tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post7512827132859420646..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Big melt ends with drenching rains.. colder weather on the way with some snowUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger32125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-18486388901583622262016-03-23T13:30:40.717-05:002016-03-23T13:30:40.717-05:00I've been afraid of something like that happen...I've been afraid of something like that happening.. We've been lucky here in Winnipeg/southern MB so far this March missing most of the storms. But if we continue to stay below normal into April, it's only a matter of time before we get hit. Hopefully our luck continues and we escape this below normal spell with minimal snowfall, but our luck can only hold out for so long.. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50561912257774970042016-03-23T12:10:14.905-05:002016-03-23T12:10:14.905-05:00Yikes, models hinting at a major winter storm that...Yikes, models hinting at a major winter storm that could impact us later next week. Regardless of whether or not the storm impacts us, the real story is the chill that follows the storm. All long range models strongly agree on chilly Starr to April with daytime highs well below normal through at least and I say at least April 8th or so. Whatever to the idea that this was going be a warmer than normal Spring. Just an after thought now.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50968002441159238132016-03-23T10:08:54.008-05:002016-03-23T10:08:54.008-05:00Generally 5-10 cm snow totals south and west of Br...Generally 5-10 cm snow totals south and west of Brandon, including 11 cm in Elkhorn and 7.6 cm in Virden. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-29621964603788322742016-03-22T19:26:29.907-05:002016-03-22T19:26:29.907-05:00Could be a few days now and then that we get to +5...Could be a few days now and then that we get to +5 to +8C, but nothing sustained into the beginning of April. Looks like a generally below normal temperature pattern shaping up unfortunately. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-57574648975339805152016-03-22T19:24:04.994-05:002016-03-22T19:24:04.994-05:00Depends which way you're headed. Looks like ar...Depends which way you're headed. Looks like area of snow will be moving out of southern MB from the north and west Friday morning, but could linger much of the day along and south of the US border into SE MB. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-68893063495786023662016-03-22T16:55:13.618-05:002016-03-22T16:55:13.618-05:00Hey rob, I just wanted to ask if we at all are goi...Hey rob, I just wanted to ask if we at all are going to see springlike weather soon? Wondering when our daytime high temperatures will start getting above 5C on a regular basis. I am kind of tired of seeing temperatures only a degree or 2 above zero and slightly below zero. What's causing this cooler than normal weather?<br /><br />Thank's. <br /><br />Here's hoping spring weather comes soon!<br /><br />-MikeMikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88562816131767967102016-03-22T16:53:24.099-05:002016-03-22T16:53:24.099-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33838516108415746362016-03-22T15:36:48.418-05:002016-03-22T15:36:48.418-05:00Rob, for planning upcoming long weekend highway tr...Rob, for planning upcoming long weekend highway travel does it now appear that majority of any precip moving through the south with this next system will be a bit sooner now late day Thursday/Thursday night instead of during day Friday as earlier predicted?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-58199163958094862732016-03-22T14:59:52.804-05:002016-03-22T14:59:52.804-05:00Not quite a miss.. but it's looking like we...Not quite a miss.. but it's looking like we'll just get marginal amounts of snow across Winnipeg/RRV with it. More snow likely across Interlake with initial impulse, and then again over ND as system intensifies a bit as it tracks to our south. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-26969177524577923152016-03-22T14:10:12.179-05:002016-03-22T14:10:12.179-05:003-6 cm reported over SW corner of MB up to 8 am th...3-6 cm reported over SW corner of MB up to 8 am this morning.. snow continues there today with another 2-5 cm possible. Thankfully staying well to our southwest..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-43034089584908977342016-03-22T10:16:35.418-05:002016-03-22T10:16:35.418-05:00Are all models that were forecasting Friday's ...Are all models that were forecasting Friday's snow now saying the storm misses us?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-71927553007926715522016-03-21T11:28:18.189-05:002016-03-21T11:28:18.189-05:00Updated forecasts now calling for 5 cm over SW cor...Updated forecasts now calling for 5 cm over SW corner of the province. Still think some places near the SK border could see close to 10 cm by Tuesday afternoon. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-76205595933585619312016-03-21T10:31:48.510-05:002016-03-21T10:31:48.510-05:00Still looking like 5-10 cm for SW Manitoba this af...Still looking like 5-10 cm for SW Manitoba this afternoon through tonight into Tuesday morning. Odd that forecasts only calling for 2 cm tonight in that area. Most guidance going with higher amounts. As for Winnipeg, we should escape with a dusting if anything. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-24857682263043068252016-03-21T10:03:45.407-05:002016-03-21T10:03:45.407-05:00Models are indicating a clipper system coming thro...Models are indicating a clipper system coming through Friday, but still considerable uncertainty about track and snowfall distribution. The Canadian GDPS has a track through ND, with about 10 cm for Winnipeg (although 7 cm of that is forecast to fall within 3 hrs). GFS has a similar track, but not as much snow for Winnipeg.. maybe 5 cm or so. The ECMWF on the other hand takes a track further north across southern MB, bringing the bulk of snow through the Interlake with a mix of rain and wet snow over Winnipeg/RRV and minimal accumulation. Bottom line, there is the potential for accumulating snow over southern MB Friday, but still too early to say where main axis of snowfall will be, or how much. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86679560068530523222016-03-21T08:37:26.945-05:002016-03-21T08:37:26.945-05:00Hi Rob,
Another snow storm on Friday?Hi Rob,<br /><br />Another snow storm on Friday?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53187022539293609392016-03-20T12:44:15.140-05:002016-03-20T12:44:15.140-05:00Mike.. Yes, latest guidance is indicating that bul...Mike.. Yes, latest guidance is indicating that bulk of snow with next clipper system will be falling mainly over SW Manitoba Monday night into Tuesday morning with a good 5-10 cm possible over Brandon-Virden-Pilot Mound-Melita areas, local 10-15. Winnipeg gets clipped with a dusting to 2 cm on the eastern flank of the precip shield. More snow the further southwest of Winnipeg you go. That's how it's looking now.. hopefully it doesn't trend further east. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-44343971578283268852016-03-19T17:51:47.193-05:002016-03-19T17:51:47.193-05:00I have been looking at the latest model runs and a...I have been looking at the latest model runs and at the moment there remains 2cm for Winnipeg, but about 15cm in southwestern Manitoba. What are the odds of that happening? I am not wanting at all to be a bug, just simply stating a fact.Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-27176855288617706692016-03-19T11:40:25.764-05:002016-03-19T11:40:25.764-05:00Rob Last weeks weather results in this weekends wa...Rob Last weeks weather results in this weekends water sports select my name or copy and paste.<br />https://www.icloud.com/sharedalbum/#B0UGfnH8tsLxDpQ;F10C24CD-C565-4317-AB90-AB46B29B81C4<br />Donhttps://www.icloud.com/sharedalbum/#B0UGfnH8tsLxDpQ;F10C24CD-C565-4317-AB90-AB46B29B81C4noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-4519182009502283142016-03-19T10:55:36.799-05:002016-03-19T10:55:36.799-05:00That's a good thing Rob the river rose 18 feet...That's a good thing Rob the river rose 18 feet in a couple of days without this added to it . We need a few more cool nights to get rid of all thisJimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03903818436067284685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-71858614094338180352016-03-18T22:41:07.016-05:002016-03-18T22:41:07.016-05:00Current snow will not last until April (except in ...Current snow will not last until April (except in piles and north facing exposures).. there is limited snowcover just 10-20 km SW of the city. Even locally, open areas are a mosaic of a few cm of snow interspersed with sheet water. Lots of moisture flux and latent heat release. Melting will accelerate Saturday and Sunday as we pick up a westerly flow. <br /><br />GFS and GEM Global 12Z runs showed a trace to a couple of cm accumulation for Tuesday's system. EURO show a different track for the disturbance. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85766279675860249322016-03-18T18:36:38.824-05:002016-03-18T18:36:38.824-05:00Just a correction on my post from 6:32. It should ...Just a correction on my post from 6:32. It should have said another thing to note and Anthony to nite. Darn autocorrect.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-31617934864827191922016-03-18T18:32:06.127-05:002016-03-18T18:32:06.127-05:00I hope everyone enjoyed the nice taste of Spring w...I hope everyone enjoyed the nice taste of Spring we had last weekend because it's likely going to be quite some time before we see those Temps again. You know we had a 30 cm snowpack that vanished within just a few days and now get a 8-10 cm snowfall that will likely still be around come April. Figure that one out. And to make matters worse, models are hinting at another 10+ cm snowfall Tuesday. Anthony to nite is that the last week of March, the period of March 27 to 31st is looking quite chilly, perhaps well below normal.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-25167094417857984592016-03-18T18:31:51.442-05:002016-03-18T18:31:51.442-05:00Snow melting steadily with grass starting to show ...Snow melting steadily with grass starting to show in some areas. 5-10 cm soil temps just above freezing (at Portage) with 5 cm and shallower layers isothermal near 0 C.. so ground heat flux is probably finished melting snow; and the March sun is taking over. Limited snowcover appears visible on webcams off to our south and west as close as Sanford and St Agathe.<br /><br />Guidance is likely too cool for places inside the city where temperatures made it above freezing today. This will be particularly true once we get a westerly and southwesterly flow by Saturday and Sunday off of the reduced snowcover regions. GFS and GEMGlobal have backed on off snow potential for the Monday/Tuesday system (dusting to 2 cm) with some uncertainty as to the track of the disturbance. <br /><br />Seasonably cool, but hopefully with a steady progression towards spring.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-10210112232878328522016-03-18T18:17:43.913-05:002016-03-18T18:17:43.913-05:00What's with this upper ridge thing on the west...What's with this upper ridge thing on the west coast all the time. Seems to be a pretty common theme. All I can say folks don't expect much in the way of nice weather over the next few weeks or even months because these patterns don't go away just like thatAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-44679791956363059892016-03-18T18:11:45.620-05:002016-03-18T18:11:45.620-05:00So much for a warmer than normal SpringSo much for a warmer than normal SpringAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com