Wednesday, February 11, 2009
NWS GFK releases updated 3 month outlook
The NWS office in Grand Forks has released an updated late winter/spring outlook covering the Feb-April period. The outlook suggests that a resurgent La-Nina will give a greater liklihood of generally cooler and wetter than normal weather over the next 3 months over the northern Plains. This will increase the odds of major flooding on the Red River this spring, as a recent press release from NOAA indicates. Soil moisture levels going into the winter were high from a wet fall, and a cold and snowy winter across ND has increased the risk of high water levels on the Red come the spring melt.
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ROB!!!!
ReplyDeleteWatch we got the rainstorm in February and now.....we will get the Snowstorm in April. When it should be the other way around!!
It could very well happen.. snowstorms in April are more common than rainstorms in February!
ReplyDeleteHey everyone!
ReplyDeleteI know this is completely off topic but there is some AWESOME hurricane footage on "youtube"
Type in " hurricane dolly eyewall"
and it will be the third video from the top!
It is called Experience hurricane dolly in HD by Brian Osburn!
4:00 mins to 6:00 mins on the video is amazing and crazy all at the same time!
According to Environment Canada Northern Manitoba got a whole lot of snow!
ReplyDelete30 to 40 cm was recorded!
Looks like EC and WN are calling for snow sunday night through monday. WN is calling for 5-15cm for a total. EC is just calling for snow. Any one else?
ReplyDeleteRight now I see a swath of 8 to 12cm snow falling south of a Brandon-Falcon Lake line, basically south of the Trans-Canada. Winnipeg would see 5 to 10cm under this solution, higher amounts in the southern part of the city. Places around Morden and Winkler could see closer to 15cm.
ReplyDeleteThis morning the models were showing higher amounts, more like 10 to 15cm south of a Brandon-Winnipeg-Falcon Lake line. This snow looks to be very dry, probably 30 or 40:1. Therefore small liquid amounts (i.e. 3-6mm) will yield 9 to 18cm of snow. I don't have much confidence in this event right now, personally I think the models will suck all the moisture out of this system, or move it south into North Dakota. We will probably end up with 2 to 4cm of snow, but you never know maybe this time the models will be right.
-28 c tonight for a overnight low!
ReplyDeleteHave not been that cold for quite some time!
Surprise, Surprise...
ReplyDeleteThe 18 and 00Z model runs are gradually sucking the moisture out of southern Manitoba, and shifting all the Monday snowfall into North Dakota...its almost like I expected this to happen...
Right now southern Manitoba will see 5 to 10cm of snow at the very most. Extreme south-western Manitoba could get up to 10 or 12cm based on the current model runs. However my money is on almost all of the snowfall ending up in North Dakota, and having southern Manitoba get 2-4cm.
With all that ice fog we had last night things sure look nice with all the trees a frosty white!
ReplyDeleteI'm wondering if EC is getting mixed up with all the frost out. At 1:00pm they say light snow. Looking outside it is clear as can be and sure doesn't look like light snow.
ReplyDeleteForecast for tomorrow:
ReplyDeletePeriods of snow. Amount 2 to 4 cm.
Need I say more...
I'll believe it when I see it.
ReplyDeleteA general swath of about 5 cm of snow has fallen just north of the US border overnight into early this morning including Melita 4 cm, Miami 5cm, Morden 6 cm. Water equivalents have been around 2-2.5 mm, giving 20:1 snow:water ratios. Looks like Winnipeg will just get brushed with 1 or 2 cm out of this today as the heaviest band tracks due east along the US border.
ReplyDelete5-10 cm from Virden to Winkler area and south.
ReplyDeleteSure will get very cold tonight with lows to -26C
ReplyDeleteWinter is not over yet by any means!!!
Does Fridays snow look like a accumulating snow or just a dusting????
Just a dusting for Winnipeg.. if that. The main area of lift moves well to our south and west..and even then, it's not a big snowmaker. Pretty hum-drum weather pattern right now..
ReplyDelete