into Northern Minnesota.. this folks, should result into some bigtime snowfall overnight into tomorrow with 20CM perhaps.

    Rob, what's your opinion on this, do you think the big snow will happen tonight in the Peg?

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  13. Latest radar imagery shows band on developing, possibly moderate snow roughly around Portage southward that appears to headed our way in the next little while...maybe more snow coming in later this afternoon.

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  14. Check that, that band of snow is actually moving northeastward from the Morden area to Portage and will not likely make it's way here to Winnipeg unless things suddenly fill in.

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  15. Well this blows, or lack of snow doing so! Guess ill put the sled back. :(

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  16. I'm not willing to give up on this storm just yet. Still have some hope that we'll see some good snow moving in tonight.. issue is how widespread it will be. If it's a relatively narrow band, then there's a greater chance of it missing Winnipeg. If it's more widespread, a better chance of seeing snow. Unfortunately, we can't say for sure until we see it developing on radar.. which makes it more of a nowcast than a forecast. But sometimes, that's the best we can do..

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  17. Rob, I know the heaviest snow was expected to be north and west of winnipeg today but what happened to snow that was supposed to occur here in winnipeg thru the day?

    wasn't expecting a quiet period like we've seen here this afternoon.

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  18. A few things -

    First time I have ever seen the term frontogenesis used in an focn45 lol.. first time for everything I guess.

    Dry slot from lead disturbance has pushed in nicely. The first low is sitting over Huron S Dakota with a pressure of 1000 mb - further west than models were indicating. Southern Minnesota basking in a tropical type warm sector with temps in the low to mid twenties and td's in the low teens.

    Later tonite, energy consolidates around main Colorado low which models show will generate another round of forcing. Question are how widespread precipitation will be NW of the low as ROb mentioned, with some models like RGEM, GGEM, UKMET showing more elevated convection developing over S Minnesota on the LLJ - cutting off moisture supply to frontogenetic band. Track of the low is also in question, NAM remains slightly further east in Minnesota compared to Canadian models.

    Daniel

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  19. 18Z GEM-REG and NAM both still indicate significant snow this evening.

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  20. Interesting indeed. Looks like Minneapolis broke a record high today. Got up to near 21°C so far today with just a few clouds and dewpoint of 13°C. Old record of 19°C in 1930, according to Intellicast. Darn, we're just a days drive from tropical air!

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  21. Yeah, looks like yet another well advertised storm event is gonna turn out too be nothing more than talk...another bust. all too familiar in 2012. Many well advertised storm events that becoming nothing more than talk. gee, if we would've had all these storms that we we're supposedly expected to be affected by, we'd be talking about 2012 being one of the stormiest years on record.

    Because of the frequency of bad calls when it comes to these supposed storms... i hear alot of people that simply don't take the forecasts seriously....reason for that: "oh yeah, we've heard this before in 2012 and we are still waiting for that supposed major storm".

    Let's the face it, we are not in that kind of weather pattern and haven't been thus far in 2012. To tell you the truth, i am not suprised that so far this has been a bust here and would be very surprised like i think many you would be as well if we do indeed receive alot of snow tonight...because like Daniel mentioned with the elevated convection in S. Minnesota on the LLJ, is likely gonna cut off our moisture source.

    we'll see what happens but i'd say it's a long shot for major snowfall tonight.

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  22. Radar sure beginning to fill in nicely south and southwest of Winnipeg...could this be the real deal....we'll see

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  23. Hey 4:23 Anonymous,

    Did you check the radar before shooting your mouth off?

    You might want to do that.

    B

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  24. LOL. I'm glad someone said it.

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  25. Referring to Anon 4:39 that is. Anon 4:23 - I'd love to hear exactly what kind of "weather pattern" we ARE in. Please elaborate.

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  26. Hey anonymous 4:39,

    Just going by what we've seen this so far and yeah i've noticed the radar but like Daniel indicated it's still up in the air as to how long and how much moisture we will see.

    I could be wrong, and hey I'd be glad to be wrong...cause like many people i'm all for the snow...can't wait to get the snowmobile going...just hope this isn't a disappointment like last winter.

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  27. Hey anonymous 4:47,

    there's now denying that we've been in a much drier weather pattern in the last year and half or so....many systems have been missing us particularly in the summer and look at last winters snowfall....almost none all winter...not that hard to figure out.

    Like i said i'm hoping to be wrong with this one...i'm all for the snow. I was just stating some facts about 2012 thus far.

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  28. **correction** no denying and not now denying

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  29. Southern MB is at the northern edge of the American drought. However applying that "pattern" to any single event to predict it will produce less precipitation than forecast is not how it works.

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  30. Nice band trying to set up right thru Winnipeg this evening. High resolution models.. especially HRRR show this band weakening and drifting off around 10-11 pm in response to a blossoming area of elevated convection along the back edge of the LLJ and low level trough over western Minnesota.

    Snowfall will depend on duration/ evolution of this band... we'll have to see how convection starts developing south of us over the next while.

    Daniel

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  31. Hey anonymous 5:13, i am well aware of that however nobody can deny that these situations of big storms has presented many times in 2012 and thus far none have really materialized at least here anyway. That doesn't usually happen in a wet year. look at 2010 we we're in more of a wetter pattern and it seemed like nothing was missing us. i'm not saying it won't this time because it really does appear now that we are in the real deal as far as the snow goes. keep the snow coming...love it.

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  32. There you go, Daniel has explained in his 5:24 post exactly was i trying to say...I agree totally with that statement Daniel. How bad this storm gets is still very much up in the air.

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  33. Even getting some thunderstorm activity along the Ontario border right now.
    Snowing pretty good in the city right now too..

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  34. Shortwave now visible in Central South Dakota should track northward along the baroclinic zone and further intensify snowfall over the Red River Valley later this evening. Curious how much snow has fallen in Portage, seems like a band of snow has been there all day.

    Dan

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  35. Yeah Dan, I've noticed that as well. It seems everytime i've looked at the radar Portage seems to be stuck under the heavier snow.

    Dan or Rob, with the above mentioned shortwave which is expected to intensify the snow over RRV, how much snow could Winnipeg receive out out that?

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  36. Put a name/username/anything that can be used to reference and reply too, for goodness sake! :p All these anon posts and replies are making my head hurt, haha.

    Back to the weather...does it look like our ice pellets/freezing drizzle threat has passed in Winnipeg? I noticed around 4:30ish it was sleety at the south perimeter. After 5, it all switched over to heavy snow.

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  37. Another Dan? gimme a break. That was not my posting btw. Band is slowly lifting NW and snow should eventually start tapering off here. As stated before, high resolution models like RUC and HRRR show the band weakening later tonite.

    Area of convection blossoming over Nebraska and S Dakota. This area of tstrom and showers is forming in an area of moisture convergence between the back of the LLJ and low level trough.

    The northern edge will switch to snow and may brush far SE Manitoba as it moves into Ontario.

    DANIEL

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  38. Oh wow another Dan, weird. Anyways, Daniel, so basically this is pretty much it for the snow here in Winnipeg and RRV tonight?

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  39. Given model projections and current radar trends my best guess is yes, we are done with the heavier stuff this evening. Difficult to entirely rule out the possibility of another stray band firing up, but with convection starting to our south the coverage/intensity shouldn't be as great.

    Best chance for more precip will be if we get brushed by that region of tstrms over S Dakota and Nebraska later overnight.. but better chances over SE Manitoba and NW Ontario I would think.

    Daniel

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  40. wow...not much of a storm for Winnipeg.

    Daniel, is this the result of the storm track having been further west than expected and would you anticipate E.C. to drop the winter storm warning for us sometime this evening as a result?

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  41. Anonymous..

    Yeah, most of the forcing ended up to our NW.. with us being influenced by the dry slot and freezing drizzle/occasional sleet.

    I can't speak for EC, but I doubt they will cancel the warning locally. With potential for more precipitation off to our NW and also over SE Manitoba later tonite.. they will likely avoid getting too cute and favor more a broad-brush approach. These big systems are complex and have a lot of moving parts.. there is always some degree of uncertainty where exactly the heaviest precipitation will set up.

    Daniel

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  42. Ya no kidding, and looks like Portage is taking what Winnipeg was supposed to get... Itching to hear amounts from there.

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  43. I don't think the storm is done...pretty clear shortwave now moving into ND...at least one more heavy shot of snow for Winnipeg this evening. Wouldn't be surprised to see at least another 10 cm on top of what we have now.

    Dan (not Daniel) :)

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  44. I figured that, but like you mentioned you never know, we may still see some snow overnight.

    Daniel, looking down the road are there any signals of possible storm systems for us, let's say over the next 2 weeks or so?

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  45. Daniel, do you agree with Dan's 7:31 post?

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  46. Some amounts are in at least; Ashern at 30 cm, Roblin 25 cm... But what strikes me is Regina at 30 cm.. If things don't get stormier here, we will have come out lucky compared to all the other big cities in the Prairies.

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  47. I've picked up another 3.5 cm since 5 pm at my place.. 8.5 cm storm total as of 7:15 pm. As others have mentioned, a quasi-stationary band of heavy snow through Portage likely dropping 2-3 cm/hr through that area. RGEM hinted at that narrow band, but had it over Winnipeg instead of YPG. That band will give a heavier axis of snowfall from the western RRV to Interlake area.

    Things have weakened a bit over us now, but echoes continue to pop up to our south and southwest, including over eastern ND, so I think we still have a chance of picking up another 5 to perhaps 10 cm tonight. I don't think we're out of the woods until that upper low moves by us tomorrow morning.

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  48. Re Dan..

    As I stated, cannot rule out the possibility of another band, particularly before 10 or 11 PM.. Another 10 cm? .. I doubt it considering we got 3 or 4 from the last burst (Rob did you get a chance to measure?).

    Re Anon..

    I haven't had a chance to look at the long range models.

    Daniel

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  49. Didn't refresh the page before I posted..

    Daniel

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  50. 7.3 cm here in River Park South, measured it 10 minutes ago.

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  51. Call it overestimating, but I really do believe Winnipeg will get another 10-15 cm before it is all said and done tonight. Bands keep filling in to our south and moving in.

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  52. Appreciate the updated snowfall reports from everyone.. keep them coming. Really wish we had someone from Portage telling us how much they're getting in that heavy band!

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  53. Rob,

    Looking at the long range, are there any signals of possible storm systems for us down the road let's say next 2 weeks or so?

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  54. Agree with Dan (oppose Daniel), storm will continue for most of the night.

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  55. Snow mixing with ice pellets again here in Charleswood..

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  56. Yeah, It's like that here as well in Windsor Park?

    Rob, this must there's still warmer air aloft, right?

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  57. Back to straight snow again.. coming down heavier. Visibility dropping. Close to 10 cm here now..

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  58. Rob, do you think a good dump of snow is still possible tonight in the Peg?

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  59. Now up to just over 9 cm in River Park South. Wow is it ever accumulating right now though..

    JJ

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  60. Folks, here it is...really snowing now and visibilities very poor

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  61. Visibility at the airport now reported as 3/8 mile in moderate snow, lowest vsby so far for this event. Accumulating quickly. Radar suggests at least a few more hours of snow on tap.

    Dan

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  62. looking almost like blizzard outside now.

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  63. Narrow, but stubborn band of moderate to heavy snow has set up from Altona thru Winnipeg as the band over the western RRV has weakened.

    HRRR and RUC still suggest dry slot.. which right now is just to our SE(from Landmark to Morris) will back in, but now delay it 2 hours. Very tough forecast, all depending on the exact track of the low coming up thru Minnesota and when the dry slot pushes in again.

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  64. Wow it just got so much worse here right now in south end. You can't even see 100 metres away, you can only see lights futher than that.

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  65. Snowfall is so bad at the moment that I could barely see down the assiniboine river when I was driving down the charleswood bridge. And can barely see down my street, its still like that out there. It's insane out there, hope it lasts overnight.

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  66. 1/4 mile in heavy snow now at CYWG. Satellite suggests dry slot will miss Winnipeg with snow continuing most of the night. Jet streak appears to be moving through the eastern Dakotas (Note rapidly developing NNE-SSW lines of cloud). This source of lift resulting in rapid mid-cloud development upsteam of us - I think we may be surprised by the amount of snow on the ground Sunday morning.

    Dan

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  67. Wow.. just took another measurement as of 10 pm. Another 10 cm since 5 pm, 15 cm storm total. About 5 cm in the past hour alone! Really coming down, but didn't realize it was accumulating so quickly. At this rate we'll be getting our 25 cm easy!

    GFK radar shows upper low approaching Grand Forks.. moving north towards southern MB. That should support some decent snow over us for the next 3 or 4 hours before it starts winding down overnight as upper low passes by.

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  68. 14 cm here now, almost 6 cm in the past hour. Starting to slow down as of now, visibility improving.

    JJ

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  69. Another 3 cm since 10 pm.. up to 18 cm now at my place. As JJ noted.. snow is easing off, but I see some stronger echoes popping up south of Gretna that may clip us again in an hour or so. Whew! Never had so many meteorologists owed so much credibility on so few hours of snow! (with apologies to Churchill)

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  70. Main source of lift for heavy snow band is strong but narrow region of frontogenesis at 700 hPa.. that has been moving north with that band. Satellite show good area of lower cloud tops over eastern N Dakota moving north as well. More development along the back edge of that frontogenic band, where as Rob mentioned that upper low is twisting up from the south.

    Daniel

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  71. Daniel,

    Do you this heavier snow over Winnipeg lasting a few more hours before slowly easing?

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  72. TransCanada closed from Headingley to Brandon.

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  73. Just got a report tweeted to me of 37 cm in Portage La Prairie!!

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  74. Geez and another heavy snow is approaching... Can't imagine how it must be like there right now.

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  75. Wow, that's a lot of snow...but not surprising given the seemingly never ending band heavy snow that basically stalled over that area all day.

    Rob, do you think that with more heavy snow coming Winnipeg could reach 30CM after all or more 25CM or so?

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  76. Wow......Will be busy shoveling snow tomorrow morning.

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  77. I'm close to 20 cm as of 11 pm.. if we get that next heavy burst, we'll likely hit 25 cm... 30 is possible if it persists for a couple hours.

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  78. Models indicate precipitation should lift north eventually.. but there is another ominous blob of returns coming up from N Dakota, likely associated with the upper low that will pass thru.. giving another shot of snow. Hopefully we'll be done by 1 or 2 in the morning. Looks like it effects will extend further east than the last rounds.

    Daniel

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  79. At 17 cm here, snow has pretty much completely stopped for a few minutes now. Done for the night, so looking foreward to the morning to see how much has fallen!

    JJ

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  80. Thanks for your reports JJ.. check back with us in the morning!

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  81. Looking at latest radar, it sure seems like that next heavy burst will hit us in winnipeg and seems more widespread as opposed to the narrow bands we have seen to this point.

    I am up to 17 cm here at my place Windsor Park.

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  82. Rob, Based on latest indications and radar how long do you think the next band of heavy that's coming will last over winnipeg?

    Also, any possibilities that a heavier band within this blob of snow will setup and stall over winnipeg for a while giving even higher snow rates?

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  83. Judging by radar, looks like the next batch of heavier snow should last 2-3 hours if it holds together. Should be here within the next half hour and be with us through 2-3 am. This next batch may not be quite as heavy as the one this evening, but it should still give us decent rates of 2-3 cm/hr, unless it weakens. Once that goes through, that should be the bulk of our snowfall as the upper low drifts past us overnight. Could see some light accumulations Sunday into Sunday night, but the bulk of it should be over by Sunday morning.

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  84. By the way, I'm up to 19 cm as of midnight.

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  85. So, that could still give us another 5-10 cm. Could be definately close to that 30CM by morning.

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  86. Rob, looking at long range, are there any signals of potential storms that could affect us let's say over the next 2 to 3 weeks or so?

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  87. Narrow banding showing up yet again in that area of precipitation as stubborn area of frontogenesis has stalled out. Could easily be up to 30+ cm by morning depending on those bands. More like 15-20 cm for areas SE of Winnipeg though that missed the earlier line.

    Daniel

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  88. Anonymous.. I haven't really looked much at the long range since I've been so focused on this weekend's storm. Looking at some basic guidance, there doesn't appear to be any hints of a major storm for us over the next week or so, but after that.. can't really say at this point.

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  89. We'll the next round is here and as Daniel mentioned we could get to or close to the 30CM with what appears to be another one of those narrow bands within the main snow blob.

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  90. By the way, the center of the main low tonight is near Bemidji MN heading towards International Falls. So a scenario 2 storm was correct after all.. although this thing behaved more like a hybrid 2 and 3 storm. Tough system to forecast..

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  91. Yeah, definately an interesting storm system this one. We seem to be getting the bulk of our snow tonight and despite not having much snow through the day we may still get to or close to the 30CM. Either way, this ain't gonna melt anytime soon, that's for sure.

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  92. Yeah, I was hoping for a little bit further west track for the main system, after the initial low ended up well into S Dakota. But that scenario 2 path for the parent low allowed zone of deformation and frontogenesis to slump SE and clobber us tonite.

    Daniel

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  93. That's it for me.. will check back again in the morning!

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  94. Daniel, Was there any hints of that possibly happening on what has unfolded here tonight?

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  95. In Island Lakes in southeast Winnipeg 16 cm snow.

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  96. It just really came down to the path of main low and upper feature.. with a more westerly track the precipitation would have remained over the western RRV where it resided earlier during the day. Plus some bad luck with that narrow band that dumped 10 cm in 2 hours.

    We'll have to wait for the snow totals, but we will likely see a sharp gradient in accumulations to our SE.. especially past Steinbach (where the snow is letting up now). Its difficult to anticipate shifts of 40-50 km..

    Daniel

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  97. Weird...heavier snow west north south and east of winnipeg and even in western and north parts of the city but in eastern part of the city snow is much lighter...very strange indeed...does not seem like this band is holding together to provide heavier snow thus no chance i'd say for 30cm now.

    Would you agree with that, Daniel?

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  98. Looks like about another hour's worth before back edge of this mess lifts north of the city. We'll see if another embedded band flares up, if not.. we'll probably fall short of 30.

    Daniel

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  99. Either way certainly a pretty decent snowfall that likely won't be melting anytime soon.

    We'll see just how much more does fall by morning...judging by the latest doesn't look like much more will fall but we'll see.

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  100. For those who were interested in the amount of snow Portage received, I found a time lapse of the past 24 hours. Click on my name for the link to it.

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  101. How much snow there is in Winnipeg now?

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  102. Based on the snow depth chart from the NAM output on SpotWX, it's just under 20 cm for the city. At least that's what I could find quickly.

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  103. As of 4am EC said Winnipeg had 21cm.

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  104. 1 block south of the airport I measured 25 cm accumulation this morning.

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  105. Storm total of 22 cm at my place in Charleswood. Took several measurements back and front of the house, very consistent.. 17 cm last night after the 5 cm yesterday.

    Report of 24 cm in Linden Woods, so 20-25 cm looks like a pretty solid number for much of the city, a little less for eastern parts.

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  106. An average of 18.1 cm on the ground here Rob (River Park South). Like you I went all across the yard and averaged.
    When did you measure that 22 cm was it like just 30 min ago or was it middle of the night? I wonder if the snow settled a bit or blew around a bit here, as I just measured 10 min ago.

    JJ

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  107. JJ.. Mine was an 8 am observation. That was after some settling with the stuff last night.

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  108. More snow reports available from COCORAHS.. click on my name for link. Click on "Station number" column to sort all the MB reports.

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  109. 22.5 cm reported in St Boniface..

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  110. In Island Lakes, southeast corner of the city, to 8:00 AM:

    total snowfall amount 18 cm

    also about 1 mm of Freezing drizzle Yesterday morning.

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  111. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  112. About 18 cm here in south Winnipeg (Pembina and Bishop). I think the forecasters did a pretty good job at nailing this system despite what some people have said. Wasn't the average guess in the poll 17 cm with the second highest guess 20-25 cm which is exactly what most of Winnipeg got?

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  113. Getting some Cooltap numbers in.. Jackpot winner goes to Mafeking between Swan River and The Pas at 65 cm!! Yorkton had 40-45 cm.

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  114. CoCoRaHS observer in Lorette had EXTREMELY wet snow!

    New Snow Depth: 4.0 inches
    New Snow Water Equivalent: 4.90 inches

    Wetter than pure water! LOL. This error isn't too unusual as it happens from long-time US observers as well. Just an oops, and no QA/QC in place to catch it.

    Other locations have reasonable values however. Interesting to browse them.

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  115. Well it took a big snowstorm to finally get some sunshine! Sunny break out there this morning!

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  116. The Manitou CoCoRaHS observer did the same thing:
    New Snow Depth: 4.5 inches
    New Snow Water Equivalent: 5.00 inches
    but also:
    Total Precip Amount: 0.96 inches

    A few others in MB and ND have strange values, so use with caution.

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  117. That was a fairly significant snowfall last night, I was hoping for it to remain quite heavy like last evening. I guess I ran out of luck, hoping for lots more over the coming weeks! anyways grand storm total at my place in St.James on Beaverbend Cres this morning is around 8.5 to 9 inches which is near 22 to 23cm. Not bad, we have had worse though that's for sure!

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  118. 12 noon snow on the ground in East Charleswood 23 cm. (Average of 3 locations in shelthered back yard.)

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  119. Do you think we'll get another 4cm tonight.

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  120. The forecast verified relatively well for the city, however not so well for areas just to the SE with those 10 cm reports. Even with a type 2 track that the storm took, the models overestimated precipitation and snow for the eastern RRV and SE Manitoba. Had the track of the storm been 50 km further west, it would have been a bust for the city.

    With the edge of the deeper snowpack not that far to our south and east, it will hopefully allow us to warm up more than would usually be the case with ~ 20 cm of snow on the ground. Although would be very difficult for it to all melt barring significant rains or above average temperatures.

    Daniel

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  121. That snow is heavy.. thank goodness for the snowblower. Actually a beautiful day out there with the crisp white snow, sunshine and comfortable temperatures. If winter was like this all the time, it wouldn't be so bad!

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  122. My wife's saying we got more snow in the last 24 hours than we got all of last winter. After shovelling the driveway for 5 hours, it feels like she's right! I'm getting too old to do that! What were the stats on last year's snow totals? Anyone. Chris in Westwood.

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  123. Looks like we'll have to cope with some snowsqualls off lake Manitoba now. Just entering the city now.

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  124. Chris..

    Only 71 cm all of last winter.. and there was only one snowfall that was greater than 10 cm within 24 hrs, that was a measly 12 cm on March 1-2nd. So yes, this was certainly a lot more snow than anything we saw last year!

    New storm summary post up!

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