Tuesday, November 28, 2006
Saturday, November 25, 2006
Wednesday, November 22, 2006
Tuesday, November 21, 2006
By the way, it was kind of funny to watch all those football fans dressed up in parkas and toques for last night’s Monday night football game in Jacksonville Florida. Temperature at game time was a bone-chilling PLUS 8C! Brrrr! ;) (I know, I know.. that’s cold for Florida.. but still, it’s amazing what you get used to..)
Sunday, November 19, 2006
Friday, November 17, 2006
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
Well, it's becoming virtually unanimous that the weather should be just about ideal for Sunday's Grey Cup in Winnipeg. All models are indicating dry conditions for the game, with generally clear skies and near to above freezing temperatures at game time. The only question mark is the winds.. will they be light or gusty? Earlier models were indicating the potential for strong southerly winds developing by game time Sunday evening, however the latest models now delay these strongest winds until Monday (and by then they could be very strong.. perhaps 50 to 70 km/h). As a result, winds should be fairly light for the game Sunday evening which would make conditions more comfortable for players and fans alike. The good news is that no snow is expected through Sunday so snow and ice will not be a factor to contend with.
Rob's updated Grey Cup forecast..
Mainly clear skies. No precipitation. Dry field conditions. Sunday afternoon high near +4C falling to 0C at game time. Winds light.
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Well, it’s looking increasingly likely that the weather should be nearly ideal for Sunday’s Grey Cup in
Rob’s Grey Cup outlook..
Partly cloudy skies, no precipitation, game time temperature near +3C remaining steady through the evening. Gusty south winds 30 to 50 km/h. Wind chill -2C.
I will update this forecast as the week goes on with any new information that becomes available.
Sunday, November 12, 2006
Well it looks like the system that was threatening snow for us by Tuesday is going to track further north, bringing accumulating snow to central MB and not much south. The storm track has been bringing most systems and snowfall through central MB over the past week, and it looks like this trend will continue this week. As result, Winnipeg may stay snow free all week, and possibly through Grey Cup weekend. In fact, at this point, Grey Cup Sunday is looking pretty good in Winnipeg with long range ensembles pointing to a good chance of dry weather, along with temperatures of between 0 and -5c for game time. Let's see if that forecast holds as we get closer to the weekend.
By the way, I've added links to the NAEPS ensemble map products recently added to EC's weatheroffice page. This is a joint forecast system between Canada, the US and Mexico to come up with more accurate (or perhaps less inaccurate is a better way of saying it) and more consistent long range forecasts over North America. They have some interesting products and charts which may provide a little more insight into how the weather may (or may not) evolve over the next couple of weeks. These EPS product links are found under Rob's Obs "maps" and "forecasts" drop down menus.
Wednesday, November 08, 2006
After three days of mild weather, plus some rain and drizzle, the 10-15 cm pre-Halloween snowfall has pretty much disappeared in Winnipeg. Generally, a 10 cm snow base at the end of October stays for the winter, however three days of above freezing temperatures (including staying above freezing at night) has given us a reprieve from the permanent snow cover and icy roads. No significant accumulating snow is expected in the Winnipeg area over the next few days and through the weekend, but then some long range models are indicating the potential for an Alberta clipper system bringing some accumulating snow to Southern MB by next Tuesday or Wednesday. So enjoy the sight of those bare lawns while you can.. It's only a matter of time before they disappear again!
Sunday, November 05, 2006
Ahhh.. feels just like spring out there today.. +5C and snow melting everywhere.. Note those 10-13C temperatures in Saskatchewan this afternoon. We should stay mild through Wednesday before cooling off a little by the end of the week. Maybe this early snowfall will melt away after all!! (although we probably would need some rain to get rid of it completely..)
Friday, November 03, 2006
Models are indicating a break in the cold weather that has persisted over the eastern Prairies over the past few days. In fact,
Relief is expected beginning this weekend as a more zonal flow overspreads the Prairies, bringing in milder Pacific air from the west. In fact, temperatures in southern AB are forecast to hit 20c by Monday! In
Wednesday, November 01, 2006
..SUMMERY START.. WINTERY FINISH..
One can say that Winnipeg transitioned from summer through fall into winter during October 2006, all within 4 short weeks. The month began on a sunny and warm note with temperatures soaring to a balmy 27C on the 1st. The first week of October was mild with temperatures in the mid to upper teens, and generally sunny skies. The transition to fall occurred over the Thanksgiving weekend, when a warm start to the holiday of 24C on the Saturday (8th) plunged to the low teens by Sunday and Monday. That would be the end of 20 degree temperatures in Winnipeg, and in fact, temperatures struggled to even reach double digits most of the remainder of the month as a below normal temperature pattern finally became established over the eastern Prairies... the first time since May that a prolonged stretch of below normal temperature had occurred in Winnipeg. The cold unsettled weather brought the season's first snowfall to the city on the 10th when rain changed to wet snow in the afternoon giving 1 or 2 cm accumulation. A deep low pressure system over Northwestern Ontario brought strong northwesterly winds to Southern Manitoba on the night of the 12th into the 13th, with wind gusts to 80 km/h producing window damage in downtown Winnipeg. Generally cool and unsettled conditions continued through the 23rd with occasional minor snowfalls before a couple of mild pleasant late fall days from the 25th to 27th. That would prove to be the last of the pleasant fall weather however as a storm system over North Dakota brought the season's first significant snowfall to Southern Manitoba on the 30th with 10 to 15 cm of snow in the Winnipeg area. This resulted in the deepest snowcover for Halloween in many years.. likely since 1972.
Overall the month averaged about 1.2 degrees below normal at my location (1.8 degrees below at Winnipeg airport) marking the first below normal calendar month this year since February. Precipitation totaled 27 mm at my location.. with 8 mm of rain and 19 cm of snow. Average October precipitation in Winnipeg is about 31 mm of rain and 5 cm of snow.. so rainfall this month was well below normal (again) while snowfall was well above. Overall, the monthly total precipitation of 27 mm was again below normal for the month, marking the 7th consecutive month with below normal precipitation in Winnipeg.
All in all.. a cool unsettled month ending with an early start to winter!