tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post9221458363646162146..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Blizzard warning issued for Winnipeg and Red River valley.. strong winds and snow to give blizzard conditions by Friday nightUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger81125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-37980951837852648582013-01-13T10:59:39.585-06:002013-01-13T10:59:39.585-06:00Anonymous.. -30C doesn't look likely for YWG t...Anonymous.. -30C doesn't look likely for YWG tonight due to a little more cloud cover, and again a light southerly flow overnight that will prevent the temp at YWG from bottoming out. Most guidance is indicating lows of around -25C for YWG tonight. Could be a couple degrees colder if skies clear. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-79359070817768556942013-01-13T10:54:05.008-06:002013-01-13T10:54:05.008-06:00My goodness and dewpoint of 13°C there Rob. Seems ...My goodness and dewpoint of 13°C there Rob. Seems like a nice summer start to the morning. Dewpoints that high and we're starting to enter thunderstorm territory.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-10774924632823277542013-01-13T10:17:06.494-06:002013-01-13T10:17:06.494-06:00Rob,
do you think that the above -30C streak at YW...Rob,<br />do you think that the above -30C streak at YWG Airport will end tonight?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-54293451085490108672013-01-13T10:08:40.910-06:002013-01-13T10:08:40.910-06:00Yeah, there would certainly be pockets of colder a...Yeah, there would certainly be pockets of colder air in the city that would have been blocked from the light wind, and radiated colder. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33790587725836866392013-01-13T09:55:40.754-06:002013-01-13T09:55:40.754-06:00Hmmm. I live a block south of the airport and my t...Hmmm. I live a block south of the airport and my thermometer was 5C colder. I'm thinking it had more to do with cold air trapped in my yard, the tree/houses preventing mixing with the warmer air aloft.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85859413287118459712013-01-13T09:34:16.718-06:002013-01-13T09:34:16.718-06:00Meanwhile, it's an incredible 16-18C in Niagar...Meanwhile, it's an incredible 16-18C in Niagara this morning! robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-78714124192948314442013-01-13T09:29:06.518-06:002013-01-13T09:29:06.518-06:00Yeah, plenty of -30C temps north and east of the c...Yeah, plenty of -30C temps north and east of the city last night, but the YWG airport was saved with a light southerly flow off the city. I got down to -29C at my place as a light southerly flow overnight would come off the open fields south of Charleswood. <br /><br />So the above -30C streak continues at YWG airport. For those keeping track, the streak is now at 687 days and counting, going back to Feb 26 2011 (YWG last hit -30C or lower on Feb 25 2011 at -31.6C) That's the longest such streak ever at the airport site since records began in 1938. The longest streak ever in the city was 713 days between Feb 15 1930 and Jan 30 1932, but that was at the old St John's College observing site closer to downtown. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-11191854338553351582013-01-13T09:13:35.259-06:002013-01-13T09:13:35.259-06:00Overnight, it seems like temperatures dropped down...Overnight, it seems like temperatures dropped down a bit more to the north, as well as to the south and east of the city... -31 at Sprague, -33 at Gimli, and -34 at Pinawa according to Environment Canada. I'm wondering if the slightly lighter winds (<10 km/h) would be the main reason that pushed these areas into the -30s?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-81555942387488003782013-01-13T08:29:52.342-06:002013-01-13T08:29:52.342-06:00Only -26C at the airport?! Odd. I live a block awa...Only -26C at the airport?! Odd. I live a block away and my thermometer shows -31C.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-6519987091333924492013-01-13T00:23:13.741-06:002013-01-13T00:23:13.741-06:00anonymous.. Looks like we'll be back into the ...anonymous.. Looks like we'll be back into the -teens and -20s behind this next clipper with -30s possible at night. As for what the latter half of January will be like, that's getting beyond my expertise, but I can give some basic background info based on my limited knowledge in this area. Models are indicating that the upper pattern should favour colder than normal weather over central and eastern North America by mid to late January as a deep Arctic trof digs over the Great Lakes, with an upper ridge building over the West Coast. That is consistent with a weakening AO signal. That will put us in a NW upper flow which generally means colder than normal weather, with periodic modification as clippers come through in the NW flow. That's how it looks right now.. we'll have to see if models maintain that scenario, or flip to something different. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70051848903199099482013-01-12T23:12:14.028-06:002013-01-12T23:12:14.028-06:00Rob, how cold does it get behind the clipper syste...Rob, how cold does it get behind the clipper system and what does the second half of January have in-store for us in terms of temps and precip?<br /><br />BTW, thanks for all the great info you provide us, Rob...greatly appreciated. I'm a big fan of your blog. Thanks for taking the time to update us on your blog about upcoming weather info we wouldn't get anywhere else.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-83102378241461421192013-01-12T21:55:25.893-06:002013-01-12T21:55:25.893-06:00Anonymous.. Models are showing an area of snow wit...Anonymous.. Models are showing an area of snow with Tuesday clipper moving across southern MB Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Looks like about a 5 cm type of event. That forecast change from snow to sunny is an automated forecast overlooking a nighttime precip event (forecast is based mainly on daytime hours). Looks like we moderate to around the -5C mark, but it will likely be Tuesday night so most people won't notice it. Back to the deep freeze behind the clipper. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-9989175122706142112013-01-12T20:33:29.179-06:002013-01-12T20:33:29.179-06:00A non-event in a Winnipeg residential area. Perime...A non-event in a Winnipeg residential area. Perimeter-itis it's called.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-30814760613564955182013-01-12T20:22:34.869-06:002013-01-12T20:22:34.869-06:00I've noticed EC has dropped Tuesday's high...<br /><br />I've noticed EC has dropped Tuesday's high to - 8C from the plus 1 yesterday which to me is more realistic. Note that they also changed the forecast from snow to sunny....hmm.<br /><br />Rob, What's the latest on Tuesday's situation as far as potential snow snow is concerned?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88591053737860707412013-01-12T19:19:03.176-06:002013-01-12T19:19:03.176-06:00It wasn't a non event if you were travelling.It wasn't a non event if you were travelling.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-79759598270396135892013-01-12T18:45:21.799-06:002013-01-12T18:45:21.799-06:00Mike.. The power outage was pretty local, looked l...Mike.. The power outage was pretty local, looked like just my street was affected. Didn't appear widespread. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48068594070193187672013-01-12T17:06:02.885-06:002013-01-12T17:06:02.885-06:00Got about 7 to 18cm of snow at my place in St.Jame...Got about 7 to 18cm of snow at my place in St.James last night, with 25cm+ in snow drifts. Definitely a non significant snowfall that's for sure. I had no power outages which is odd because Rob just over on the other side of portage had no power whatsoever, anyone know why that could be the case?Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-59191957098236970512013-01-12T16:55:07.255-06:002013-01-12T16:55:07.255-06:00Will be interesting to see if YWG drops to the -30...Will be interesting to see if YWG drops to the -30c mark tonight which would be our first -30c reading in almost 2 years (last time was -31.6c on Feb 25 2011) <br /><br />Both the NAM and Euro giving sub -30C lows for YWG tonight, while official forecast based on GEM UMOS is giving -27c. I think -30c would be a slam dunk if YWG kept a light NW flow all night with clear skies and a fresh snowpack, but flow backs to light southwest overnight which may prevent airport from reaching the -30c mark. Maybe another -29c? Regardless, cold night ahead. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-51614872284877161932013-01-12T15:12:23.987-06:002013-01-12T15:12:23.987-06:00IC thanks.. yeah maybe .5 to 1 mm freezing rain wi...IC thanks.. yeah maybe .5 to 1 mm freezing rain with also some snow in the morning as well. So it could fall within the doppler estimated range of 7-8 mm. With higher snow-water ratios (maybe 14:1/15:1) it would have yielded 10-13 cm for the city.<br /><br />DanielAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-29641489532150591642013-01-12T14:46:42.234-06:002013-01-12T14:46:42.234-06:00Daniel.. YWG recorded 9.5 mm from midnight to midn...Daniel.. YWG recorded 9.5 mm from midnight to midnight yesterday, so that amount would have included the freezing drizzle in the early morning hours (about 0.5 mm of ZL?) <br />robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-73182216642247563992013-01-12T14:07:58.084-06:002013-01-12T14:07:58.084-06:00Radar estimates around 6-8 mm water equivalent ove...Radar estimates around 6-8 mm water equivalent over the past 24 hours across the city with 8-12 to the southeast. Rob, the 10 mm at YWG was since last evening or included the freezing precip from earlier?<br /><br />Daniel <br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-20340201455811596562013-01-12T13:09:45.441-06:002013-01-12T13:09:45.441-06:00Oh wow ended up pretty accurate then!Oh wow ended up pretty accurate then!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-6421915487501826882013-01-12T12:47:39.315-06:002013-01-12T12:47:39.315-06:00Snow poll honours go the 17 people who picked 10-1...Snow poll honours go the 17 people who picked 10-15 cm.. well done! Poll ensemble average was 15 cm. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-38825793939768679592013-01-12T11:57:44.159-06:002013-01-12T11:57:44.159-06:0015c in St Catharines now. Growing up in Niagara in...15c in St Catharines now. Growing up in Niagara in the 70s, it was unheard of for us to hit double digits in the winter. Now they seem to be doing it every winter, and more than once as well. Winters down there sure aren't what they used to be! robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-14467505833032130092013-01-12T11:53:07.532-06:002013-01-12T11:53:07.532-06:00^like. We need more people with attitudes like tha...^like. We need more people with attitudes like that!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com