tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post6710471429670104006..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Winter storm threat increasing for southern MB this weekend.. snowfall amounts still uncertainUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger82125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-81366327066882659992012-11-08T14:42:27.513-06:002012-11-08T14:42:27.513-06:00New post up! New post up! robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-10832160251903242322012-11-08T14:14:23.318-06:002012-11-08T14:14:23.318-06:00Boo the forecasted amounts seem to be going down, ...Boo the forecasted amounts seem to be going down, turning into a progressive system pushing everything to our S and E (NAM has high amounts. What about Euro models?). GEM and even GFS now pushing everything towards a secnario 1 situation. Can't seem to get a break, summer or winter!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-19588354668905310732012-11-08T12:56:20.809-06:002012-11-08T12:56:20.809-06:00I agree with you Conner. Let it come!! More snow t...I agree with you Conner. Let it come!! More snow the better!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-43457307982739605222012-11-08T12:54:11.216-06:002012-11-08T12:54:11.216-06:00I would love a good snow day (don't kill me fo...I would love a good snow day (don't kill me for saying this!). Bad news for any vacationers though.<br /><br />I'll probably set up a timelapse Friday night and continue it through Sunday morning.Connornoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-3592022134072285592012-11-08T12:51:06.641-06:002012-11-08T12:51:06.641-06:00I'm surprised Wunderground is forecasting a to...I'm surprised Wunderground is forecasting a total of 25cm of snow for us throughout Saturday. They have been very accurate in the past when forecasting snowfall amounts, and this most likely will be significant ifd they turn out to be right. Awesome!Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-61134913857543805942012-11-08T12:46:02.542-06:002012-11-08T12:46:02.542-06:00Should we be surprised at this? I seem to recall t...Should we be surprised at this? I seem to recall this storms namesake one of Caesars trusted XXing him as well.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-63449539314577617642012-11-08T12:41:57.765-06:002012-11-08T12:41:57.765-06:00I see the call is for 10-15 CM for Winnipeg. Oh, y...I see the call is for 10-15 CM for Winnipeg. Oh, yes we have heard that before with colorado lows...remember 1986 and 2006? <br /><br />We all know how that ended...Both major storms of 30 cm and even more in 1986 which that storm just happens to be one of Winnipeg's worst blizzards in history.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-14668345852284880692012-11-08T11:39:29.917-06:002012-11-08T11:39:29.917-06:00Rob, what are your thoughts on the storm. Seems it...Rob, what are your thoughts on the storm. Seems its changing continuously from hour to hour? 10-15 cm snow with a chance to have more?? Or not much, seen last hour CTV was saying 15-20 cm? Weather network says 15. Guess we won't know till it is all said and done?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-72745011856326211082012-11-08T11:38:29.682-06:002012-11-08T11:38:29.682-06:00The forecasting of this system reminds me of the l...The forecasting of this system reminds me of the latest US presidential election!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-69196318147305438232012-11-08T11:36:29.654-06:002012-11-08T11:36:29.654-06:00If would be quite disappointing if we only get a d...If would be quite disappointing if we only get a dusting after all the talk of a snow "storm"Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-62690377265828659952012-11-08T11:10:43.071-06:002012-11-08T11:10:43.071-06:00Just looked at EC 11:00am update and they seem to ...Just looked at EC 11:00am update and they seem to be downgrading it a bit. Now a 60% chance of flurries on friday and the snow for saturday now shows only 3 snow flakes.Darylnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-66321179498869769242012-11-08T09:41:46.412-06:002012-11-08T09:41:46.412-06:00Loving the analysis, folks.
Even the latest NAM s...Loving the analysis, folks.<br /><br />Even the latest NAM slows things down a bit and would give southern MB/northern ND/MN a good dumping of snow.Dereknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50936680741165173992012-11-08T06:42:53.395-06:002012-11-08T06:42:53.395-06:00Thanks Rob...
Does appear heaviest snow should...Thanks Rob... <br /><br />Does appear heaviest snow should be in a band from Williston ND through the Turtle Mountain region on toward Steinbach region give or take a bit..Dan - NWS GFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39515235790112612752012-11-08T06:37:13.552-06:002012-11-08T06:37:13.552-06:00Model consensus from last night have started to sh...Model consensus from last night have started to show heaviest snow mainly along and S of Transcanada into SE MB.. where 15 to 25 cm still possible. Latest model estimates showing about 10-15 cm for Winnipeg, although GFS still indicating 25 cm for us which seems high given more eastern track of storm.<br /><br />Updated scenario probabilities would be something like..<br /><br />Scenario 1 ... 50%<br />Scenario 2 .... 40%<br />Scenario 3 .... 10% <br /><br />Timing still looks about the same.. snow generally spreading in from the south sometime Friday night, increasing through Saturday, then tapering off Saturday night into Sunday. <br /><br />Again.. looking at about 10-15 cm for Winnipeg, higher amounts possible south and east of us. Trump card would be where 700 mb low tracks.. which could provide some enhanced snowfall away from the main axis. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70597105887932578242012-11-08T03:21:00.932-06:002012-11-08T03:21:00.932-06:00I agree with Dan, GFS/Euro have been best at handl...I agree with Dan, GFS/Euro have been best at handling this system so far. They have been very consistent...hard to go against that.<br /><br />Pretty good snowstorm/potential Blizzard shaping up for Winnipeg and Southern Manitoba into North Dakota<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-78050590996321166512012-11-08T02:42:04.907-06:002012-11-08T02:42:04.907-06:00Doing the forecast on this mid shift again at NWS ...Doing the forecast on this mid shift again at NWS Grand Forks... we I did was to go winter storm watch for areas along and north of Rosaeau MN to Grand Forks ND line. <br /><br />Prefer the GFS/Euro which seems the most reasonable and they have been very consistent. That idea would spread heavy snow west central-northwest ND east-northeast through northern ND into southern Manitoba. <br /><br />Would gather right now best bet for over a foot turtle mountains to Steinbach region. Dan - NWS GFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-12600955779775171002012-11-08T02:27:32.574-06:002012-11-08T02:27:32.574-06:0000Z NAM and 00Z GEM appear more progressive thus s...00Z NAM and 00Z GEM appear more progressive thus still have scenario 1 solution with less snow here and more to the southeast.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-49301910686381283352012-11-08T00:43:38.050-06:002012-11-08T00:43:38.050-06:0000Z UKMET is pretty much in line with GFS.00Z UKMET is pretty much in line with GFS.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-47713264189419909612012-11-07T22:23:58.466-06:002012-11-07T22:23:58.466-06:0000Z GFS keeps with that. Lots of snow for RRV/SE M...00Z GFS keeps with that. Lots of snow for RRV/SE MB on Saturday. Verbatim would probably be close to a foot in spots if not more. Things should become more clear tomorrow.Dereknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-4855524649400363482012-11-07T21:12:40.815-06:002012-11-07T21:12:40.815-06:00Wow...18Z GFS tonight is giving major snowfall amo...Wow...18Z GFS tonight is giving major snowfall amounts upwards of 30 CM (1 Foot) of snow in some parts of the RRV/SE MB, but big question...will it be right?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-42623446497341444972012-11-07T20:02:23.674-06:002012-11-07T20:02:23.674-06:00Mother nature is teasing us.Mother nature is teasing us.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-17987018687147656382012-11-07T20:00:21.885-06:002012-11-07T20:00:21.885-06:00Heard some hail too on my air conditioner. Couldn&...Heard some hail too on my air conditioner. Couldn't verify due to a crap vantage point and the fact that it's dark.Connornoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-38075431816036778782012-11-07T19:58:58.598-06:002012-11-07T19:58:58.598-06:00Light hail coming down in La Salle. Some accumulat...Light hail coming down in La Salle. Some accumulation on the ground but not much at all. Looks like it stopped after 30 seconds.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33049058665408592032012-11-07T19:48:31.431-06:002012-11-07T19:48:31.431-06:00Lightning detector confirms lightning stike in ban...Lightning detector confirms lightning stike in band of showers just SW of the city. Report of thunder in Charleswood.. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-28325089713595402072012-11-07T19:41:37.181-06:002012-11-07T19:41:37.181-06:00K thanks lol I knew I wasn't just crazy! I hea...K thanks lol I knew I wasn't just crazy! I heard thunder in south end a few minutes ago, and no one believed me... lolAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com