tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post7289872284251780364..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Severe thunderstorms possible over southern MB this afternoon/evening..Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger62125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-6924127988392807882010-12-14T19:30:13.588-06:002010-12-14T19:30:13.588-06:00Nice post, kind of drawn out though. Really good s...Nice post, kind of drawn out though. Really good subject matter though.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-30748488585215273592010-12-10T17:22:20.746-06:002010-12-10T17:22:20.746-06:00Wow, that's crazy man. They should really try ...Wow, that's crazy man. They should really try to do something to fix that.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-18875113769707176482010-06-26T11:35:31.664-05:002010-06-26T11:35:31.664-05:00Nice clear zone developing over the RRV. It is now...Nice clear zone developing over the RRV. It is now 25/20 in Steinbach.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-37307297190939850272010-06-26T10:50:22.014-05:002010-06-26T10:50:22.014-05:00I hope they are better at path predictions than we...I hope they are better at path predictions than we appear to be recently...<br /><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=17.3&lon=-86.1&zoom=6&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=1&hur.wr=0&hur.cod=1&hur.fx=1&hur.obs=1&fire=0&ft=0&sl=0" rel="nofollow">TS Alex Wundermap</a>Donhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16528334558979288856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-46121272512277786362010-06-25T21:23:56.600-05:002010-06-25T21:23:56.600-05:00Tomorrow looks to hinge on daytime heating (BIG su...Tomorrow looks to hinge on daytime heating (BIG surprise).<br /><br />00Z NAM shows 30C temperatures in the RRV, while GFS shows temperatures only around 24C. We'll have to wait until tomorrow to see when the clouds roll in. If we're lucky, then the NAM will be right and we may see some big storms, with shear of 35 to 50kts and CAPE of 2000J/kg or more (if temps reach 30C).Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-11355385345963032982010-06-25T21:03:48.762-05:002010-06-25T21:03:48.762-05:00Looks stormy tomorrow. Any thoughts about some sev...Looks stormy tomorrow. Any thoughts about some severe storms, tornadoes maybe?Maxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09511971659100579935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-92232325462745807502010-06-25T20:13:06.390-05:002010-06-25T20:13:06.390-05:00Did anyone see Winnipeg forecast for tonight????
...Did anyone see Winnipeg forecast for tonight????<br /><br />Clearing this evening!<br /><br />If anything it will become cloudy....not clear!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-16995148203246798182010-06-25T20:11:26.929-05:002010-06-25T20:11:26.929-05:00With the dewpoints much higher than they were last...With the dewpoints much higher than they were last night one would think they should hold together longer!!!<br /><br />A few warnings for western Manitoba with some strong cells!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-969404071916648442010-06-25T19:47:10.891-05:002010-06-25T19:47:10.891-05:00Daniel P!!!!
With the low-level jet being so weak...Daniel P!!!!<br /><br />With the low-level jet being so weak, I think they'll die before they hit the city!!!!!!!!<br /><br />What do you think????!?!?!?!?!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-87851731836562173622010-06-25T19:17:03.888-05:002010-06-25T19:17:03.888-05:00Will those storms in Western Manitoba make it into...Will those storms in Western Manitoba make it into Winnipeg tonight???<br /><br />Or will they fall apart like they did last night????daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-28213665776315523212010-06-25T12:39:09.735-05:002010-06-25T12:39:09.735-05:00We've cleared out nicely but once again convec...We've cleared out nicely but once again convection should be focused where best moisture/instability remains pooled:<br /><br />1)off to our south associated with warm front of low in northern plains and LLJ<br /><br />2)along inverted trough in Saskatchewan<br /><br />A stray cell could form off lake breeze boundaries...would be marginally severe with deep shear of 30 kts. With a lack of LLJ convection should weaken with loss of daytime heating...Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00949425441824069047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-32604561446742575172010-06-25T12:24:53.896-05:002010-06-25T12:24:53.896-05:00Didn't see a drop of rain in my end. Quite hum...Didn't see a drop of rain in my end. Quite humid out there at the moment. Looks like we may get some summer next week?Chris - Windsor Parknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88470261323973184682010-06-25T01:40:30.046-05:002010-06-25T01:40:30.046-05:00Definitely got hit hard here in the north end of R...Definitely got hit hard here in the north end of Regina yesterday. I had 27 mm between 3:30 and 4 PM with hail and the temp dropped from 27 to 12 C.<br><br> Ended up with 47.5 mm for the day.<br><br> Tornado warnings issued for the municipalities adjacent to Regina but nothing reported on the ground that I heard.<br><br>New cells still popping up even at this hour (12:30 AM).<br><br> My lightning detector is getting a workout after a slow start to the season.<br /><br /><a rel="nofollow"> http://nwrweather.com</a>Deanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16638645686512866818noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-487976517649642352010-06-24T21:54:19.553-05:002010-06-24T21:54:19.553-05:00The northern end of precipitation region show sign...The northern end of precipitation region show signs of weakening... with the loss of daytime heating there is little in the way of dynamics to keep it going. Watch for convection to become more focused south building into LLJ as it ramps up.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00949425441824069047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-31269246056608200172010-06-24T19:23:42.594-05:002010-06-24T19:23:42.594-05:00Looks like Southern Manitoba is going to get some ...Looks like Southern Manitoba is going to get some heavy rain tonight!!<br /><br />The last thing we need for the farmers!!!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-45829684667695998402010-06-24T19:08:18.366-05:002010-06-24T19:08:18.366-05:00Just watching Estevan get creamed by a severe stor...Just watching Estevan get creamed by a severe storm (click my name).Scotthttp://webcam.cap.estevan.sk.ca/Home.htmnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-62773719956203499582010-06-24T18:44:43.386-05:002010-06-24T18:44:43.386-05:00I think rain is pretty much a sure bet tonight, es...I think rain is pretty much a sure bet tonight, especially with extent of convection along the jet in SK right now. Thunderstorm, eh, maybe not. Either way, whatever comes though, I'm fairly sure it'll be at hours I'd rather be sleeping :)Bradhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09422961165888722429noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70088330717566274902010-06-24T17:54:56.915-05:002010-06-24T17:54:56.915-05:00Wow I hope we get something tonight, otherwise loo...Wow I hope we get something tonight, otherwise looks like Saturday or Saturday night hopefully. Haven't been hit by a thunderstorm here in the south end since June 8. I agree, storm deprivation is a good way to put it! Been envying others too!Maxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09511971659100579935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-65460900672320283162010-06-24T17:26:36.581-05:002010-06-24T17:26:36.581-05:00I had to digest all the world cup news/analysis fo...I had to digest all the world cup news/analysis for today... but yeah... moisture/ instability pooling ahead of a disturbance is triggering another round of storms that (ofcourse) is missing the city. I for one feel deprived haha. <br /><br />Upper flow turns SW and lee cyclogenesis causes surface low to form on Montana/Wyoming border. Warm front along int'l border and associated frontogenesis sharpens in response. LLJ ramps up tonite across stalled front generating nocturnal convection. Question is where... NAM seems too far south with LLJ and is very weak with low. However even GFS suggests MCS will track acorss southern RRV and - surprise, surprise - miss the city. I didn't have a chance to look regional or global GEM.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00949425441824069047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-23964216418709134122010-06-24T09:58:40.493-05:002010-06-24T09:58:40.493-05:00The system that produced 10mm of rain since midnig...The system that produced 10mm of rain since midnight in SW SK seems to have tripped over the MB border or at least Hwy 83 this morning.<br /><br />Will we see this reappearing this afternoon in Winnipeg?Jimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03903818436067284685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-78832993001451392012010-06-24T09:33:18.811-05:002010-06-24T09:33:18.811-05:00Severe Storms Possible Today through Saturday
NWS...<a href="http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=fgf&storyid=54083&source=0" rel="nofollow">Severe Storms Possible Today through Saturday</a><br /><br />NWS Grand Forks Graphic and TextJimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03903818436067284685noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-59130887357890787512010-06-23T22:45:09.179-05:002010-06-23T22:45:09.179-05:00Is that 25 to 50mm Friday to Monday Southern Manit...Is that 25 to 50mm Friday to Monday Southern Manitoba forecast (again) for real.<br /><br />Have we grown so blazeĢ with less than 30mm QPF that it barely warrants a mention, or is "Shock and Awe" the new de rigueur requirement for comment??Donhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16528334558979288856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-21492288125348926822010-06-23T20:35:14.832-05:002010-06-23T20:35:14.832-05:00Special Weather statement issued for all the smoke...Special Weather statement issued for all the smoke!!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-13093610637744399522010-06-23T20:04:16.133-05:002010-06-23T20:04:16.133-05:00Interesting seeing the smoke from the fires in nor...Interesting seeing the smoke from the fires in northern Saskatchewan on visible satelliteAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-63936533787488593052010-06-23T16:07:23.178-05:002010-06-23T16:07:23.178-05:00Shear seemd to be the limiting factor.. storms onl...Shear seemd to be the limiting factor.. storms only occasionally acquired true supercellular characteristics. Had the low level flow been SE or SSE.. rotation within cells would have been more persistent.<br /><br />When I encountered the cell yesterday I likely saw the remnants of the funnel associated with the Marquette tornado. As the cell crossed the Red River at Lockport I did not notice any obvious rotation within the wall cloud/ inflow structure.<br /><br /><br />Upper flow has turned NNW at 850 hPa backing to WNW at 300 hPA. Core of coold air and low dewpoints (3-5 C) will pass to our NE and affect Northern Ontario. Surface and upper ridge pass thru before upper flow turns SW again. Poternial for heavy nocturnal rains return by Friday morning as warm front stalls to our south and is intersected by LLJ. Severe looks unlikley as all the surface based instability appears to remain well south of our region.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00949425441824069047noreply@blogger.com