tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post7525131508506607050..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Summer pattern continues..Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger119125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-56707513453104458032012-11-11T17:42:23.882-06:002012-11-11T17:42:23.882-06:00But in a consecutive 12 month period inclusive it ...But in a consecutive 12 month period inclusive it would include all 12 months and if you were to rearrange all of those months it would go from January to December. Unless Rob is including June twice I though he would actually be going from June 1 2011 to May 31, 2012. JJASONDJFMAM Rearranged as JFMAMJJASOND Would still include means of all 12 months and thus still be 2.6 unless i am missing something here.Andersonmzclhttp://nathanyellowhairkupages.edublogs.org/2012/10/31/weight-loss-guidelines-that-you-can-use-729885noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85219036417198421702012-07-30T11:39:23.433-05:002012-07-30T11:39:23.433-05:00At 621PM Bulletin ended Warning for Dunnottar
http...At 621PM Bulletin ended Warning for Dunnottar<br />http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/CWWG/1207292321.wwcn11.html<br /><br />..."SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING ENDED FOR: <br /> R.M. OF COLDWELL INCLUDING LUNDAR AND CLARKLEIGH <br /> R.M. OF ARMSTRONG INCLUDING NARCISSE INWOOD AND FRASERWOOD <br /> R.M. OF ST. LAURENT INCLUDING ST. LAURENT AND OAK POINT <br /> R.M. OF ST. ANDREWS INCLUDING PONEMAH WHYTEWOLD AND MATLOCK "...<br />...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-34394512577735716392012-07-30T11:39:00.339-05:002012-07-30T11:39:00.339-05:00@Anon
The warning for that specific area ended at...@Anon<br /><br />The warning for that specific area ended at 6:21 pm (yes, too early), though a watch was still in place.<br /><br />Why was the warning ended so soon? I'd guess that the radar attenuation and some shadowing at 6:10 and 6:20 (there was another cell between the radar and that area) may have fooled a forecaster. The 6:30 and 6:40 images show the storm clearly again.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39435931679033607782012-07-30T11:19:46.702-05:002012-07-30T11:19:46.702-05:00Is this part of the Woodlands Radar Problem?
Resid...Is this part of the Woodlands Radar Problem?<br />Residents at Dunnottar (Matlock/Whytewold/Ponemah) checked for weather WARNINGS at 6:25 and text at 6:30pm as weird clouds closing in...Two apps on cell did not warn. Storm 8 to 10 minutes later. <br />DonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48912499841152322052012-07-30T10:37:02.425-05:002012-07-30T10:37:02.425-05:00Yesterday - 35.4 C official high. Hottest day of t...Yesterday - 35.4 C official high. Hottest day of the year.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-67803476993420440902012-07-30T05:31:37.349-05:002012-07-30T05:31:37.349-05:00Thanks Garth n Brad. Warning issued at 602 and end...Thanks Garth n Brad. Warning issued at 602 and ended at 622 on next Bulletin Not much timeDonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16528334558979288856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-40040721896666649792012-07-30T02:13:20.384-05:002012-07-30T02:13:20.384-05:00Question:
Was this a derecho event, albiet a shor...Question:<br /><br />Was this a derecho event, albiet a short one?cirrushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16532579087591679411noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-83857164104759037062012-07-30T01:31:31.634-05:002012-07-30T01:31:31.634-05:00@Daniel
I agree, time-lapse images would be helpf...@Daniel<br /><br />I agree, time-lapse images would be helpful for me at this point too. I couldn't tell if they were just forming or dissipating but the pattern, though weak, looked to be mammatus. As they moved to the southeast, some appeared to elongate and have slow clockwise rotation as they went overhead, but without the other characteristics of a funnel. <br /><br />I wish I had the experience of a trained spotter to provide you with more information. However, the relation you make of <br />mammatus to asparatus pre-shear, and seen before the gust front, is an interesting connection. Thanks for your informative posts, Daniel (& Rob and others, of course). Always something to learn around here:)cirrushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16532579087591679411noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39765855313599994392012-07-29T22:42:27.510-05:002012-07-29T22:42:27.510-05:00@Garth:
Good link. The warnings had over 30 minu...@Garth:<br /><br />Good link. The warnings had over 30 minutes of lead time for most areas hit by the storms. EC did a good job of agressively issuing the warnings well ahead of the line.<br /><br />Winnipeg had over an hour of lead time.Bradhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09422961165888722429noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-12298737732152209462012-07-29T22:35:49.112-05:002012-07-29T22:35:49.112-05:00Don,
Read this
http://dd.weatheroffice.gc.ca/bull...Don,<br /><br />Read this<br />http://dd.weatheroffice.gc.ca/bulletins/alphanumeric/20120729/WW/CWWG/23/WWCN11_CWWG_292302___81737<br /><br />There was a watch out all afternoon, elevated to a warning specifically for the Ponemah area you are talking about.<br /><br />R.M. OF ST. ANDREWS INCLUDING PONEMAH WHYTEWOLD AND MATLOCK<br /><br />So what's the problem? Or was the warning issued too late?Garthnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-11237494471697420862012-07-29T22:15:17.851-05:002012-07-29T22:15:17.851-05:00The cell that passed SW of the city showed some fl...The cell that passed SW of the city showed some flickers of getting better organized on radar before quickly collapsing (at least it appeared that way on GRLevel3 radar data). It was also on the end of the line where mesosscale processes can sometimes favor tornado formation. <br /><br />I would really be interested in seeing a time lapse or pictures of the undulating altostratus-type clouds just ahead of the gust front and shelf cloud. It appeared to be the proposed asperatus type with some mammatus embedded. Based on simulations, asperauts is apparently formed under similar conditions as the latter, but wind shears them into wave form. Maybe the shearing process was only partially complete explaining the presence of both. Any thoughts?<br /><br />DanielAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86404095528137944292012-07-29T22:11:17.087-05:002012-07-29T22:11:17.087-05:00Just sayin, on every cook'n Sunday in July wou...Just sayin, on every cook'n Sunday in July would be nice to get a warning to one of southern MBs major population centers, an area extremely vulnerable to straight line or Tornadic winds. St Clements,including Clandeboye Selkirk and Lockport IMO isn't enough.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-26775210972097566652012-07-29T21:46:54.246-05:002012-07-29T21:46:54.246-05:00That's probably what I saw earlier Brad. Easy ...That's probably what I saw earlier Brad. Easy to confuse a funnel for something else when it isn't even a quarter of the way down.Connornoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-30193054190003903092012-07-29T21:11:43.492-05:002012-07-29T21:11:43.492-05:00@Don,
All indications point towards straight-line...@Don,<br /><br />All indications point towards straight-line winds causing the damage. You do -not- need a tornado for significant damage to occur from winds. Odds are that many places north of the city saw straight-line winds between 100-150km/h; more than enough to flatten structures.<br /><br />Many, many people often jump straight to tornado whenever there's wind damage from thunderstorms; it's relatively understandable, considering how many people don't even know that straight-line (or "plow") winds exist.<br /><br />Anyways, with today's setup, storms quickly developed into a organized line with strong linear forcing supplied by the cold front and strong winds aloft helping storm development. Combine that with the relatively pitiful surface inflow winds and it makes tornadoes/funnels a real long-shot. Wouldn't be surprised if there are plenty of people who saw scud today and mistook it for a funnel cloud; there was fantastic lift with really low-level clouds along the leading edge of the whole system today.Bradhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09422961165888722429noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-27952686717116386642012-07-29T21:09:49.718-05:002012-07-29T21:09:49.718-05:00It wasn't included? When I checked in the earl...It wasn't included? When I checked in the early afternoon all of southern MB except the far SW corner had watches out.Garthnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85015995840820988312012-07-29T21:03:18.572-05:002012-07-29T21:03:18.572-05:00Was this a Tornado and why wasn't include in t...Was this a Tornado and why wasn't include in the watches and warnings.<br />Major damage in Ponemah, near Winnipeg beach. Dtr reports Power out Huge trees over Power lines cottages and cars Roads impassable outbound. Those on site claim damage must be a Tornado.<br />FP reportsWinnipeg Beach also severely hit 3K north. <br />DonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-12496474786098552802012-07-29T20:55:40.568-05:002012-07-29T20:55:40.568-05:00Looking a little scary down between Steinbach and ...Looking a little scary down between Steinbach and Sprague. Maybe some rotation.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48615750760891760202012-07-29T20:04:31.565-05:002012-07-29T20:04:31.565-05:00Normal shelf cloud rotation, yes. No organized rot...Normal shelf cloud rotation, yes. No organized rotation otherwise though.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-43413641954500693212012-07-29T20:00:43.728-05:002012-07-29T20:00:43.728-05:00Re. what I thought was a funnel:
After making the...Re. what I thought was a funnel:<br /><br />After making the timelapse into a movie, I didn't see any rotation, so it was just a lowering in the cloudbase after all.<br /><br />Good thing I didn't phone it in. Doesn't appear anyone else saw any signs of rotation either.Connornoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-71610151346784511342012-07-29T19:56:00.603-05:002012-07-29T19:56:00.603-05:00CYWG 300000Z 24020G32KT 1/4SM R36/3000VP6000FT/D T...CYWG 300000Z 24020G32KT 1/4SM R36/3000VP6000FT/D TSRA VV010 19/18 A2978 RMK RA8 HAIL DIAM 100MM SLP087<br /><br />100mm hail? probably a typo - maybe 10mm hail diameter. <br /><br />Chris WestwoodAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-36739345236524449882012-07-29T19:53:30.655-05:002012-07-29T19:53:30.655-05:00It looked promising but turned out to be almost a ...It looked promising but turned out to be almost a non-event in the Southdale-Island Lake area. Strongest winds gusts maybe 60 km/h, saw a few pea sized hail stones. Only 4 or 5 mm rain and the streets are almost dry now, very disappointing.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-68219964943736621032012-07-29T19:23:51.314-05:002012-07-29T19:23:51.314-05:00Wow! Winds seemed sustained at a high speed for a...Wow! Winds seemed sustained at a high speed for a few minutes (7:05pm), with even higher gusts (90-100?km/h) Small hail as well (south-central city).cirrushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16532579087591679411noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39450484616514905382012-07-29T19:23:13.258-05:002012-07-29T19:23:13.258-05:00just spitting now east of the city in Oakbank. See...just spitting now east of the city in Oakbank. Seems like the storm split in our area. My gauge only reading 4-5 mm :(Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-92069521367417988362012-07-29T19:19:51.606-05:002012-07-29T19:19:51.606-05:00Worst part of line thru the SW parts of the city a...Worst part of line thru the SW parts of the city and north towards Selkirk. No hail in central Winnipeg and about 15-20 mm rain max<br /><br />DanielAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-63764547590581775262012-07-29T19:17:10.236-05:002012-07-29T19:17:10.236-05:00I'd definitely rate this one a 9. Did not disa...I'd definitely rate this one a 9. Did not disappoint much, and gave us some much needed rain.Connornoreply@blogger.com