Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Mild weather to continue through next week
Above normal temperatures ares expected to continue over southern MB through the weekend and into next week.. possibly through the end of the week. Long range models are indicating no major push of Arctic air over the next 7-10 days, which means mild Pacific arimasses will dominate the Prairies over the next week. After a slightly cooler day today, daily high temperatures will be in the 0 to -3 range in the Red River valley, with above freezing temperatures at times in the favoured downslope areas and treed areas. Stock up on the wiper fluid!
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Rob
ReplyDeleteIs the term Bonspiel Thaw in the Lexicon of time honored descriptive Weather terms or has it expired. Its recent absence might help explain why many of us thought EC had left Winnipeg
Rob!
ReplyDeleteYou would not happen to know who runs the "U of M weather central" website???
That is a very useful website with all the weather info us weather nuts need!!!!
Places in the valley off to our south look to have finally reached above zero last nite and early today but not us. Temp trends will be trciky tonite with south flow developing and clouds moving in near dawn.. look for temps to rise towards morning.
ReplyDeleteNAM once again giving us SW flow all tomorrow.. at this point I am not buying it. These things are really bimodal it would seem ('all or nothing').. there has to be a threshold windspeed for flow to flip into SW mode down to surface.
Saturday looks very warm over american RRV as well defined westerly flow takes over by later in afternoon. Problem for us is that we will be on the northern periphery of 850 hPa thermal ridge with temps just above zero aloft. I am guessing we will struggle again to crest above zero.. but I definitely see +2/3 C possible even with the deep snowcover at Grand Forks on Saturday... too bad for GF Dan haha.
I agree. On Saturday that is our best shot at getting just above 0C here in GF as winds turn west in the afternoon. Fortunately one day and then back down. Havent seen any snowmelt yet. Still couldnt walk around much in the yard if I wanted too.
ReplyDeleteIs that line of almost +0C Southern Mb communities Winkler, Treherne, Pierson,and Boissevain moving NE.
ReplyDelete+4 C for Winnipeg tomorrow!!!!
ReplyDeleteWould that be a record????
Yes, looks like Winnipeg/RRV will finally punch above the freezing point Saturday. Good SW-WSW flow developing which should finally flush out the remaining subfreezing air in the valley and tap some of that above freezing air to the west. +2 or +3C looks like a good bet for Winnipeg.
ReplyDeleteAs for today, we stay with a southerly valley wind, so that 0C line over western RRV will not push much further east today. You have to look at Grand Forks temperature instead of Portage to see what kind of air is moving over Winnipeg.
Record high for Winnipeg tomorrow (16th) is +3.9C in 1961. We'll come close!
ReplyDeleteRemember last January when we got VERY STRONG winds!!!
ReplyDelete100 km/h at the airport!!
Is there any chance that could play out again tomorrow with that strong system passing us to the north??
Winds in Winnipeg/RRV becoming SW this afternoon.. looks like we'll go above the freezing mark today after all!
ReplyDelete+1C in Steinbach so far today. We might reach a bit higher if the winds shifts (currently S).
ReplyDeleteThe shock of +C has frozen the OBS site at 12:10pm.
ReplyDeleteWouldn't U know, leaving tomorrow for 2wks to travel amazing distance south for similar temps. I leave U with a Dan P wish for Dan GFK weather .
Models are showing a very interesting scenario for next weekend.
ReplyDeleteThe GFS brings a massive low pressure system up into the northern plains, with precipitation starting as rain, then changing to snow (think of it as a more powerful version of the November 2008 storm). It could cause problems similar to the Feb 09 storm - although the ground won't be as cold as it was then. The models have maintained a strong system moving into the northern plains for some time now, so I will be quite curious to see whether or not it stays in the forecast.
+5 C in Portage La Prairie already and it's only 11:00 am
ReplyDeleteWHOA!!
I am reading +4.1C at 2:44pm. If CYWG is reading the same, we have hit a new record high for 16 Jan.
ReplyDelete3.9 C at the Winnipeg airport as of 3:00 pm!
ReplyDeleteSomeone bring a blow torch to the airport so we can get the record!
It's time to bring out the shorts and sandals out there today, that sun feels really nice! Maybe some sun tan lotion wouldn't be a bad idea neither =Þ!
ReplyDeleteHowever you wish to enjoy this weather, just enjoy it before it's gone. =D
Did Winnipeg break the record today???
ReplyDeleteMaximum of +4.1C at Winnipeg airport today, beating the previous record high for the 16th of +3.9C in 1961. Even warmer at the Forks with a high of +5.6C. MB hot spot was Portage at 6.5C. Beautiful mid January day!
ReplyDeleteDaniel P-
ReplyDeleteI'm the guy who runs weather Central. My name's Dave and I work with Rob from time to time. :)