tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post2343750106903912194..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Oh no! More snow! Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger35125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-76550413589986223682017-05-29T18:31:18.360-05:002017-05-29T18:31:18.360-05:00A little slower than normal start this year, but c...A little slower than normal start this year, but certainly nowhere near peak thunderstorm season yet. Usually severe tstorm season starts in mid June and runs through mid August when heat and humidity levels are the highest. Difficult to say when things will fire up.. as it depends on when we get more favourable heat and humidity. Even then, each year is different in terms of how active it is.. and it's impossible to predict in any given year. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-49429132392862536402017-05-23T01:46:36.536-05:002017-05-23T01:46:36.536-05:00Hey Rob, it's Mike here I run SouthMBweather o...Hey Rob, it's Mike here I run SouthMBweather on Twitter I used to post on here back in 2011 to 2013 I guess I'll resume my questions from time to time.. . Was wondering if you could let me know what happened to our thunderstorm season. It seems to be at stuck in neutral gear (Quiet Period). Normally by now we'd be dealing with periods where we see thunderstorms usually they are severe. Any chance the pattern will change and favour that anytime soon?? I know it hasn't been wet enough for crops to start growing yet. Do you think the storm track will dive south of the border like other years?? ���� Hopefully storm season will start soon. Love to hear your input Best wishes -MikeMikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17535184969918068444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-32347986876736687282017-05-22T21:18:25.661-05:002017-05-22T21:18:25.661-05:00Rob, are there any signs of an eventual change to ...Rob, are there any signs of an eventual change to more sustained warmth as we head into June or does this cooler pattern continue going into June?<br /><br />Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-79735331473584798552017-05-20T07:15:17.819-05:002017-05-20T07:15:17.819-05:00You can view daily records for the older Winnipeg ...You can view daily records for the older Winnipeg weather site (St Johns College) which has data from 1872-1938 at this site:<br /><br />http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/almanac_e.html?month=5&day=19&StationID=3703&period=30&searchMethod=contains&txtStationName=Winnipeg&timeframe=4&month=5&day=19#<br /><br />You can compare these records with the airport records to see which one is more extreme for the date. <br /><br />robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-69099492836019238972017-05-19T19:06:19.043-05:002017-05-19T19:06:19.043-05:00I'm just curious as to where you get the data ...I'm just curious as to where you get the data now that the records book website is gone?Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-59715723495285674102017-05-19T19:02:29.591-05:002017-05-19T19:02:29.591-05:00That's cold! We got so close I wish we broke t...That's cold! We got so close I wish we broke the record low. Still that's the coldest May 18th morning since 1924, that's still pretty impressive.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-3244081364700287952017-05-19T07:13:47.008-05:002017-05-19T07:13:47.008-05:00Matthew.. the official low this morning at Winnipe...Matthew.. the official low this morning at Winnipeg airport was a chilly -4.9C, but not quite a record low for May 19. It got down to -5.6C on May 19 1924 (using Winnipeg records back to 1872) robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-56175074623901834142017-05-19T06:23:07.512-05:002017-05-19T06:23:07.512-05:00Rob did we break a record low this morning? Enviro...Rob did we break a record low this morning? Environment Canada airport data says the old is -3.3 and we hit -3.5. Their data is only 1938-2008 for some reason though. Do you know if we broke a record dating all the way back to 1872?Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-81866603806745732082017-05-18T21:01:12.155-05:002017-05-18T21:01:12.155-05:00Rob could May finish below normal? Since the recor...Rob could May finish below normal? Since the record books are down I can't see the norms, what is may's average mean temperature?<br /><br />Is it just me or are summers cooling down a little but. It seems springs are coming earlier, March's have been bringing big warm spells in recent years, but it seems when we get to April and May we get drenched with rain and cool down. Look at last years freezing April. And the cold April's of 2013 and 2014. May is on a cool down trend too, last year was the exception with one of the hottest mays I ever remember.<br /><br />The summers of the 1930's were brutal. I hope we never see a repeat of July 1936, 42.2C high temp, that's scary. It seems like we get less extreme hot days now even though our climate is overall warming.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48100927174079536272017-05-18T17:19:55.350-05:002017-05-18T17:19:55.350-05:00Yeah, warm weather has been elusive for us so far....Yeah, warm weather has been elusive for us so far. Only a couple of warm days, otherwise we've been generally near to below normal as of the past week or so. Looks like we warm by the end of next week into the mid-upper 20s.. but it may only be for a couple days then we cool off again. Normal highs are now 20C.. so we really should be hitting the 20s regularly now. Luckily, it hasn't been too cold at night with only 2 days of frost so far this month.. but another one on the way tonight. Trees leafing out nicely though.. so at least it looks a little more like summer. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-66518688221570698482017-05-18T07:07:14.585-05:002017-05-18T07:07:14.585-05:00Wonder when we're going to get out of this god...Wonder when we're going to get out of this god awful cool dry weather pattern? I remember May's being warmer and stormier that's for sure. Been the trend for May's lately.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-20144185476915020742017-05-14T22:18:05.853-05:002017-05-14T22:18:05.853-05:00Most models are indicating the potential for 15-25...Most models are indicating the potential for 15-25 mm of rain for Winnipeg/RRV Tuesday, with some embedded tstorms possible as an area of convection blows up over the Dakotas Monday night and spreads into southern MB during the day Tuesday. The Euro however is not as bullish, and keeps bulk of convection and heaviest rain south of the border, with only a few mm for Winnipeg/RRV. At this point, all we can say is there is the potential for a soaking rain Tuesday, but still come uncertainty about it. We'll see how models trend over the next 24 hrs. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-6039919654358435202017-05-14T21:33:56.319-05:002017-05-14T21:33:56.319-05:00Rob, are we looking a potential significant rainfa...Rob, are we looking a potential significant rainfall Tuesday here in Winnipeg and the RRV? Will thunderstorms also be possible with that system?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-61516203771750400512017-05-14T21:10:24.630-05:002017-05-14T21:10:24.630-05:00Yes you're right.. 2011 and 2012 were dry summ...Yes you're right.. 2011 and 2012 were dry summers here.. with some good heat (I forgot about 2011 being the driest July on record in Winnipeg) But they seem to be exceptions.. not a trend. Wet summers seem to be more common these days. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-76774941551000372312017-05-14T09:21:06.188-05:002017-05-14T09:21:06.188-05:00Summer of 2011 and 2012 was pretty dry no? Didn...Summer of 2011 and 2012 was pretty dry no? Didn't we go 6 weeks without rain in the summer of 2011?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-90718609555515721862017-05-13T17:05:56.834-05:002017-05-13T17:05:56.834-05:00I'm beginning to wonder if dry hot summers are...I'm beginning to wonder if dry hot summers are a thing of the past here in southern MB. It's been a long while since we've seen a drought like pattern here.. like we used to get in the 1930s, 60s and 80s. Our last really dry summer was in 2006.. otherwise, summers in the 2000s have generally been characterized by above normal rainfall, with frequent heavy rainfall events. I can't remember the last time we went weeks in the warm season with little or no precip.<br /><br />This would be consistent with an overall warmer climate that has an increased ability to hold more water vapour (warmer air can hold more moisture) Airmasses that hold more moisture have the ability to precipitate more frequently, and more heavily. That adds more moisture to the soil, which also helps to fuel more precipitation, which just further enhances the precipitation feedback cycle. In other words, a warmer and more moist climate would tend to reduce the odds of drought.. at least in areas where storm tracks are favoured (like here in the Prairies and across the mid latitudes) where you get the necessary lift to initiate the convective process. I don't know.. just putting it out there.. but that's how our climate seems to have evolved over the past 20 years or so. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-86314477614929810522017-05-13T11:10:56.178-05:002017-05-13T11:10:56.178-05:00No real abnormal warmth expected in the near futur...No real abnormal warmth expected in the near future over southern MB based on current guidance. Warmer airmasses will likely be suppressed mainly south of the US border and over towards the East Coast for the second half of May as storm track sets up over northern US. This would tend to give us generally cooler than normal temps, with occasional warmups ahead of systems.. along with precip events every few days. In other words, a variable weather pattern over the next week or two with near to below normal temps, and near to above normal precip. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-37372156319309128192017-05-12T14:14:35.755-05:002017-05-12T14:14:35.755-05:00Rob, are there any signs of a warmer pattern over ...Rob, are there any signs of a warmer pattern over the next few weeks here in Southern Manitoba or will our cool May continue?<br /><br />Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-72406189386355686252017-05-03T07:05:12.384-05:002017-05-03T07:05:12.384-05:00Looks like temperatures will reach close to the 30...Looks like temperatures will reach close to the 30C mark in southern Alberta and Saskatchewan. Looks like an extended taste of summer for them. For us we only seem to get one or 2 days of about 21C. Kind of a rip offMatthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-77249011548949150182017-04-30T20:00:37.105-05:002017-04-30T20:00:37.105-05:00Yeah, models are showing a warming trend for us la...Yeah, models are showing a warming trend for us late week, but they differ on extent and timing. Looks like bulk of the warmth will be mainly over western Canada (AB, SK) this week with some of that warmth pushing east into southern MB by Friday. But it may only be for a day or so over us with temps in the low to mid 20s.. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-7344652241862937262017-04-30T19:51:28.374-05:002017-04-30T19:51:28.374-05:00Matthew.. that site is undergoing some changes, an...Matthew.. that site is undergoing some changes, and may be back in the near future. Keep checking for updates..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-25874202773910764232017-04-29T20:58:38.608-05:002017-04-29T20:58:38.608-05:00Rob, it appears that there are hints of perhaps th...Rob, it appears that there are hints of perhaps the first taste of summer late next week into next weekend with Temps possibly reaching the mid 20s. What are your thoughts on this?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-21378947346194948392017-04-29T19:36:45.880-05:002017-04-29T19:36:45.880-05:00Rob is April going to finish above average. I can&...Rob is April going to finish above average. I can't compare it to the averages because the weather record books website has been down since mid March. Do you have any information on why that site is gone or if it's coming back.Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-48741665991856103002017-04-26T19:37:45.135-05:002017-04-26T19:37:45.135-05:00Forecast for Winnipeg tomorrow: "Mainly sunny...Forecast for Winnipeg tomorrow: "Mainly sunny. Increasing cloudiness in the morning then 40 percent chance of light snow early in the afternoon then 40 percent chance of rain late in the afternoon."<br /><br />Back in my day, we'd write this forecast as "Increasing cloudiness. 40% chance of afternoon showers or flurries" Much simpler and to the point, and likely better chance of verifying. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-23550911127785499912017-04-25T14:34:19.207-05:002017-04-25T14:34:19.207-05:00Well we definitely got some consistent snow shower...Well we definitely got some consistent snow showers for several hours yesterday. Most of it melted in contact with the ground. Any idea how many cm's fell? Though it may be hard to measure cause it all melted. Rest of the week looks very chilly too. A cold night tonight with temperature dropping to -5C with a windchill of -12Matthew Bouxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105740857661429481noreply@blogger.com