tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post4025109127269057046..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Warm spell threatens all time records for March warmthUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger47125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-23301909226517684602012-03-17T16:21:22.549-05:002012-03-17T16:21:22.549-05:0020.5C at my place too. The light winds today made ...20.5C at my place too. The light winds today made backyard stations read a tad warmer today.. and it sure felt like it! What a great day! <br /><br />Now let's see if we can break the all time record Sunday!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-40302808694342658612012-03-17T15:04:38.407-05:002012-03-17T15:04:38.407-05:0020.5°C at my place in south end at the moment, eve...20.5°C at my place in south end at the moment, even warmer than yesterday! Not the same at the airport I see, It's mostly sunny here so might be less cloud here.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-1053437299177260162012-03-17T14:27:48.773-05:002012-03-17T14:27:48.773-05:00I found this link via meteocentre on the potential...I found this link via meteocentre on the potential threat for thunderstorms in manitoba this weekend. Click on my name for info!Mikehttp://meteocentre.com/cartes_cmc/conv_ete/index_e.htmlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85117323166287894882012-03-17T13:30:35.135-05:002012-03-17T13:30:35.135-05:00anonymous..
SE MB would be mainly southeast of Wi...anonymous..<br /><br />SE MB would be mainly southeast of Winnipeg, from Steinbach to the Ontario border. But these types of nocturnal storms could pop up anywhere, so Winnipeg may even have a chance of seeing a t-storm overnight as well.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-42820078060501241482012-03-17T13:27:29.943-05:002012-03-17T13:27:29.943-05:00By the way, it's snowing in the Okanagan today...By the way, it's snowing in the Okanagan today. Not often that we can brag the weather here is better than the Okanagan..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-71414189478533434312012-03-17T13:25:46.571-05:002012-03-17T13:25:46.571-05:00D'Thomas..
According to Google stats, since J...D'Thomas..<br /><br />According to Google stats, since Jan 1st, my Rob's Obs site has seen accessed by over 3000 unique visitors, with over 14000 visits and 19000 pageviews. I'm averaging about 200 visits a day, but interesting weather days can double that. <br /><br />I've never seen the weekly counter up to 4000 on my blog.. but it's getting close this week.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-62243819348804454632012-03-17T12:56:56.093-05:002012-03-17T12:56:56.093-05:00Superstitious about records,I restrict comment to ...Superstitious about records,I restrict comment to your page view numbers.<br /> Rob, when was the last time they went over 4000.D'Thomasnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-21568172667708413982012-03-17T12:09:48.232-05:002012-03-17T12:09:48.232-05:00Does SE MB include Winnipeg?Does SE MB include Winnipeg?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33111130748452899062012-03-17T12:03:31.164-05:002012-03-17T12:03:31.164-05:00Let it be duly noted that on March 17th, 2012 I wa...Let it be duly noted that on March 17th, 2012 I was outside enjoying a glorious day wearing shorts, t-shirt and sandals.. in WINNIPEG!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-6281033398649671422012-03-17T11:32:00.072-05:002012-03-17T11:32:00.072-05:00It is truly exceptional.. RGEM has a 570 dam 1000-...It is truly exceptional.. RGEM has a 570 dam 1000-500 mb thickness over southern MB tomorrow.. summertime values! Overnight lows higher than the record highs for the day.. I don't recall ever seeing that happen in my over 25 years of watching weather. That would be like an overnight low of 35C in July. This is off the scale type of weather..<br /><br />But that's what the RGEM model thinks will happen.. we'll see if it really does. I'm a little concerned with the NAM's cooler solution for Sunday along with more low level cloud that may jeopardize our potentially record breaking day.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-11391414775905196702012-03-17T11:17:12.043-05:002012-03-17T11:17:12.043-05:00Rob!
When we are breaking the record for the day ...Rob!<br /><br />When we are breaking the record for the day AT 11:00 in the morning, that shows you how surreal this weather is...LOLdaniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-57607952173404845822012-03-17T11:14:39.687-05:002012-03-17T11:14:39.687-05:00If we can break the warmest March daytime high and...If we can break the warmest March daytime high and then break the warmest overnight low on the same day. That would be unreal!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-58604999970734359452012-03-17T11:01:56.671-05:002012-03-17T11:01:56.671-05:00anonymous..
Winnipeg's warmest March on recor...anonymous..<br /><br />Winnipeg's warmest March on record was back in 1878, with a monthly mean of +1.6C, over 7C above current March normals. Not suprisingly, that month followed our warmest winter ever of 1877-78. <br /><br />The next top 4 warmest Marches..<br /><br />2. 1910 ... +1.2C<br />3. 1973 ... +0.5C<br />4. 2000 ... -0.1C<br />5. 1981 ... -1.0C<br /><br />We're currently sitting at -2.6C this month, but the next few days will boost that average significantly. We'll see if that can maintain top month honours even after we cool off next week.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-29523262059937421372012-03-17T10:21:58.040-05:002012-03-17T10:21:58.040-05:00Hey Rob,
Do you know when and what the warmest av...Hey Rob,<br /><br />Do you know when and what the warmest average monthly March temperature was in Winnipeg?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-68291656131315965142012-03-17T10:21:02.217-05:002012-03-17T10:21:02.217-05:00Incredible dewpoints to our south for this time of...Incredible dewpoints to our south for this time of year.. TDs of 13-16C spreading over eastern SD and southern MN. That could fuel some nocturnal tstorms tonight along warm front as it pushes north along US border with advancing low level moisture. Best chance for tstorms over SE MB closer to low level jet. <br /><br />Warm front pushes through Winnipeg on Sunday, but that will also bring in higher dewpoints in the 10-13C range along with increased chances of low level cloud. If we can get some sunshine, we should be able to get close to or break our all time March high of 23C Sunday, but if clouds remain, that may thwart our chances of breaking the record. RGEM still going hog wild on the high temperature for Winnipeg tomorrow at 28C, but that seems wildly optimistic.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-34141081881342969872012-03-16T21:52:35.873-05:002012-03-16T21:52:35.873-05:00Also, 19.6°C was the max at my place today. Had a...Also, 19.6°C was the max at my place today. Had a great walk & BBQ this evening. I could get used to not having much winter...Bradhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09422961165888722429noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-16573856515239379402012-03-16T21:52:00.782-05:002012-03-16T21:52:00.782-05:00Absolutely loving the mild weather; it seems like ...Absolutely loving the mild weather; it seems like we've just jumped forward 2-3 months!<br /><br />But speaking of jumping forward 2-3 months, models are starting to hint that our storm season might have just done that too. Some of the numbers coming out for Sunday are simply unreal; I've never seen numbers like them in the Prairies this early in the year. I've written a long summary of what some of the severe weather parameters are shaping up to be on Sunday over on my blog: http://cl.ly/F69P.<br /><br />Suffice to say, it's going to be a scorcher. If the cap doesn't quite hold, then it may also be a severe thunderstorm and/or tornado outbreak day...Bradhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09422961165888722429noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-22059485316217988242012-03-16T21:36:13.147-05:002012-03-16T21:36:13.147-05:00Official 20C obs today over southern MB..
Brandon...Official 20C obs today over southern MB..<br /><br />Brandon ....... 21.3C<br />Sprague ....... 21.2C<br />Carberry ...... 20.8C<br />Pilot Mound ... 20.3C<br />Morden ........ 20.1C<br />Emerson ....... 20.0C<br /><br />As noted, Winnipeg airport just missed an "official" 20C day by 0.1C, but I don't think too many people minded :)robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-33310402784161079412012-03-16T18:37:11.597-05:002012-03-16T18:37:11.597-05:00Winnipeg has reached 19.9 degrees Celsius. The pr...Winnipeg has reached 19.9 degrees Celsius. The previous earliest 19 degrees recorded in Winnipeg was on March 21, 1938, when 19.4 was reached.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-24384274582457536242012-03-16T18:27:14.527-05:002012-03-16T18:27:14.527-05:0019.9C at the airport and my station as well.. Coul...19.9C at the airport and my station as well.. Couldn't squeeze just 0.1C more today, could we? :) Oh well, looks like Sunday will be a better chance for going above 20.. maybe even an all time March maximum!robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-13558369366722751422012-03-16T17:57:02.096-05:002012-03-16T17:57:02.096-05:0019.9 is the max...too bad!19.9 is the max...too bad!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-13988299703971306072012-03-16T17:16:11.216-05:002012-03-16T17:16:11.216-05:00Well really close.. 19.7 C at YWG and 19.8 C at Ro...Well really close.. 19.7 C at YWG and 19.8 C at Rob's. Let's see if the temperature surged above 20 C between 4 and 5 at the airport.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-5484110928757249852012-03-16T15:02:25.334-05:002012-03-16T15:02:25.334-05:00Beautiful day.. but it will be very difficult to r...Beautiful day.. but it will be very difficult to reach 20 C today. Models show 15 C at 850 hPa by late this afternoon, but persitent SSE valley flow will prevent good mixing even after we clear out. <br /><br />Complex forecast this weekend as a series of embedded shortwaves move up the main upper level trough - which will slowly shift east. Each disturbance will generate a LLJ and slug of moisture advection with chances for precipitation. <br /><br />Surface trough comes thru tonite and stalls somwhere near the intl border. First push of moisture advection Saturday nite lifts the front northwards by mid to late afternoon Sunday as Rob mentioned. Main LLJ remains focused down in the central plains and around first distrubance moving thru the western prairies, so precip chances look slim.<br /><br />Models then show impressive 60 kt LLJ nosing into our region overnite Sunday with precipitable waters around 25-30 mm, and strong shear. Models not wanting to show any precipitation locally however, keeping it over western N Dakota in the colder air and better upper support.<br /><br />Yet another distubance and starts moving up on Monday, cranking up moisture advection again with seemingly the best chance for convection coming later that evening and overnite.<br /><br />Tricky temperature forecast with very warm airmass but many blobs of moisture and clouds moving up in southerly flow. Best chance for 20-25 C temperatures will be if we can scour out stratus behind warm front early Sunday afternoon, and if we can hold off large area of clouds and convection moving up from the south late Monday.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91293113620729127852012-03-16T14:48:17.921-05:002012-03-16T14:48:17.921-05:00Rob!
Check out your facebook page for some info a...Rob!<br /><br />Check out your facebook page for some info a potential storm threat this weekend.daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-63257345763689362712012-03-16T14:22:09.431-05:002012-03-16T14:22:09.431-05:00Des Moines Iowa at 2:00 has a temp at 28C with a d...Des Moines Iowa at 2:00 has a temp at 28C with a dewpoint of 14 C.<br /><br />Truly stunning!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.com