tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post6509230068564927562..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Mild start to November.. snow by Thursday?Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-50988655395742898102008-11-03T15:17:00.000-06:002008-11-03T15:17:00.000-06:00Models trending towards more of a rain event on Th...Models trending towards more of a rain event on Thursday for Red River valley and SE MB, before changing to snow Thursday night into Friday as storm winds down. This would keep snow accumulations down in RRV and SE MB to perhaps 5 cm or less. <BR/><BR/>Heavier snow possible (10-20 cm) over higher elevations west of Red River valley Thursday and Thursday night (e.g. Pilot Mound area) as colder air and lower freezing level would give more snow than rain for those areas.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-79986066001630379362008-11-03T15:14:00.000-06:002008-11-03T15:14:00.000-06:00We got up to 21.0C here in Steinbach, what a beaut...We got up to 21.0C here in Steinbach, what a beautiful day!<BR/><BR/>I doubt it will get above 21.0C again today, it is 19.7C right now. The models show the warm air being whisked out of the RRV early this evening which,I think, should prevent higher temperatures for the remainder of the day.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88888743780112954522008-11-03T14:39:00.000-06:002008-11-03T14:39:00.000-06:00Record high of 18.8C set at Winnipeg airport this ...Record high of 18.8C set at Winnipeg airport this afternoon. A few 20 degree readings found over southeastern MB today including Steinbach and Sprague.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-24703533251129679002008-11-03T11:17:00.000-06:002008-11-03T11:17:00.000-06:00Already 16.5C here. I wouldn't be surprised if we ...Already 16.5C here. I wouldn't be surprised if we hit 20C either. <BR/><BR/>Looks like the blizzard is still in the forecast, it will be a very exciting week.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-37392002364961400852008-11-03T10:33:00.000-06:002008-11-03T10:33:00.000-06:00Daniel..I suspect TWN uses GFS data for their exte...Daniel..<BR/><BR/>I suspect TWN uses GFS data for their extended forecasts beyond Day 5.. They use Canadian model data up to Day 5. I'm not sure if they do some post processing on the guidance, but sometimes the numbers beyond Day 5 appear very questionable. <BR/><BR/>As for today.. no question it's a beauty! We're up to 14C as of 10:30 am, on our way towards a record high today (current record 18.3C). We even have a shot of hitting the 20C mark with plenty of sunshine this afternoon. (Nov 3rd is the only day between Nov 1-5th that Winnipeg has not hit at least 20C since 1872..maybe we'll finally do it today) Upper air analysis shows 15-18C air at 850 mb over Red River valley this morning which should mix down with a good southerly flow. If this was August, we'd be seeing 25C temperatures today!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-58136167504445340212008-11-03T10:18:00.000-06:002008-11-03T10:18:00.000-06:00Talking about the weather network's forecast.....L...Talking about the weather network's forecast.....<BR/>Look at Portage La Prairie forecast for Thursday!<BR/>The weather network website is calling for 20 -30 cm of snow for that day!!<BR/>Hmmmmm......<BR/>Rob! <BR/>The long range is also showing some very cold air in here by early next week with highs of only -7 C<BR/>Is the computer models overdoing the cold air or you think these temperature could happen????Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-26574219921918834432008-11-02T21:57:00.000-06:002008-11-02T21:57:00.000-06:00I have a question I was hoping someone will be abl...I have a question I was hoping someone will be able to answer!!!!<BR/><BR/>Which computer model ( GFS , NAM etc...) does the weather NETWORK use for their 14 day trend.<BR/>Sometimes you have to wonder where they get their information from.<BR/>One day it shows snow for 7 straight days and cold air...and the next day only one day of snow and above normal air.....Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-36180409581036577192008-11-02T19:52:00.000-06:002008-11-02T19:52:00.000-06:00Yes, that's correct.. 19C would beat the 1903 reco...Yes, that's correct.. 19C would beat the 1903 record of 18.3C for Nov 3rd. Certainly possible given the 15C air moving in at 850 mb and a southerly flow with partly sunny skies. <BR/><BR/>Today was a real beauty.. 11-12C with lots of sun and little wind, which made it feel even warmer. Truly some bonus weather for this time of year. Hopefully we don't pay the price too much by Thursday! (latest model runs have steered the storm a little further south and east of us which could take the main snow out of Winnipeg..)robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-28046594766170209372008-11-02T17:37:00.000-06:002008-11-02T17:37:00.000-06:00As far as I could find 19 would be a new record. I...As far as I could find 19 would be a new record. I believe the current record is 18.3C, set in 1903.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91554086732384676062008-11-02T16:15:00.000-06:002008-11-02T16:15:00.000-06:00WOWThe forecast high for Winnipeg tomorrow will be...WOW<BR/>The forecast high for Winnipeg tomorrow will be 19 C!!!!<BR/>I wonder.... would that be a new record high if that temperature would verify~~~~Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-79198259916403754212008-11-02T12:20:00.000-06:002008-11-02T12:20:00.000-06:00There will most certainly be a chance for a heavy ...There will most certainly be a chance for a heavy snowfall warning if the current forecast plays out...<BR/><BR/>FYI the heavy snowfall warning criteria is:<BR/><BR/>10cm of snow in 12 hours or less, <B>OR</B> 15cm of snow in 24 hours or less.<BR/><BR/>You are right Daniel, some meteorologists may lose some hair over this forecast.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-12335077465154670692008-11-02T10:19:00.000-06:002008-11-02T10:19:00.000-06:00one thing is for certain....It will be turning qui...one thing is for certain....<BR/>It will be turning quite cold on Thursday and beyond!<BR/>With a high of 1 C of Thursday (if that stays the forecast high)......<BR/><BR/>Environment Canada will be pulling out there hair for Winnipeg's forecast trying to decide if will rain, snow ...or both!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-23344247049474791122008-11-02T09:41:00.000-06:002008-11-02T09:41:00.000-06:00is there any chance of a heavy snowfall warning an...is there any chance of a heavy snowfall warning anywhere?Connorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16890729307808750701noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-38233130672216824582008-11-02T08:50:00.000-06:002008-11-02T08:50:00.000-06:00I also just noticed that we have now racked up thr...I also just noticed that we have now racked up <B>three</B> above normal months in a row! Keep the warmth coming!Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-46257829091486354422008-11-02T08:48:00.000-06:002008-11-02T08:48:00.000-06:00The models are still clearly in disagreement about...The models are still clearly in disagreement about precipitation amounts:<BR/><BR/>................Rain...........Snow....<BR/>GEM-Global: ..11mm/10mm......18cm/30cm<BR/>GFS: .........43mm/37mm......26cm/25cm<BR/><BR/>(Steinbach/Winnipeg)<BR/><BR/>This storm has been in the forecast for quite some time now, the time frame in which it develops is the changing part.Scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10378918135776009197noreply@blogger.com