tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post8729225069334796715..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: 5-10 cm of snow on the way for WinnipegUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger16125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-8388550651018858552014-12-04T11:12:17.239-06:002014-12-04T11:12:17.239-06:00Right now, model consensus is calling for perhaps ...Right now, model consensus is calling for perhaps a dusting of light snow in Winnipeg on Sunday as a warm front crosses southern MB. Other than that, snow chances look minimal over the next week or so. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53917324441881978302014-12-03T09:10:22.089-06:002014-12-03T09:10:22.089-06:00Hi Rob,
Is there snow in the forecast for Sat nig...Hi Rob,<br /><br />Is there snow in the forecast for Sat night into Sunday?<br /><br />ThxAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-20559161259843491082014-12-02T16:13:51.655-06:002014-12-02T16:13:51.655-06:00The way things are going, we'd get all the col...The way things are going, we'd get all the cold and miss the blizzards..Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-55169380265562128602014-12-02T15:20:02.426-06:002014-12-02T15:20:02.426-06:00Besides the cold weather that would be awesome!!!!...Besides the cold weather that would be awesome!!!!!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-9607163514830504262014-12-02T14:20:47.307-06:002014-12-02T14:20:47.307-06:00Was reading a post on another weather discussion f...Was reading a post on another weather discussion forum, and one long range expert was comparing this upcoming winter to that of 1965-66 for North America in terms of similarities to current ENSO set-up and blocking pattern signals. The winter of '65-66 was a severe winter in Winnipeg and southern MB. After a relatively mild and tranquil December, a 30 cm snowstorm on Dec 30-31 ushered in the second coldest January on record in Winnipeg with a monthly average of -26.7C (10C below normal!!). That was followed by a vicious cold snap in mid-February that saw actual air temperatures drop to -45C in Winnipeg (not wind chill!) before a major blizzard on March 4th dumped 35 cm of snow on the city together with 110 km/h gusts that created drifts of 3-4 meters and paralyzed the city and much of the RRV. Now obviously that doesn't mean we'll get a repeat this winter.. but it does show you the potential extreme winter weather we *can* have with another blocking pattern likely setting up this winter together with a moderate El Nino developing out west. Will keep you posted if I hear any updates..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-22275030128151044312014-12-02T11:07:36.672-06:002014-12-02T11:07:36.672-06:00Much nicer day out there than yesterday thanks to ...Much nicer day out there than yesterday thanks to much lighter winds and sunshine today. Airport is overdoing wind chill at -24 as of 11 am. with a measly 9 km/h wind. The Forks will be a better gauge of what it really feels like out there today. Windchill not really a factor today! (especially compared to yesterday!)robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-76388950840991241492014-12-01T14:42:39.106-06:002014-12-01T14:42:39.106-06:00So November 2014 was Winnipeg's 22nd coldest N...So November 2014 was Winnipeg's 22nd coldest Nov on record (since 1872). Looking at the top 25 coldest Novembers on record here, 17 (68%) were followed by a colder than normal December, 3 (12%) were near normal, and 5 (20%) were warmer than normal. The average of those 25 Decembers was -15.8C, or about 2.5C below our current 30 year Dec "normal" of -13.2C. So if history is our guide, then it looks like December will finish below normal, which probably doesn't come as a big surprise. But there is a slight glimmer of hope (20%) that things could turn around this month. We can only hope.. That being said, things look milder for the first half of December especially by the second week (latest CPC 8-14 day outlook looks positively glorious for the Prairies!), so that will be a nice break from the cold if that pans out.. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88040470609214961242014-12-01T13:46:07.331-06:002014-12-01T13:46:07.331-06:00November at Winnipeg airport finished with an aver...November at Winnipeg airport finished with an average temperature of -8.8C, which is about 4C below normal. Going back to 1872, that makes it the 22nd coldest November on record in Winnipeg, and the coldest since the brutal November of 1996 (-11.9C) Last November had an average temperature of -6.0C, so November this year has been colder than last year's. That doesn't necessarily mean the rest of the winter will be colder than last year.. but we are off to a colder start. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-62515455264809684392014-12-01T12:47:27.427-06:002014-12-01T12:47:27.427-06:00Rob, where are we at in terms of "coldest nov...Rob, where are we at in terms of "coldest november on record"...1st? 20th? 50th? etc. It seems like this winter is already worse than last year's.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-83970602574850531182014-12-01T10:20:21.869-06:002014-12-01T10:20:21.869-06:00A low of -27.0C at YWG airport. A low of -27.0C at YWG airport. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33277025665725153092014-11-30T16:58:22.207-06:002014-11-30T16:58:22.207-06:00Tomorrow will be a good example of how misleading ...Tomorrow will be a good example of how misleading windchill values can be. Tomorrow morning, Winnipeg will be around -27C with a 15 km/h wind that will produce a "windchill" of -38 or so. By 5 pm, the temperature will be around -18C, with a brisk south wind of 40 gusting to 60 km/h that will produce a windchill of -31, supposedly not as bad as the morning windchill. But I guarantee that 40G60 km/h wind with -18C temps will feel a lot worse than the 15 km/h winds at -27. It just goes to show you that windchills require wind to be truly representative, and it's misleading and inaccurate to give windchill values with light wind speeds.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-36196525097719243912014-11-30T16:41:15.743-06:002014-11-30T16:41:15.743-06:00I think we'll get close to -30C, but we won...I think we'll get close to -30C, but we won't hit it.. more likely around -28C or -29C. We have a west wind this evening that will keep the temperature from falling too quickly this evening, then the flow becomes SW overnight which saves the airport from getting much colder than guidance. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-42872843202745554172014-11-30T13:00:15.598-06:002014-11-30T13:00:15.598-06:00Rob, How cold do you think the airport will get to...Rob, How cold do you think the airport will get tonight? How likely is -30 C?<br /><br />Thanks!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-22752041166181818922014-11-29T15:13:57.771-06:002014-11-29T15:13:57.771-06:00Thanks for the report! 9 cm storm total at my pla...Thanks for the report! 9 cm storm total at my place in Charleswood. 5 cm up to 7 am, followed by another 4 cm in that 2.5 hr burst this morning. Snow depth 11 cm. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-68855699449035723802014-11-29T10:56:54.981-06:002014-11-29T10:56:54.981-06:008.5 cm of new snow measured this morning in Island...8.5 cm of new snow measured this morning in Island Lakes in SE Winnipeg. Snow Depth on ground averages 12 cm. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-30636126638686741932014-11-28T21:37:09.514-06:002014-11-28T21:37:09.514-06:00About 2 or 3 cm in this first batch of snow this e...About 2 or 3 cm in this first batch of snow this evening.. but looks like snow will taper off or stop for awhile overnight with very little snow evident on upstream Foxwarren radar. However, another batch of snow is spreading over southern SK through the Regina and Moose Jaw areas, and that area of snow should be pushing into YWG/RRV by morning when we should pick up another 2 to 4 cm Saturday morning before it ends Saturday afternoon. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.com