tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post2677800027996955041..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: March 4th storm summary - Red River valley buried under heavy snowUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger38125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53001074168049131452013-03-22T00:47:59.472-05:002013-03-22T00:47:59.472-05:00Hi Rob.
Any idea why Env Can's radars have bee...Hi Rob.<br />Any idea why Env Can's radars have been intermittent and are now completely off in Manitoba? Harper cut funding maybe??<br />They don't post outage info like NOAA in the US. No accountability to us taxpayers :(Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-23036138581496999382013-03-11T16:45:38.968-05:002013-03-11T16:45:38.968-05:00Definitely looks cold for this weekend. You're...Definitely looks cold for this weekend. You're right about the exaggerated cold from the GGEM, but minus 20s sure looks possible. I have to stop thinking about what it was like this time a year ago! robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-49789089191328590732013-03-11T16:16:01.445-05:002013-03-11T16:16:01.445-05:00My goodness, GEM calls for mid minus thirties next...My goodness, GEM calls for mid minus thirties next weekend. Wonder why that model has been having such a cold bias this winter. Yes it may cool down, but I think that's a little exageration in the model. <br />However, looking at some long range models and predictions, doesn't look like winter wants to end any time soon. With all this snow still on the ground, it may be safe to say we'll have to wait until April for a clear turn around to spring... Unless if the models are completely wrong. Not that this is way unnormal, but it's sure unwanted by many!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-63722697077130753482013-03-11T13:33:03.193-05:002013-03-11T13:33:03.193-05:00Looks like we'll be seeing some snow here on F...Looks like we'll be seeing some snow here on Friday with a clipper going through.. maybe 5 cm or so. All the models are showing something.. including the GGEM which drives EC's forecast. So it's odd that the forecast for Friday says "Mix of sun and cloud" for Winnipeg with no hint of precipitation, when clearly, there's a pretty good chance of seeing some snow here. Ahhh, the wonders of automated forecasts.. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-44644480952276621002013-03-11T09:22:08.931-05:002013-03-11T09:22:08.931-05:00GFS showing a possible 10 cm+ system for next week...GFS showing a possible 10 cm+ system for next week Monday going into Tuesday on the SpotWX charts. A bit too far out in fantasy land for it not to be taken with some grains of salt currently, but worth keeping an eye on since if it does verify, it would be bad news for commuters early next week.Connornoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-62129724119068467562013-03-10T23:51:18.509-05:002013-03-10T23:51:18.509-05:0017.5C in Port Weller, Ontario today. Highest tempe...17.5C in Port Weller, Ontario today. Highest temperature recorded in Canada this year.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-82474701217230178292013-03-10T23:45:19.218-05:002013-03-10T23:45:19.218-05:00Mike: snow levels and moisture content are about o...Mike: snow levels and moisture content are about on par with 2007 levels right now. We'll see if they get better or worse in the weeks ahed. As for any warmup in sight.. not really anything I can see right now. We stay in a near to below normal pattern much of the week which means sub freezing temps. Like you, I'd really like to see hints of a major pattern change to bring warmer temperatures over us, but right now, all I'm seeing is more of the same pattern we've been stuck in for weeks now. That means generally below normal weather with brief spells of near to slightly above normal temps. Nothing like a year ago when we started that amazing warm spell this week, losing a 25 cm snowpack in 3 days, and hitting 20c temps by the end the week. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-13042825496872190042013-03-10T20:47:05.213-05:002013-03-10T20:47:05.213-05:00Also rob I am getting really sick of these winter ...Also rob I am getting really sick of these winter temperatures even the minus single digits, when are we going to get out of this pattern by your knowledge of previous years? I would like to get out outside on my bike and wear a thin jacket and see the snow melt. Any sign of plus temperatures in the horizon?Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-25887121432463349272013-03-10T20:32:56.098-05:002013-03-10T20:32:56.098-05:00I went outside and took a measurement last night a...I went outside and took a measurement last night at my place in Silver Heights, 49.88194 Lat, -97.25203 Lon. I got a 56cm snow depth, the water Equivalent is 101.6 mm. 2007 and or 2010 levels?Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-54171658839600835722013-03-10T20:30:07.981-05:002013-03-10T20:30:07.981-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-18141554435768565612013-03-09T20:20:28.489-06:002013-03-09T20:20:28.489-06:00Another snow core report: from Linden Woods today,...Another snow core report: from Linden Woods today, 56 cm snow depth, 122 mm WE. Similar to 2007. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-35419299864931711672013-03-09T15:17:36.463-06:002013-03-09T15:17:36.463-06:00Got 2 other snow core reports from south Winnipeg....Got 2 other snow core reports from south Winnipeg.. 86 mm and 78 mm, about half what I got. Not sure why my sample was so high.. will have to do a re-measure. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91500363515566223692013-03-09T14:45:28.669-06:002013-03-09T14:45:28.669-06:00Looks like a chance some light snow Monday afterno...Looks like a chance some light snow Monday afternoon into Monday evening. nothing significant maybe a cm or two. Then the models are showing something more significant around March 15 with perhaps 5-10 cm or more. Still a ways away and lots of uncertainty, but that looks like our next chance of more significant snow.robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70140768653193783052013-03-09T14:15:05.599-06:002013-03-09T14:15:05.599-06:00Rob,
Any snowfall potential here in Winnipeg in t...Rob,<br /><br />Any snowfall potential here in Winnipeg in the next 10 days or so?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-14665260988312729722013-03-09T13:23:36.059-06:002013-03-09T13:23:36.059-06:00Don't forget that's a whole season's w...Don't forget that's a whole season's worth of snow compressed down to 50 cm. I've recorded about 140 cm of snow since Nov, so that would make it closer to 9:1 ratio. Still seems high, perhaps that amount also took in blowing and drifting snow that added to the snowpack but I didn't measure? I'd like to see other samples to make a better assessment...robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-89316439140527322232013-03-09T12:00:39.319-06:002013-03-09T12:00:39.319-06:00Rob I see your snowpack melted down to a 3:1 ratio...Rob I see your snowpack melted down to a 3:1 ratio snow:water. Isn't that unusually high (wet)?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53473556913572603462013-03-09T09:14:26.846-06:002013-03-09T09:14:26.846-06:00Wow, that snow in western MB is much more intense ...Wow, that snow in western MB is much more intense than expected. Reports of near-zero vis.<br /><br />WOCN11 CWWG 091446<br />Special weather statement issued by Environment Canada at 8:46 AM CST <br />Saturday 9 March 2013.<br />---------------------------------------------------------------------<br />Special weather statement for:<br />=new= Brandon - Carberry - Treherne<br />=new= Dauphin - Roblin - Winnipegosis<br />=new= Minnedosa - Neepawa - Russell - Riding Mountain National Park <br />=new= Killarney - Pilot Mound - Manitou<br />=new= Melita - Boissevain - Turtle Mountain Provincial Park<br />=new= Virden - Souris<br />=new= Ste. Rose - McCreary - Alonsa - Gladstone.<br /><br /> Near-zero visibility in snow possible this morning.<br /><br />---------------------------------------------------------------------<br />==discussion==<br />A band of heavy snow associated with a cold front is making it's way <br />through Western Manitoba this morning. The band is currently (as of <br />8:45 AM) affecting Dauphin where near-zero visibility in snow is <br />being reported, and is poised to move into Brandon shortly.<br />Snowfall accumulations of 2 to 5 cm are likely as the front moves <br />through and furthermore, the majority of the snow will likely fall <br />within an hour or so. Motorists in particular are advised that poor <br />driving conditions with near-zero visibility in snow can be <br />anticipated as the front moves through the area, with both the <br />trans-Canada and the Yellowhead Highways affected amongst others.<br />The front and associated snow is expected to slowly weaken as it <br />moves eastward into the Red River Valley.<br /><br />The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as <br />warnings may be required or extended.<br /><br />Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment<br />Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.caAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-56349009474169577412013-03-08T11:52:50.684-06:002013-03-08T11:52:50.684-06:00Took a snow core sample from my backyard this morn...Took a snow core sample from my backyard this morning using an official EC snow core tube. 50 cm snowpack melted down to 168 mm liquid (6.6") robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-17400884137617994472013-03-08T08:22:53.020-06:002013-03-08T08:22:53.020-06:00Was out late last night. Started raining around 1...Was out late last night. Started raining around 1230am. Not sure how long it went but was still raining around 130am. Just a drizzle that kept the wipers iced upDarylnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-83559799521181357902013-03-07T18:26:31.532-06:002013-03-07T18:26:31.532-06:00Woodlands radar down.. unknown when it will be bac...Woodlands radar down.. unknown when it will be back up. Area of snow moving through the Interlake tonight mainly north of the city. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-57062749965105649372013-03-07T18:24:48.100-06:002013-03-07T18:24:48.100-06:00Anonymous.. Thanks for the links. I see those are ...Anonymous.. Thanks for the links. I see those are valid for up Feb 18. This last storm will push those numbers up. <br /><br />I'm going to take a snow core sample myself from my yard tomorrow.. I'll post what it melts down to. <br /><br /> robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-67038516081042254752013-03-07T15:18:41.527-06:002013-03-07T15:18:41.527-06:00Regarding SWE in southern MB, the published flood ...Regarding SWE in southern MB, the published flood forecast here<br /><br />http://www.gov.mb.ca/mit/floodinfo/floodoutlook/forecast_centre/flood_outlooks/2013/2013outlook.pdf<br /><br />has a link to a % of normal overwinter precip map here:<br /><br />http://www.gov.mb.ca/mit/floodinfo/floodoutlook/forecast_centre/flood_outlooks/2013/figure6.jpg<br /><br />Though looking at the numbers, they are highly variable (especially in ag areas) which raises questions about the accuracy. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-92112874012670199572013-03-07T11:29:30.544-06:002013-03-07T11:29:30.544-06:00Still too early to say.. After this last storm, I ...Still too early to say.. After this last storm, I have little confidence in models beyond 3 or 4 days right now. Certainly there are hints that we may see more precip next week, but I'll reserve comments to systems in the more immediate future. <br /><br />This weekend storm system still appears that it will be well to our southeast, but impacting the far southern RRV in ND into MN. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-74551551071438285212013-03-07T09:55:32.809-06:002013-03-07T09:55:32.809-06:00Rob,
There seems to be hints of another potential...Rob,<br /><br />There seems to be hints of another potential snowstorm middle to late next week.<br /><br />What are your thoughts on that?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-87864314036020933162013-03-07T08:42:27.414-06:002013-03-07T08:42:27.414-06:00Hi Dan..
There are a number of COCORAHS sites in ...Hi Dan..<br /><br />There are a number of COCORAHS sites in southern MB, many of which give SWE values. Data quality is suspect at times, so treat them with a grain of salt.. but many of the obs can be helpful, especially with snowfall amounts. See.. <br />http://www.cocorahs.org/ViewData/ListDailyPrecipReports.aspx and click on CANADA reports. <br /><br />Manitoba Water Stewardship is in charge of flood forecasting for the province.. and they do snow surveys each spring before flood season. I'm sure they would have more detailed info on snow pack conditions in southern MB including SWE values. Might be worth RFC contacting them for more info (although I suspect they already do). If I find out any more info, I'll let you know. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.com