tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post9049104296103777418..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Big melt beginsUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger61125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-46371015541821976752016-03-18T11:49:56.428-05:002016-03-18T11:49:56.428-05:00Does EC forecast the Airport Temp and TWN the Fork...Does EC forecast the Airport Temp and TWN the Forks? Given our strong Sun that would appear to account for the differenceJimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03903818436067284685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-2055671478467065862016-03-15T15:35:40.053-05:002016-03-15T15:35:40.053-05:00I see though that Environment Canada has highs abo...I see though that Environment Canada has highs above zero for a while before minuses on the weekend whereas TheWeatherNetWork has daytime high's in the low plus single digits into the weekend and next week. I think TheWeatherNetWork will be right given there great accuracy here.Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-90659466647688414212016-03-15T15:23:35.980-05:002016-03-15T15:23:35.980-05:00Hate to say it, but it looks like we'll be wak...Hate to say it, but it looks like we'll be waking up to snow covered ground again Thursday morning. A storm system intensifying over Wisconsin will spread an band of snow over NW Ontario back into southern Manitoba Wednesday into Wednesday night. Could start off as light rain or wet snow Wed afternoon, but by evening, I expect it to change to all snow, with accumulations likely Wednesday night. At this point, a general 5 cm looks possible by Thursday morning, but some areas could get close to 10 cm, especially east of the city to the Ontario border. Hate to see snow again, but it's still March after all! Temperatures look like they stay near or below freezing for the rest of the week into the weekend, so snow cover will likely stick around into next week unless amounts are minimal, or if we can get some good sun to melt it. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48587289603255079362016-03-15T15:12:33.553-05:002016-03-15T15:12:33.553-05:00High was 13.1C at YWG airport, just shy of the rec...High was 13.1C at YWG airport, just shy of the record 13.2C set just last year. <br /><br />Winnipeg missed out on the thunderstorms last night, but they came close to the city early this morning. A few strikes observed just east and southeast of the city early this morning as the rainbands moved in. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85460926983454806452016-03-15T14:38:20.678-05:002016-03-15T14:38:20.678-05:00Hey Rob, What are the chances of snow staying on t...Hey Rob, What are the chances of snow staying on the ground here in Winnipeg after the snowfall? Any chance that it will melt later this week? I don't like snow staying, :p.Mikehttp://southmbweather.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-92080542430100652792016-03-14T17:25:37.455-05:002016-03-14T17:25:37.455-05:00Rob, do you think we have chance for thunderstorms...Rob, do you think we have chance for thunderstorms tonight here in Winnipeg despite the forecast saying otherwise?<br /><br />And also has YWG Airport reached the record for this day or not?<br /><br />Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-36606925400404735602016-03-14T17:07:34.801-05:002016-03-14T17:07:34.801-05:00Appreciate the comments! Glad to provide any help ...Appreciate the comments! Glad to provide any help or info when I can..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39577862391859090352016-03-14T17:03:55.940-05:002016-03-14T17:03:55.940-05:00They may have thought the risk was too low to ment...They may have thought the risk was too low to mention in the city forecast, but included it in higher risk area to our southwest. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50122020710875692802016-03-14T17:01:40.651-05:002016-03-14T17:01:40.651-05:00Cpc outlook is now showing warmer than normal for ...Cpc outlook is now showing warmer than normal for 8-14 day. Did mother nature have a change of heart?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-67367462081040568172016-03-14T15:51:37.156-05:002016-03-14T15:51:37.156-05:00Hey Rob, what happened to the thunderstorm chance ...Hey Rob, what happened to the thunderstorm chance here in Winnipeg? It's all around the city but not in the city. In my case I think that we have a chance tonight. What's your thoughts?<br />Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-58830541048276631152016-03-14T14:18:31.551-05:002016-03-14T14:18:31.551-05:00Thanks for the update and all the work you put int...Thanks for the update and all the work you put into this blog! I have always enjoyed reading your well researched info.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-31914175500693100502016-03-14T07:40:45.874-05:002016-03-14T07:40:45.874-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Don Shttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05717954088683370209noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-17463801185243985422016-03-14T07:40:35.608-05:002016-03-14T07:40:35.608-05:00Thanks for the update Rob. Thanks for the update Rob. Don Shttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05717954088683370209noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-54616129319037506552016-03-14T00:42:36.166-05:002016-03-14T00:42:36.166-05:00Models now showing that system Tuesday will be mor...Models now showing that system Tuesday will be more intense over us after all.. Looks like a decent band of showers devloping Monday night over SW MB with possible embedded thunderstorms pushing into RRV by Tuesday morning. Rain then overspreads RRV Tuesday with some heavy amounts possible.. latest mesoscale models showing local amounts of 40-60 mm possible in some areas. That may be overdone due to convection, but it points to the liklihood of locally heavy downpours Tuesday with some training cells bringing a narrow axis of heavier rainfall somewhere over the RRV. As the low stalls over North Dakota, colder air will feed into the system and start changing rain over to snow Tuesday night into Wednesday with accumulations likely, especially over higher elevations of western MB where amounts of 10-15 cm are possible. Models have been bouncing all over the place with this system, so it remains to be seen how it all plays out.. but at this point, it seems this system will be bringing some significant precip to southern MB after all in the Tue-Wed timeframe. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86528863310098728602016-03-13T12:52:15.053-05:002016-03-13T12:52:15.053-05:00thanks Robthanks RobAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-2982527222577257272016-03-13T12:09:26.543-05:002016-03-13T12:09:26.543-05:00Looks like models are coming in line with a fairly...Looks like models are coming in line with a fairly decent amount of rain coming into southern MB Tuesday, perhaps 15-25 mm in some areas with some embedded convection possible (springtime tstorms?).. before temps start falling Tuesday night into Wednesday with a changeover to snow. How much snow will depend on how quickly that cold air works in and how much the precip shield weakens, which is still in question by various models. Best guess is rain changing to wet snow in Winnipeg overnight Tuesday into Wednesday with some accumulations possible.. perhaps 5 cm or so, but again, highly dependent on when the changeover occurs and how quickly the precip shield moves out. Will continue to monitor. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-18360278917319045292016-03-13T11:59:27.424-05:002016-03-13T11:59:27.424-05:00GFS backed off on that system on latest runs. Othe...GFS backed off on that system on latest runs. Other models not really showing much either for that time frame. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-45996064474004048742016-03-12T18:38:52.911-06:002016-03-12T18:38:52.911-06:00Also Rob, models are now indicating a second storm...Also Rob, models are now indicating a second storm system with snow amounts of 10+cm coming in around the 19th or the 20th and pushing in -20 to -30C temperatures behind it. Its mainly the GEM showing the one system and the GFS model showing 3 in a row all followed by February like temperatures. Thoughts? Heres a link to double check... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016031218&fh=192&xpos=0&ypos=697Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48820894967430458402016-03-12T17:39:10.774-06:002016-03-12T17:39:10.774-06:00Rob, if we see any snowfall accumulations will the...Rob, if we see any snowfall accumulations will they melt on contact? I don't like seeing any more snow building up on grass, or roadways. We just have gotten rid of our snow. Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50727768740131142452016-03-12T10:11:15.474-06:002016-03-12T10:11:15.474-06:00Pretty much a non event for us with that mid week ...Pretty much a non event for us with that mid week storm system. Models continue to take intensifying low over Iowa tracking into southern Minnesota Tuesday, with a weaker band of rain extending northwest into southern Manitoba. Even the cooldown later next week doesn't look as pronounced as earlier indicated (although we will be cooling down). So looks like a band of rain moving through here Tuesday then gradually cooler Wed into the weekend with occasional flurries.. but nothing significant expected in terms of accumulations at this point. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-8417810702981878152016-03-11T22:57:40.737-06:002016-03-11T22:57:40.737-06:00Max of 11.6C at YWG airport today.. first double d...Max of 11.6C at YWG airport today.. first double digit temp of the year and first 10C+ since Nov 16th. Last year, we hit our first 10C+ on Mar 14th (13.2C.) Snow pack went down at least 5 cm today at my place (22 cm to 17). robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50377403270998583332016-03-11T10:21:25.530-06:002016-03-11T10:21:25.530-06:00A fairly cloudy and breezy start to the day, but s...A fairly cloudy and breezy start to the day, but satellite imagery shows a lot of sun on the way for this afternoon! Should be a beauty! Big dent in the snowcover over the next few days!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-45359258712862995612016-03-11T10:18:07.736-06:002016-03-11T10:18:07.736-06:00Jeff.. Latest guidance is trending towards that st...Jeff.. Latest guidance is trending towards that strong storm system generally staying off to our southeast and moving towards Lake Superior instead. We get a weaker system bringing some showers here Tuesday, and perhaps a few cm of snow Thursday as we get colder behind the Lake Superior storm system, but at this point.. it's not looking like a big blast for us thankfully. We'll keep you posted if the models change their story. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-49546484977266147812016-03-11T09:16:50.269-06:002016-03-11T09:16:50.269-06:00Hi Rob,
Any new model forecasts for next week?
I ...Hi Rob,<br /><br />Any new model forecasts for next week?<br />I know it is days away. It is just interesting to see if any of the forecasts were actually right.<br /><br />ThanksJeffnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88326387153344131772016-03-10T23:20:02.827-06:002016-03-10T23:20:02.827-06:00No I don't think we'll get as cold as -20....No I don't think we'll get as cold as -20. But highs of -5C and lows in the -10 to -15C range look possible. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.com