tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post7686090204202846353..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Snow drought continuesUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger20125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-4859147797795391652009-12-21T14:44:11.604-06:002009-12-21T14:44:11.604-06:00Yes, WRF is the same as the NAM which is a mesosca...Yes, WRF is the same as the NAM which is a mesoscale model out to 84 hours. Not sure why they have the two designators. You can see the WRF/NAM output for the Prairies at the College Du Page model link. Unisys only has the NAM/WRF out to 60 hrs.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-24391824446100858872009-12-21T14:27:13.625-06:002009-12-21T14:27:13.625-06:00Rob!
What is this WRF model you speak of???
Is t...Rob!<br /><br />What is this WRF model you speak of???<br /><br />Is the WRF model the same as the NAM model????<br /><br />When I look at your website and look under the model section I see no WRF!!!!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53008793656953664272009-12-21T14:19:11.982-06:002009-12-21T14:19:11.982-06:00Even if we don't see more snow for christmas, ...Even if we don't see more snow for christmas, I know we'll see our first big storm after or before new years. It always happens around that time for some reason.Jordan Knoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-17661894591883422182009-12-21T13:57:40.091-06:002009-12-21T13:57:40.091-06:00Yeah.. WRF is suggesting 10 cm for Winnipeg on the...Yeah.. WRF is suggesting 10 cm for Winnipeg on the 24th from an inverted trof from the main storm while other models like the GLB show no such thing with any snow staying to our southeast. Interestingly, the GFS has backed off on the inverted trof idea with the latest runs. Personally I wouldn't mind a nice Christmas Eve snowstorm.. but we'll have to see how this thing develops. My gut feeling is that we won't see much..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86433084499005624642009-12-21T11:40:33.557-06:002009-12-21T11:40:33.557-06:00Can one say inverted trough for Thursday-Friday......Can one say inverted trough for Thursday-Friday...remember December of 2006? We got about 30cm around New Years with a similar set up!Justin Hobsonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-19285128726516360912009-12-21T09:12:06.269-06:002009-12-21T09:12:06.269-06:00Based on the way models have handled most major st...Based on the way models have handled most major storms so far this fall, I have zero confidence in the GFS, NAM, and other models. Right now the GFS is trending towards moving a part of that Christmas day storm towards Manitoba. However, usually the models will do this, only to gradually remove all precipitation from Manitoba as the actual date gets nearer. Don't get me wrong, I would love to have a big Christmas storm, but I personally don't think it will happen...so feel free to prove me wrong.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-5398395603023262932009-12-21T03:21:27.826-06:002009-12-21T03:21:27.826-06:00Looks like the latest run of the GFS is showing th...Looks like the latest run of the GFS is showing that large storm getting closer to Southern Manitoba!<br /><br />Wind and snow impact look to be greater according to the latest run!!<br /><br />We all know how things can change....<br /><br />Interesting weather to say the least!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70592062365373985062009-12-20T19:46:31.165-06:002009-12-20T19:46:31.165-06:00Shovel.....?????
Never mind the shovel.... get th...Shovel.....?????<br /><br />Never mind the shovel.... get the snow-blower out :>}daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-80455274853042714132009-12-20T19:24:10.829-06:002009-12-20T19:24:10.829-06:00Woo hoo.. a whole cm of new snow today! Largest sn...Woo hoo.. a whole cm of new snow today! Largest snowfall in 10 weeks! I might have to shovel!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-21594267564574230172009-12-20T17:55:02.654-06:002009-12-20T17:55:02.654-06:00Based on current model solutions for that storm la...Based on current model solutions for that storm later next week, it looks like the worst of it will affect areas well to our south and east. General consensus on storm track is from northern Texas to Green Bay area by Christmas Day. ECMWF is a little further west but still keeps worst of the storm to our south and east. For a storm to affect us in the RRV, it would have to track over western Minnesota into NW Ontario, and at this time none of the models indicate that happening. Basically, the main energy that supports this storm dives too far south into the southwest US to generate the storm east of the Rockies. Generally, the storm would have to develop over Colorado to affect us (Colorado lows) while Texas lows usually affect areas further east into the Great Lakes.<br /><br />We may get some attendant snow from the storm if there's an inverted trof out of the storm into the northern Plains/southern MB which the GFS hints at.. but this would be more a general snowfall than a strong storm.<br /><br />Note however that if you have travel plans into Minnesota or NW Ontario towards Christmas (including Minneapolis or Thunder Bay), you may want to keep an eye on the development of this storm which may affect travel in those areas.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-80022991426631850152009-12-20T15:54:39.791-06:002009-12-20T15:54:39.791-06:00Rob!
There looks to be a huge storm this week in ...Rob!<br /><br />There looks to be a huge storm this week in the plain states.<br /><br />With the current pattern is there any chance of that storm hitting southern Manitoba????daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91758801127565198452009-12-20T15:18:43.188-06:002009-12-20T15:18:43.188-06:00I'll be surprised if we even get 2cmI'll be surprised if we even get 2cmDarylnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86228174457662808662009-12-20T14:17:49.613-06:002009-12-20T14:17:49.613-06:00Finally some fresh snow on the ground!!!
Maybe Wi...Finally some fresh snow on the ground!!!<br /><br />Maybe Winnipeg will see 2 cm today!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91607625639876247352009-12-20T14:08:33.479-06:002009-12-20T14:08:33.479-06:00Another miss!
Who activated the shields again?Another miss!<br /><br />Who activated the shields again?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-57749055028083424432009-12-20T12:16:20.018-06:002009-12-20T12:16:20.018-06:00I looks like it's holding up, if not getting s...I looks like it's holding up, if not getting stonger at the moment.Jordan Knoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-51029472396789123832009-12-20T11:27:35.169-06:002009-12-20T11:27:35.169-06:00If it continues exactly the same way it is moving ...If it continues exactly the same way it is moving right now I would think Winnipeg would just get a dusting. Maybe it will intensify a little or move more in a westerly direction than south. Then it looks like we might get a little moreDaryknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-2827883023616917062009-12-20T11:23:07.346-06:002009-12-20T11:23:07.346-06:00Theres a big band coming from western manitoba mov...Theres a big band coming from western manitoba moving in a east southeast motion. I hope winnipeg will get some more snow out of this.Jordan Knoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-55129281993486684442009-12-20T10:11:05.961-06:002009-12-20T10:11:05.961-06:00Sorry, spoke too soon. Looks like we did get some ...Sorry, spoke too soon. Looks like we did get some snow last night, maybe mroe today.jewelsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86578558373013021412009-12-19T18:25:37.368-06:002009-12-19T18:25:37.368-06:00Unusual to see how everyone's getting a nice w...Unusual to see how everyone's getting a nice white christmas but us in Winnipeg.jewelsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-58915246663457151332009-12-19T13:13:02.890-06:002009-12-19T13:13:02.890-06:00I really hope we get a few cm of snow tonight into...I really hope we get a few cm of snow tonight into Sunday just make everything look nice for Christmas!!!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.com