tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post185911442836649462..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Staying mild and storm free through Christmas..Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger14125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-60590895494333961592011-12-25T12:34:44.912-06:002011-12-25T12:34:44.912-06:00Looking forward to what 2012 brings in the weather...Looking forward to what 2012 brings in the weather department.daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-90744824785489090702011-12-24T16:14:06.870-06:002011-12-24T16:14:06.870-06:00Just letting all of you know that I will be postin...Just letting all of you know that I will be posting a article on Winnipeg's weather of 2011 In statistic form for each season an example would the number of days we had windchill values. I should have it up by sometime this week towards next week, I have a lot to research. I hope you all look forward to it! till then Happy Holidays!Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-41734304981224725742011-12-23T14:24:29.107-06:002011-12-23T14:24:29.107-06:00Thanks Mike,
Have yourself a Merry Christmas as w...Thanks Mike,<br /><br />Have yourself a Merry Christmas as well.Marknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-27509056989230762502011-12-23T13:06:33.120-06:002011-12-23T13:06:33.120-06:00Hi again Mark, Answering your question there reall...Hi again Mark, Answering your question there really isn't any other snowfall models on wunderground, but if you are interested you can check out the precipitation type forecast on every one of the models. And about accuweather sometimes they follow their own guidance data from their computer systems so they may have a different outlook on things than what we have on wunderground. It is also quite far ahead to tell what the weather will be like on the 29th as the weather models tend to change over time, as the day gets closer we will be able to tell what the weather will exactly bring. So 20 cm sounds a little to significant for this time around. Anyways, you might have to ask rob about what Accuweather uses for weather models as I am still an amature at weather forecasting, oh by the I wish you a merry christmas!Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-39009057799777342962011-12-23T12:17:04.394-06:002011-12-23T12:17:04.394-06:00Hi Mike,
Thanks for the link. Never seen this sit...Hi Mike,<br /><br />Thanks for the link. Never seen this site before.Using the ECMWF model, advancing the forecast hours ahead 180 hrs, and using the map type snowfall I see what you are saying. <br />(I think I did this right)<br /><br />How many different snow models are there? Why does accuweather predict that much snow? Do they use different models?<br /><br />thanks!Marknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-75575835397414191962011-12-23T11:28:12.900-06:002011-12-23T11:28:12.900-06:00Hi Mark, answering your question I looked at the E...Hi Mark, answering your question I looked at the ECMWF snowfall model, it looks like we could receive some snow on the days 29-31 but we may not get a whole lot. At the most we may see 2cm of snow, if you want u can click my name for a link to the model its on wunderground. Just click model data and then model type to see snowfall. Have a Look!Mikehttp://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=49.91083145&lon=-97.24333191&zoom=8&pin=Winnipeg+International,+Canada&type=hyb&rad=1&rad.type=00Q&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-8579852411252671582011-12-23T11:18:59.375-06:002011-12-23T11:18:59.375-06:00Thanks for the info rob! Have A Merry Christmas!Thanks for the info rob! Have A Merry Christmas!Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-40771854943655949392011-12-23T10:26:39.362-06:002011-12-23T10:26:39.362-06:00Hello,
I noticed on AccuWeather's website for...Hello,<br /><br />I noticed on AccuWeather's website for Dec 29-31 they are calling for 20 cm of snow. Is this possible? Could it actually happen? Sorry, really hoping for snow and lots of it.Marknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-30011055490159832592011-12-22T19:07:59.752-06:002011-12-22T19:07:59.752-06:00Great links Dan, Rob and Adam and Mike
A few yea...Great links Dan, Rob and Adam and Mike <br /> A few years ago I came across a chart of 20th Century years grouped by ENSO (Nino, Nina, and Neutral, and the PDO and AO influences (+ -)<br />Perhaps linked from Jeff or NOAA. It was sometimes helpful to predict winter weather and precip.<br />If you have the link please post it?Jimnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-30322958055831722232011-12-22T17:45:02.899-06:002011-12-22T17:45:02.899-06:00Further to the link above, here's an interesti...Further to the link above, here's an interesting image at the type of winter we can expect when looking at the combination of AO and ENSO phases. (in other words, what does a +ve AO do to a -ENSO?) Click on my name for image from NCEP. The image clearly shows that a +AO trumps a -ENSO (La Nina) and gives us warmer winters, while a -AO gives us a better chance of a cold winter. Then there's Dan's worst nightmare.. +AO with +ENSO! :)robhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research_papers/ncep_cpc_atlas/8/figures/temp/DJF.temp.gifnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-7434334117137173082011-12-22T17:23:10.010-06:002011-12-22T17:23:10.010-06:00Jeff Masters has a good blog post taking a look at...Jeff Masters has a good blog post taking a look at the difference between this winter and last.. and how this year's flip in the Arctic Oscillation is contributing to our delayed start to winter. (click on my name for link) Seems that the AO has a more direct impact on our winter temperatures than the ENSO.robhttp://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2006noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-49902596242499419522011-12-22T15:48:05.910-06:002011-12-22T15:48:05.910-06:00Mike.. soil moisture plays a key role in driving s...Mike.. soil moisture plays a key role in driving summertime (convective) precipitation.. but it is not really a factor in the spring when the soil moisture is still frozen in the ground. I doubt there's any correlation between wintertime snowfall and springtime precipitation. <br /><br />Springtime precipitation is mainly driven by larger scale storm systems (synoptic scale) which are dependent on the overall position of the jet stream (storm track) tied to hemispheric and global scale weather patterns.robnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-13501908622457163932011-12-22T11:46:03.530-06:002011-12-22T11:46:03.530-06:00Environment Canada has just released their top 10 ...Environment Canada has just released their top 10 weather Stories of the year. Check them out on EC's website!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-53393307144704487642011-12-21T16:35:59.546-06:002011-12-21T16:35:59.546-06:00Rob, If things keep going in this direction and st...Rob, If things keep going in this direction and stay like this all winter, what are the chances of seeing more precipitation than normal during this spring? does the soil moisture have anything to do with the precipitation we get?Mikenoreply@blogger.com