tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post8404207500626222356..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: June to end on a cool note..Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger43125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-57150298069350738122017-07-01T20:53:26.031-05:002017-07-01T20:53:26.031-05:00Thanks rob! Looks like July is going to be off to ...Thanks rob! Looks like July is going to be off to a hot start. Signs of a heat wave with temperatures in the 30's next week.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-56295220601613772372017-07-01T07:01:43.178-05:002017-07-01T07:01:43.178-05:00Matthew.. June finished with an average temp aroun...Matthew.. June finished with an average temp around 16.7C.. which would be just slightly below the "normal" June average of 17.0C (although if you're within 0.5C of normal, I would consider that "near normal") The missing value was a high of 19.1C on the 15th which won't change the monthly average much. Rain at Winnipeg airport totalled 51 mm in June, well below the normal of 90 mm which is typically our wettest month. That 51 mm however is on the low side for the city as most areas of the city saw 65-80 mm during the month, highest in the east end. (still below average though) robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-18267273526120679812017-06-30T22:02:15.051-05:002017-06-30T22:02:15.051-05:00Rob did June finish above or below normal? There&#...Rob did June finish above or below normal? There's a missing data value in the EC climate log so I can't tell. It's very close so that missing value may be a factor.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-44263775704858573362017-06-30T17:05:21.082-05:002017-06-30T17:05:21.082-05:00Well, models have been back and forth all week wit...Well, models have been back and forth all week with the forecast for tomorrow, Canada Day, here in southern MB. But it looks like there's a bit more consensus on what to expect for our big 150th birthday bash. There's a minor system over southern SK today that will track across SW MB tonight into the RRV Saturday morning. This impulse will spread a few showers with it, and possibly an embedded tstorm, mainly over southern regions towards the US border. Forecast calls for a risk of a tstorm in Winnipeg tomorrow morning but I don't see it this far north. By early afternoon, this impulse will be moving out of southern MB and we should see a mix of sun and cloud Saturday afternoon, with the slight chance of an isolated shower popping up with daytime heating. Mainly though, it will be rain free for most areas for Canada Day activities. Temperatures will be on the cool side of normal.. with afternoon highs of 20-21C along with a north breeze of 20 kmh. Actually quite comfortable if the sun is out. Skies should clear Saturday evening and winds will drop off, so there'll be ideal conditions for fireworks by 11 pm, although temps may be a bit cool around 15c. You may want to consider bringing a light jacket or sweater if you'll be out late. The rest of the Canada Day weekend looks fantastic with sunshine and temps in the mid 20s. Whatever the weather, have a safe and enjoyable Canada Day weekend! Happy 150th Canada!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-4430980145630597462017-06-30T07:28:36.479-05:002017-06-30T07:28:36.479-05:00Despite the widely scattered activity yesterday, i...Despite the widely scattered activity yesterday, it was spotty at most and so many places missed out on a big rain yesterday. That being said, looks like we're sitting at 56% normal rainfall this month (74% at the forks) thought it was worse than that, like in the 30% range. But hopefully July will see more action. This June was such a disappointment for storms.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-21741909187699141932017-06-29T20:02:29.729-05:002017-06-29T20:02:29.729-05:00Northern end of line of T-storms rapidly fizzling ...Northern end of line of T-storms rapidly fizzling over Winnipeg, while stronger convection to the SW and SE (producing up to 50 mm of rain) maintains itself. Surprise!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-16536280993698292662017-06-29T14:42:20.825-05:002017-06-29T14:42:20.825-05:00Looks like a ridge will build in next week that br...Looks like a ridge will build in next week that brings very hot temperatures to us. Not a promising setup considering the lack of rainfall we've had as of late. They are saying that Winnipeg and the RRV are on the edge of a possible drought situation.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-62901613374183418332017-06-28T14:42:15.692-05:002017-06-28T14:42:15.692-05:00Compact, near stationary MCS/MCV affecting NE N Da...Compact, near stationary MCS/MCV affecting NE N Dakota and SE Manitoba giving 50-75 mm rain. Locally.. yet another miss. In fact, in spite of all the cool and unsettled conditions during the latter part of June, precipitation will finish well below average for the second consecutive month. <br /><br />Those moisture deficits will rapidly manifest themselves if and when we get into a sustained period of normal to above normal temperatures and sunny conditions. Not good considering many trees are weakened/ stressed from complete defoliation this spring.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53037963917846400112017-06-28T11:42:30.669-05:002017-06-28T11:42:30.669-05:00Rob how is June so far in terms of comparing it to...Rob how is June so far in terms of comparing it to the seasonal average? Above or below?Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-51564868707115564352017-06-28T08:58:35.183-05:002017-06-28T08:58:35.183-05:00Rob could we hit the 30C mark next week? It's ...Rob could we hit the 30C mark next week? It's definitely looking possible!Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-11963292272656705732017-06-27T22:55:19.886-05:002017-06-27T22:55:19.886-05:00Finally a pattern shift to warmer temps next week....Finally a pattern shift to warmer temps next week.. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-74568819901342553312017-06-27T22:50:47.140-05:002017-06-27T22:50:47.140-05:00Looks like showers and possible thunderstorms Wedn...Looks like showers and possible thunderstorms Wednesday morning over Winnipeg/RRV.. should be out by afternoon with a clearing trend by evening. Thursday looks mainly dry before another chance of rain Friday.. although recent model runs have downplayed the rain threat Friday. At this point, Saturday is looking dry although temps will be cooler than normal for July 1st.. with highs around 20C. But if we can stay rain free that day, most people won't mind the cooler temps. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-51398002838953412232017-06-25T23:39:53.859-05:002017-06-25T23:39:53.859-05:00Slight risk of severe tstorms over southern MB Tue...Slight risk of severe tstorms over southern MB Tuesdy night into Wednesday.. but severe threat looks mainly south of the US border closer to low track and where's there better low level moisture. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-9644448541529698832017-06-25T23:30:43.547-05:002017-06-25T23:30:43.547-05:00It's only been below normal for about 10 days ...It's only been below normal for about 10 days (I know, it feels longer) and don't forget, the first half of June was above normal so this second half is sort of balancing things out. The cooler pattern is thanks to the jet stream that has shifted south of the US border and around a blocking high over the US southwest that has led to record breaking heat in that part of the world. There are signs this pattern will shift back to a warmer pattern for us during the first week of July.. but it's only preliminary signals right now. Hopefully the pattern change develops as indicated. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-21234959451357479702017-06-25T00:13:57.431-05:002017-06-25T00:13:57.431-05:00Rob. Temperature is down to 4.8C as of midnight. C...Rob. Temperature is down to 4.8C as of midnight. Could we be talking about our latest frost in recorded history?? Previous latest was June 20th. I so hope we beat it and get a frost tonight!Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-78235022825403780012017-06-25T00:01:10.089-05:002017-06-25T00:01:10.089-05:00Officially broke the record low max, high of 12.6C...Officially broke the record low max, high of 12.6C today!Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33402020504210138042017-06-24T21:33:32.082-05:002017-06-24T21:33:32.082-05:00June is actually still above normal due to the ear...June is actually still above normal due to the early month heat wave.<br /><br />Highest max I saw was 12.2C today. I think we got this record!Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53254726578470496952017-06-24T18:34:01.112-05:002017-06-24T18:34:01.112-05:00Rob, why has it been so well below normal for thi...Rob, why has it been so well below normal for this long and is there any sign of a change over the next week or two?<br /><br />Also, been hearing rumblings of severe thunderstorm potential for Southern Manitoba for Tuesday-Wednesday next week, What are your thoughts on that?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91222666647136529142017-06-24T16:10:46.677-05:002017-06-24T16:10:46.677-05:00It was actually 10.8C at 1PM
It's 11.5C now at...It was actually 10.8C at 1PM<br />It's 11.5C now at 4PMMatthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-90752140909344961652017-06-24T16:09:16.993-05:002017-06-24T16:09:16.993-05:00I love this weather Rob! I want to break the recor...I love this weather Rob! I want to break the record cold maximum!Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-76857210361602511672017-06-24T13:43:11.315-05:002017-06-24T13:43:11.315-05:00Max of 11.8C at YWG so far as of 1 pm. Awful June ...Max of 11.8C at YWG so far as of 1 pm. Awful June day. We certainly have a good shot at the coldest maximum for today of 13.9C. There is some drier air in the Interlake that may work its way down here by evening and kick our temp up a couple degrees. Otherwise, I don't see us getting much above 13 or 14C. Dreadful weather for June 24th. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-54128839529291719522017-06-23T23:19:47.596-05:002017-06-23T23:19:47.596-05:00Rob could we break tomorrows record low maximum of...Rob could we break tomorrows record low maximum of 13.9C set in 2004, I think we might have a shot at it!Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-68670139333322709492017-06-23T23:18:41.182-05:002017-06-23T23:18:41.182-05:00Rob how long is the cool pattern going to stay for...Rob how long is the cool pattern going to stay for? It looks like we warm up this week but then cool down again. Are we talking about extended period of below normal temps again?<br /><br />Also I'm not sure if you have any idea about this but, why were the late 1800's so cold? Looking at the old records our climate was much colder back then until it warmed significantly in the early 20th century, peaking around 1940, it then cooled off again through the 70's and now it's warmed to the warmest it's ever been.<br /><br />Winter 2013-14 was a perfect example of what used the be the norm every year, and I wish it still was. Our winters aren't long enough, although most people would think I'm crazy for saying that, I love cold weather.<br /><br />Although I do wish we'd get some summer around here this year. I just like a good balance of all 4 season.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-46739079269848569802017-06-23T23:14:37.150-05:002017-06-23T23:14:37.150-05:00Rob I remember March 2012. The winter before that ...Rob I remember March 2012. The winter before that was one of the warmest on record too. If the March 2012 heat wave happened in July I suspect it could have been worse than July 1936.<br /><br />Speaking of March 2012, do you know what the contributing factors to that incredible heat wave were? It literally shattered tens of thousands of records across Canada and the US. I remember places that were normally locked in winter in March were hitting 30C. It was extreme. <br /><br />I would say March 2012 was an easy equivalent for July 1936 and it would have been scary if that set up had happened in the summer.<br /><br />I for one hope we never see that again.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-84503496252853991082017-06-23T22:48:35.181-05:002017-06-23T22:48:35.181-05:00Very preliminary look at weather for next Saturday...Very preliminary look at weather for next Saturday, Canada Day.. our big 150th birthday bash. For Winnipeg and southern MB, models are indicating a system passing through on Friday into Friday night on June 30th spreading some showers across southern MB. Those may linger into Saturday morning but drier weather is forecast for the afternoon and evening, with a mix of sun and cloud. Temperatures will likely be cooler than normal Saturday with highs around 18-20C and lows near 10C. Winds from the north at 20-30 km/h becoming light by evening. <br /><br />So very preliminary guidance hints at dry but cool weather for Canada Day evening celebrations and fireworks here in Winnipeg and srn MB. We'll see how this forecast evolves over the next few days.. but 8 days out, that's what current guidance is suggesting. I'll update expected Canada Day weather as the week goes on. <br /> robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.com