Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Clipper to bring more snow by Thursday night.. colder weather for the weekend..

An Alberta clipper system is forecast to track across southern Manitoba Thursday night bringing a band of light to moderate snow mainly along and north of the TransCanada corridor. Snow from this system will spread into western Manitoba Thursday afternoon and push into the northern RRV Thursday evening. Snowfall amounts of 2-5 cm are likely by Friday morning with 5-10 cm possible over the Riding Mtns and southern Interlake. (see attached HPC probability map of snowfall>= 5 cm) The snow should pull off into NW Ontario Friday with northerly winds bringing in colder weather for the weekend. High temperatures will only reach the -8C range while overnight lows drop into the minus teens.. with -20C possible in some areas.

29 comments:

  1. Thks Rob

    I am hoping for closer to the 2cm rather than the 5 or more. We are in the snow clearing industry and don't quite have all the machines ready to go. With the warmer temps we've been still playing in the mud. Need a few more days.

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  2. Nice and cold for the eastern Final on Sunday.

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  3. Clear skies just to the south of Winnipeg (sunny in Sanford!) allowing some very cold early morning temperatures including -18C at Emerson.. remarkably cold given that there's hardly any snow on the ground there.

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  4. That clipper is moving at a good clip ( no pun intended) with the first snow bands approaching western Manitoba. 5 cm of snow for Winnipeg I think.

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  5. Yeah daniel so far this system looks like it could drop about 5-10cm way more than what EC is predicting. If the low speeds up it'll likely drop less snow depending on its overall snow rate/h. Overall Its nothing like a colorado low.

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  6. From a weather perspective, we could use the snow I think.

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  7. Impressive contrast around that clipper this afternoon.. currently +8C in Medicine Hat with gusty southwest winds, -8C in Kindersley SK with strong easterly winds and blizzard-like conditions.

    Guidance in good agreement that clipper weakens somewhat as it moves across southern MB tonight.. with bulk of accumulating snow mainly along and north of TransCanada. Models still going with about 2-4 cm for Winnipeg tonight.. higher amounts to the north and west of us.

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  8. Temperatures on Saturday night into Sunday morning look very cold. Temps to -20 C in a few areas in the Red River Valley look to happen.

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  9. Hello Rob!

    Do you have any plans to go on a vacation to a nice and warm place during the upcoming winter months.
    Correct me If I'm wrong but did you not go on a big trip a few winters back???

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  10. Snow just starting to fall in Winnipeg tonight. Radar shows some heavier snow bands with in the main area of snow that could lay down a quick few cm in a hurry.

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  11. Hey Daniel

    Looking at the radar it kinda looks like its breaking up a bit at the moment.

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  12. EC was a bit high in the accumulation prediction. Not even 2 cm in Windsor park.

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  13. Only about 1 cm here ay my place overnight.. bulk of snow was over western MB and Ridng Mtn area.. much like models were showing.

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  14. Any thoughts on today? Will the flurries around noon accumulate to anything?

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  15. 10 cm of snow fell out west with the storm. 2 cm of snow is possible this afternoon here in the PEG. Prepare for a few cold days then a huge warm up.

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  16. Is there going to be a wind on Sunday for game time???? -12 C is cold. If there is even a slight breeze that would put the windchill near -20. YIKES!!!!!

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  17. Looks like winds will be light to start the game Sunday.. picking up from the south-southeast at 15-20 km/h by the latter part of the game. So there won't be any noticeable "warming" during the game, since any temperature increase will be offset by the increasing breeze. Either way, it'll be a cold one to be sitting out there for 3 hours (no thanks)

    Too bad they weren't playing next week.. looks like a lot milder weather coming up!

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  18. 2.5 cm of snow over the past couple of hours. That area of heavier snow off to our northwest finally pushed into the city this afternoon, with very fluffy flakes leading to faster accumulation rates. Radar showing the heaviest band is starting to pull out of the city now but we should still be in the snow into this evening with another 2 or 3 cm likely.

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  19. WOW!!!
    According to Environment Canada 3- 7 cm of snow has fallen in Winnipeg as of 5:30 pm.
    Another 3 cm this evening. That would put parts of Winnipeg close to 10 Cm . Looks like CHRISTMAS!!!

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  20. Yeah, I've had about 6-7 cm so far at my place as of 8 pm.. Surprised how persistent it's been, plus the fluff factor has really helped the accumulations. Very dry and fluffy.. easy to shovel with little water content. And sure looks pretty..

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  21. Deja Vu 2010.. Start with an Alberta Clipper on Thursday and the white fluff never stops. I trust the "over" won't compare to last year and it will stop before next week

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  22. CKY news showed some webcams of Winnipeg this afternoon and it was GRIDLOCK in every which direction during rush hour. The worst I have ever seen it.

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  23. Looks like it's finally letting up.. I measured 8.5 cm of fluffy snow since it started this afternoon. Definitely more than I was expecting. Now, let's see how much of this we can melt next week! :)

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  24. Looks like some streamers comming off the lakes this morning. One out by Portage is reaching a long way.

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  25. Wow.. temperature at airport already below nighttime low forecast (-19.5C at 5 pm vs -19C low) That light northwest flow at the airport has dropped temperatures quickly.. hopefully some increasing cloud cover will level out temperature drop.

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  26. Yes, EC has changed the overnight low to -22 C now. The way things are trending they could go even lower, before they level off.

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  27. Ouch.. -36C this morning in Edmonton (actual air temperature, not windchill). Way too early for that kind of cold. Even our -20C seems to have hit too quickly (for me anyways) I feel for those Bomber fans today.. the last thing I want to do when it's -15C is sit outside for 3 hours.. I don't care what's happening in front of me!

    BTW, I see the annual silly season has started again with the media using windchill values as the actual temperature. A CTV story quotes Edmonton as having an afternoon high near -30C Saturday, when in fact it was -20C with a -30 windchill. Later on they give actual temperatures, which just leads to mass confusion as to what the temperature really was.

    This is happening every winter and seems to be a lost cause with trying to educate the media that they should not be quoting windchill values as actual temperatures. They are two entirely different things. The media focuses so much on windchill now that the actual air temperature has become almost meaningless to the general public.

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  28. -36 at the International Airport!!
    -25 at the City Center Airport!!
    What a huge difference!! Clouds and the urban heat effect must have kicked in.

    Rob, you know there will be a few "Hardcore fans" that have no shirts on (guys that is) during game time,even with the -15 temps.

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  29. Yeah.. "hardcore" is one way to describe them :)

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