Thursday, October 11, 2012

Brisk southerly winds Friday to usher in milder weekend..

After more than a week of below normal temperatures, conditions will be becoming milder this weekend as winds shift into the south and southwest.  Temperatures will finally be returning into the double digits after being generally in the single digits since Oct 3rd.  The change to milder weather will be heralded by strong southerly winds Friday gusting to 60 or 70 km/h, which combined with afternoon temperatures in the 5-10C range will feel quite brisk. Things will feel a lot milder on the weekend, as temperatures climb into the low to middle double digits, along with lighter winds and sunshine. Normal highs for this time of year are 11C, with normal lows of 0C.  Near to above normal temperatures are expected early next week, before a return to colder weather by the middle to latter part of the week.  

19 comments:

  1. Just a reminder.. winds from my weather station currently not available. For live wind speed data from YWG airport, see..

    http://atm.navcanada.ca/atm/iwv/CYWG

    Wind speed in knots.. double it for kmh.

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  2. That was a nasty wind chill out there today.. sure takes away from the actual temperature.

    Tomorrow will feel so much nicer without the wind, and a few extra degrees.

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  3. I see EC continues to adjust the daytime forecast high for tomorrow. Earlier this week it was 16C for saturday and now it's a more realistic 11. mediocre at best but so much for the supposed temps above the normal mark this weekend and early next week. But i see that that would've only been brief then it's back to below normal weather at week's end and likely the remainder of the month at this point. maybe we are destined for a below normal period after being spoiled for over a 1 year.

    what are your thoughts on this, rob?

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  4. I think 11-12C looks good for tomorrow, which will feel a lot nicer than today with light winds and more sun. Sunday looks a little milder with 15C temps possible if we can get enough sun. NAM is going all out for Monday with 20C highs, while EC is sticking closer to normal. I think mid teens are likely again, with upper teens possible with enough sun. After that things get unsettled by mid week, followed by cooler weather again. Overall, it seems like we've reversed the pattern of the past year we're we'd be above normal for a long time, followed be a relatively short period of below normal weather. But whether this lasts for the next few weeks or months, I don't know..

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  5. Any updates on when the 1981-2010 normals will be issued / become official?

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  6. >> Anonymous said... Any updates on when the 1981-2010 normals will be issued / become official?

    I've heard unofficially that EC will start using the 1981-2010 normals next year.. but not all data will be available, and some of the normals will be based on data only up to 2007, since many of our principal stations (including Winnipeg) switched to a new reporting format at that time that hasn't been properly QC'd since then.

    Whatever the case, I will start using the 1981-2010 normals on my website starting January 2013.


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  7. Thanks.

    Then hopefully things get QC'd better or else we wouldnt have normals anymore for some things.. like snowfall...!

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  8. Rob's Obs wind measurements back in business. Seems like some critter tried to chew through a sensor cable, and cut one of the wires. Had to re-splice the cable, but wind speeds available again. I also replaced the wind anemometer with a newer backup one that hopefully will result in better wind readings. My previous anemometer was getting kind of worn out, and may have been under reporting speeds.

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  9. Light rain throughout the city.

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  10. Lots of 20C temps over SW Manitoba and much of ND today, but Winnipeg and RRV were stuck in the low to mid teens at best with a southerly flow ahead of occluding warm sector. So that 20C that the NAM was advertising for Winnipeg a few days back came close, but no cigar. Nicer day tomorrow with more sunshine, lighter winds and afternoon temps of 16-18C.

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  11. That fog in the fields were cool this morning. The cloud laid right on top of the ground, and not much higher.. Spooky lol.

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  12. A BEAUT !!! OF A DAY OUT THERE TODAY!!
    Chris in Westwood.

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  13. I hope I'll get a chance to enjoy the nice weather later, I have been stuck inside school pretty much all day and have to wait until 4pm. Any info on how warm we will be at 5pm, Rob?

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  14. It will be 16c.

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  15. There was a solid zero visibility reading at the airport with this morning's fog.

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  16. Strange, considering it was perfectly sunny in central/south parts of the city at the time of that zero visibility observation (and for most of the morning in fact). Must have been very localized

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  17. Lots of rain tonight!

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  18. Rain easing over Winnipeg from the east this evening as a dry slot over SE MB pushes west. That will leave us with light rain or drizzle overnight before we get more rain Thursday as upper low drifts to the southeast and we get more wrap-around rain, along with increasing northerly winds. I'm up to 15 mm for the day, and I expect we should see another 10-15 mm or so overnight through tomorrow. Looks like we're making up nicely for that dry September this month. Up to 52 mm for the month now at my station, our first wetter than normal month since May.

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  19. Heavier rainfall amounts to our west.. Carman and Elm Creek in the 35-40 mm range for today.

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