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RDPS model valid midday
Monday Apr 28th
showing widespread precip
from US storm system |
After a brief break this weekend, another round of wet weather will be moving into southern Manitoba Sunday night into Monday as a large storm system south of the border spreads widespread rains northward. Rain from this system will be pushing into the southern RRV and SW Manitoba by late Sunday into Sunday evening, reaching Winnipeg during Sunday night. Rain will continue through Monday before tapering off Monday night. Rainfall totals of 15-25 mm will be widespread across southern Manitoba with amounts of 30 to 40 mm possible over portions of the southern and western RRV into southwest Manitoba. In addition, precipitation could even be mixed with wet snow over western Manitoba Sunday night into Monday morning with slushy accumulations possible over higher elevations. Drier but cool weather is forecast through mid week with temperatures running some 5-10C below normal for the end of April. Unfortunately, there are still no signs of a major pattern change to above normal weather for us into early May.
Our local CBC weather says "…. a stretch of dryer, warmer weather awaits us through the rest of next week."
ReplyDeleteMy dryer loves warm weather...unfortunately it may be disappointed as I'm not seeing this dryer, warmer weather in the models or the EC forecast. Cool and damp is more likely.
They must be taking that forecast off the CBC feed for southern BC.. :)
DeleteNo sunny warm weather here this week. It's maddening how we just can't warm up. Our snow is gone, but the upper pattern is still abnormally cool. So annoying how we can't warm up at 850 mb.. always around the freezing mark or below. I can't remember the last time we had a nice stretch of sunny warm weather. At some point, this below normal pattern has to break.. and I hope it breaks dramatically.
CBC Weather Journal for April 28th ....Tuesday through Friday look fairly dry with temps in the mid to upper teens.
DeleteWhat???
I suspect Mr Sauder will be updating that today...
DeleteYes I agree. So frustrating. Looking at the models, it just shows a major "log jam " with the systems. They have nowhere to go, but spin themselves out over the middle of the country. Arh!
ReplyDeleteRob Has there been any update on the coming rain. NWS has issued new flood warnings at 956 pm Sunday on the RRV as several counties between Wahpeton Breckenridge south of Fargo all the way north to the Border received One to Two inches of rain and more is expected.
ReplyDeleteNo.. things still looking on track for us with 10 to perhaps 15 mm for Winnipeg, and higher amounts of 15-30 mm possible over southern RRV, and heavier still south of the border. Winnipeg will be on the northeastern edge of this system.. and will likely be spared the higher amounts due to an easterly flow of drier air here. In fact, latest guidance has cut down rain amounts for Winnipeg even more since earlier runs now showing only 5-10 mm in total for us.
DeleteI am beginning to wonder if we are heading towards another 2009. Anyone remember 2009 where summer basically didn't arrive until September?
ReplyDeleteYep, that summerlike September was the warmest September on record, and ended a 9 month streak of below normal temperatures that began the previous December. It was also the first and only time on record that September was the warmest month of the year in Winnipeg. I'm hoping our current below normal streak ends just as dramatically this year, hopefully by June so we can be rewarded with a nice summer. Lord knows we deserve it..
Delete13 mm of rain yesterday at my location.. 9 mm at the airport, and 9.5 mm at the Forks. Southern RRV had the most with 20-25 mm from Morris to Emerson area. At least it wasn't snow!
ReplyDeleteRob,
ReplyDeleteI notice that on your stats pages that the dominant wind direction appears as NW every single day since the beginning of the year. I suggest you take a look at your instruments as they appear to be out of order.
JoeL.. Yes, my wind vane direction sensor failed over the winter, and I couldn't access it to fix it. Now that the snow is finally gone from my roof, I'll have to find some time to get up there and see what the problem is. But until then, disregard the direction from my station. Speed is still OK though.
DeleteIt does look like a repeat of 2009 (and 2004 for that matter). The same pattern is shaping up - ridging over BC and the Yukon, giving those folks plenty of nice weather, and unseasonably cold weather in SK, MB and northern Ontario. The only difference is that 2009 was drier. I guess the years ending in 4 and 9 must be jinxed :)
ReplyDeleteHmmmm.. both those years I took summer trips to Italy.. and came back to beautiful fall weather here. Where's that passport?.. :)
DeleteRob Try leaving and returning a bit sooner, perhaps late May or early June. Don
ReplyDeleteI would if I could Don.. Boy, do I wish I could.
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