Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Rob's Obs conditions not updating

Issues with the Shaw webserver are preventing my website from showing current conditions from my weather station.  Shaw is looking at it, but so far, no luck in resolving the issue.   My weather station is still updating data onto the web, which can be accessed through Weather Underground.   

Monday, June 01, 2009

Cool week ahead - cold blast late week

The calendar has changed to June, but the cool weather will continue this week with no end in sight to the below normal weather pattern. Today will see sunshine giving way to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms as a cold front approaches from the west. This front will bring in cooler air for Tuesday with highs only around 14C. This will lead to a potential for frost early Wednesday morning under clear skies and light winds. Wednesday looks like the nicest day of the week with sunshine and temperatures near 20C. Then things turn ugly for Thursday and Friday. Gusty northwest winds Thursday will usher an unseasonably cold airmass over southern MB with temperatures struggling to remain in double digits. In fact, the airmass will be cold enough to produce snowflurries over higher elevations Thursday night. Frost is a distinct possibility early Friday and Saturday, although cloud and wind may protect us from a widespread killing freeze. Nevertheless, this weather will test the patience of even the heartiest Manitobans who, after enduring 6 consecutive months of below normal temperatures, are wondering if and when the warm weather will ever arrive this year.  

Friday, May 29, 2009

Weekend outlook

The final weekend of May will finish the month with cooler than normal conditions along with a chance of showers Saturday night into Sunday morning. High pressure building in for Saturday will give a sunny but cool start to the weekend, with patchy frost early Saturday morning outside the city. Afternoon highs are expected to reach 15 or 16C, but light winds and sunny skies will make those temperatures feel warmer. A system tracking through southern Manitoba Saturday night will bring a few showers across southern MB Saturday night into Sunday morning, with even a chance of some scattered thunderstorms. The unsettled weather should move off Sunday morning leaving partly sunny skies and afternoon temperatures near 20C. So all in all, it shouldn't be too bad a weekend, but those waiting for summerlike weather will have to continue to wait. Model guidance is not suggesting any change to above normal conditions over southern MB through the next week or two. As for May, it looks like it will finish with a mean temperature around 8.3C at Winnipeg airport, some 4 degrees below normal, and the 15th coolest May since 1872.

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Nice weekend.. heavy rain looms Monday for southern RRV/ND/MN

High pressure over southern MB is finally bringing a beautiful weekend over the area with sunny skies.. light winds and seasonable temperatures of 18c today and 21c Sunday. A great weekend to finally get that overdue landscaping started!

Attention then turns to a potentially heavy rainfall event that will be unfolding over North Dakota and northern Minnesota Sunday night into Monday that may affect southeast MB as well. A slow moving low pressure system with plenty of moisture feeding into the system will generate an area of slow moving showers and embedded thunderstorms Sunday night through Monday night over northeast ND, northern MN, possibly spreading into SE Manitoba mainly south and east of Winnipeg. Computer models are indicating that 50 to 75 mm is possible through this period, with the latest Canadian GLB model suggesting the Sprague area could be seeing 100 to 150 mm of rain Monday into Monday night! It is still too early to give precise details on location and amounts of rain with this upcoming system, but the potential exists for heavy rainfall over eastern North Dakota, northern MN, and the southern Red River basin through SE Manitoba Sunday night into Monday night. Stay tuned..

Friday, May 22, 2009

Thunderstorms possible this afternoon across Red River Valley/SE MB

A weak cold front will cross southern MB today bringing the threat of thunderstorms mainly along and east of the Red River valley this afternoon.  Conditions are unstable enough for small but fairly energetic thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of this cold front, with the potential for stronger storms to produce marble size hail. Storms should be moving fairly rapidly so heavy rainfall should not be a major concern.. although the storms may produce locally heavy downpours for a short period. The main threat of storms in Winnipeg will be between 1 and 3 pm, with the threat area pushing east of the city after that time as drier and more stable air pushes in from the west behind the front.