tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post559215419373494943..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Soggy Halloween on tap.. otherwise staying mild through first part of NovemberUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-32117918913216387302016-11-02T14:52:03.858-05:002016-11-02T14:52:03.858-05:00Last cool cloudy day here today before big change ...Last cool cloudy day here today before big change to an extended spell of mild weather starting tomorrow. After early morning temps near freezing, temps will start to climb quickly tomorrow with highs of 10-12C in Winnipeg by afternoon as winds shift into the south. That will be the start of an extraordinarily mild spell that will likely persist through Remberance Day according to latest long range guidance. Friday and Saturday look spectacular with sunshine and temps near 15C possible in Winnipeg.. perhaps 18C over parts of the RRV (Morden, Winkler, etc). Sunday will see increasing clouds ahead of a disturbance tracking up from Colorado (no.. not a Colorado low!) This system will bring some rain to southern MB Sunday night into Monday morning with 5-10 mm possible. Temps will continue unseasonably mild in the double digits before a slight cooldown to high single digits on Tuesday behind the system. We then rebound into double digits again Wednesday through Friday next week as another surge of warm air builds over the Prairies. All in all, it looks like southern MB (including Winnipeg possibly) could be seeing double digit highs pretty much every day from tomorrow into Nov 11th. Note that the record longest streak of double digit temps in Winnipeg (highs of 10C or more) for November is 8 from Nov 2-9 1963. If we can squeeze out a double digit high next Tuesday, that streak could be in jeopardy. We'll have to see! Until then, enjoy the upcoming balmy stretch!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39792749218967926082016-11-01T11:43:30.153-05:002016-11-01T11:43:30.153-05:00UPDATE: Winnipeg airport recorded 15.8 mm of rain...UPDATE: Winnipeg airport recorded 15.8 mm of rain on Oct 31st, making it the city's rainiest Oct 31 on record. The previous rainfall record for Oct 31 was 11.6 in 2000. Another 1.7 mm fell early this morning for a storm total of 17.5 mm. Rainfalls of 15 mm or more become less frequent in Winnipeg as we get into November, especially after the 10th. But they have occurred as late as early December such as in 1982 when Winnipeg airport recorded 21.8 mm on Dec 2nd. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-40388449855721535652016-10-31T21:30:07.091-05:002016-10-31T21:30:07.091-05:0012.5 mm of rain at YWG airport as of 9 pm, officia...12.5 mm of rain at YWG airport as of 9 pm, officially our wettest Halloween on record. Still raining, so that total will go up until the climatological day ends at 1 am (06 UTC). End of climatological day goes back to midnight when we switch to standard time. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-87058463115435838442016-10-31T07:35:15.875-05:002016-10-31T07:35:15.875-05:00Update on our Halloween weather.. latest guidance ...Update on our Halloween weather.. latest guidance has about 10-20 mm of rain for Winnipeg through this evening, with a swath of 15-25 mm possible from SW Manitoba (Brandon area) into southern Interlake (Gimli). Lesser amounts of 5-10 mm south and southeast of Winnipeg with only 2-5 mm towards Emerson/US border. Winnipeg has a good shot of seeing its wettest Halloween on record (currently 11.6 mm in 2000) <br /><br />Looks like rain will push into Winnipeg by mid to late morning and continue right through the evening before ending overnight. Rain could ease to some drizzle this evening for awhile but that's more likely to our south. Winds are light this evening but pick up from the northwest by midnight behind the system.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-9219749286376295522016-10-30T21:49:04.897-05:002016-10-30T21:49:04.897-05:00I've been hearing some rumblings about a mid m...I've been hearing some rumblings about a mid month pattern change to colder weather, but it may be more concentrated over eastern Canada/US. Long range guidance is suggesting a west coast ridge will dominate mid to late month, with upper troughing over eastern NA. This would put southern MB in a NW upper flow which would likely equate to colder temperatures for us, but not necessarily well below normal. It all depends on the strength of those upper features which is hard to say at this point. In the meantime, it looks like we'll be enjoying well above normal temperatures at least through Rememberance Day with no hints of any major cold here for the next couple weeks. In fact, we'll likely be looking at double digits highs for much of the first week of November.. which is pretty amazing. Normal highs for Nov 1st are around +5C lowering to -1C by mid Nov. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-13915127776883615162016-10-30T18:16:25.035-05:002016-10-30T18:16:25.035-05:00Rob, i've heard that that after a warm start t...Rob, i've heard that that after a warm start to November, a major pattern change could be in the works for the 2nd half of November <br /><br />What are your thoughts on this.<br /><br />Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-3371906221330489152016-10-30T17:27:50.229-05:002016-10-30T17:27:50.229-05:00Updated forecast for Halloween.. (Winnipeg area)
...Updated forecast for Halloween.. (Winnipeg area)<br /><br />Looks like we'll be seeing some rain move into Winnipeg/RRV Monday morning by 9-10 am which should persist through the afternoon before tapering to some drizzle or mist by 6 pm. Halloween evening should be damp and mild with occasional drizzle or fog patches along with light east winds. Temperatures around +6C with 90-100% humidity. A spooky dark evening to add to the Halloween mood! Rain picks up again by mid to late evening as a band of wrap around precipitation moves in from the west.. with another 5 mm or so Monday night before it moves out by 4-5 am Tuesday. In total, looks like about 10 mm of rain for the Winnipeg area between 9 am Monday morning and 6 am Tuesday morning.. less to our south, more to the north. <br /><br /> robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.com