tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post1725674224096567267..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Dry weather through the end of the month.. Mother Nature takes a March breakUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger51125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-9716667364791653192013-03-31T12:34:21.417-05:002013-03-31T12:34:21.417-05:00That puts my seasonal snowfall since Oct 1st up to...That puts my seasonal snowfall since Oct 1st up to 160 cm, a good 50 cm above Winnipeg airport normals. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-4376518127954681962013-03-31T12:30:40.621-05:002013-03-31T12:30:40.621-05:0036 cm at my place, due to two main storms.. 19 cm ...36 cm at my place, due to two main storms.. 19 cm on the 4th, and 16 cm on the 18th. Little or no snow after the 18th. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-89830672269932024932013-03-31T11:55:30.176-05:002013-03-31T11:55:30.176-05:00How much snow did we get this month?How much snow did we get this month?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-17853340277593262702013-03-31T10:04:08.718-05:002013-03-31T10:04:08.718-05:001 cm at my place in Charleswood.. snowpack down to...1 cm at my place in Charleswood.. snowpack down to 40 cm now.<br /><br />Below normal temps continue this week, and then some hopeful signs that we may be turning the corner next week into mid April. AO index, which has been persistently and abnormally negative for much of March, is finally trending upwards and actually progged to go positive by mid April. This would mean a greater frequency of milder Pacific airmasses coming across the southern Prairies, and less arctic airmass incursions. Result will be a more sustained period of melting temperatures starting next week, with a quicker melt of the snowpack, provided we don't get any surprise snowstorms before then. Keep in mind that average high temperatures in Winnipeg in early April are +5C, rising to +10C by mid April, and 14C by the end of April. That of course is due to a loss of snow cover normally by this time. Let's hope models aren't being fooled by climatology.<br /><br />My 40 cm snowpack on March 31st is the deepest snow cover for this late in the year since I moved here in 1998. Even 1997 had less snow on the ground at this time (25 cm), until that massive April 4-7th blizzard dumped another 45 cm of snow. Last comparable year that was this white at this time of year was 2009 when I had 30 cm snowpack on April 1st. Snow cover was gone by April 13th that year. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-42489295936421666322013-03-31T08:55:07.380-05:002013-03-31T08:55:07.380-05:00Actually got 2 cm at my place overnight in south e...Actually got 2 cm at my place overnight in south end.. Less than the amount of snow that melted yesterday however thankfully.<br /><br />JJAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-51988359798969829422013-03-30T23:48:00.635-05:002013-03-30T23:48:00.635-05:00Yeah, and it's also snowing at decent clip rig...Yeah, and it's also snowing at decent clip right now....when will it ever endAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-51691156305721230352013-03-30T23:47:56.004-05:002013-03-30T23:47:56.004-05:00A couple of CF-5s doing nite circuits just ahead o...A couple of CF-5s doing nite circuits just ahead of some snow shower activity this late evening! Glad those boys got their qualifications/nite tickets punched so we can all get back to sleep!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-41949291176423057132013-03-30T23:05:22.365-05:002013-03-30T23:05:22.365-05:00Must be a cold front comming through. Wind gusts ...Must be a cold front comming through. Wind gusts from the North have suddenly really increased.Darylnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-60282355732897873172013-03-30T14:54:41.202-05:002013-03-30T14:54:41.202-05:00You are right, but as always the airport is only 1...You are right, but as always the airport is only 1C.Leonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-17185613272223631432013-03-30T14:39:29.442-05:002013-03-30T14:39:29.442-05:00Nice actually feeling the heat from the sun again....Nice actually feeling the heat from the sun again.. Lots of 5's, 6's and 7's in the south end this afternoon.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-58056370209262133782013-03-29T08:59:06.746-05:002013-03-29T08:59:06.746-05:00Wow seeing that big frigid arctic air mass coming ...Wow seeing that big frigid arctic air mass coming south on the ECMWF next week is ugly. Looks like a model image of the middle of winter almost. Let's pray it stays to our north!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-34466133746831118492013-03-29T06:54:41.801-05:002013-03-29T06:54:41.801-05:00FYI...
My weather station is not updating due to ...FYI...<br /><br />My weather station is not updating due to software issues. Will try to resolve over next day or two. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70713410463956844812013-03-28T22:06:13.803-05:002013-03-28T22:06:13.803-05:00High of +2.3c today at YWG airport... first day ab...High of +2.3c today at YWG airport... first day above 0C at the aiport since Jan 10, a span of 76 straight days below freezing. It also prevents us from matching the 1899 record of being the only March that Failed to go above freezing. We should squeeze in another one Friday, and possibly Saturday before we get into another shot of colder air by Saturday evening.<br /><br />As for Apr 5-8, I wouldn't be too concerned just yet... AW uses the GFS for long range forecast, and the GFS hasn't been too reliable lately. robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-354685857537518332013-03-28T20:53:52.690-05:002013-03-28T20:53:52.690-05:00Looking at Accuweathers long range between April 5...Looking at Accuweathers long range between April 5 and 8 they are calling for well in excess of 20cm of snow. I hope their wrongDarylnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-12975095676379367762013-03-28T12:28:55.889-05:002013-03-28T12:28:55.889-05:00Nice SE flow off of NW Minnesota trees bumping us ...Nice SE flow off of NW Minnesota trees bumping us up past freezing.. much colder in the western RRV with Portage at -6 C.<br /><br />DanielAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-28246705056543402732013-03-28T08:30:50.905-05:002013-03-28T08:30:50.905-05:00Some perspective.
1971-2000 Climate Norms at Winn...Some perspective.<br /><br />1971-2000 Climate Norms at Winnipeg:<br />Normal snow depth at end of March: 7 cm<br /><br />Today's snow depth at XWG (similar location to climate site): 43.1 cm<br /><br />6 times the normal for this time of year!! It's also more than 2 times the highest normal winter snow depth of 20 cm (which occurs in Feb), even after all the settling and some melting this month! Crazy.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91608885063697627062013-03-27T20:21:55.591-05:002013-03-27T20:21:55.591-05:00Hopefully things will be better by the summer and ...Hopefully things will be better by the summer and the snow cover is gone... Frustrating being in these never-ending same old patterns that just seemingly go on and on for ages. 9 consecutive colder than normal months in 2009, ~ 15 consecutive warm months in 2012.. now what, 15 consecutive colder months?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85720654144698754372013-03-27T18:10:30.192-05:002013-03-27T18:10:30.192-05:00The CMC ensemble still looks bleak for the next 2 ...The CMC ensemble still looks bleak for the next 2 weeks, stuggling to reach 0 still into April 12.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-91814874627709148362013-03-27T16:56:24.478-05:002013-03-27T16:56:24.478-05:00Must be the Forks. They are 0C, close to buildings...Must be the Forks. They are 0C, close to buildings and a right next to a gravel parking lot.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-49910434451865920862013-03-27T16:34:11.054-05:002013-03-27T16:34:11.054-05:00Where does the Weather Network take their data bec...Where does the Weather Network take their data because they are show 0C in Winnipeg and EC is showing -4C.Leonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-27405825690386957392013-03-27T16:19:48.656-05:002013-03-27T16:19:48.656-05:00The %of normal map shows over 100% around Winnipeg...The %of normal map shows over 100% around Winnipeg which looks fine, but yes the water equivalent is way too low. It seems the two maps were made completely independently of each other, by different people, using different data sources. Sometimes the % of normal looks good but water content is off, other times it's the other way around<br /><br />They didn't bother to validate one against the other.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-38111404087602207192013-03-27T15:41:40.719-05:002013-03-27T15:41:40.719-05:00Anyone had a look at yesterday's MB flood fore...Anyone had a look at yesterday's MB flood forecast? As with the first one, the % of normal snow, and water equivalent maps (fig 6a and 6b) look strange. Nearest water content to Wpg is only 47mm?! Only 50mm near Emerson?! Meanwhile we know WPG has a lot more (at least double). The Emerson volunteers are reporting about 115mm water content. <br /><br />They have Emerson at only 68% of normal snow, it jumps to 140 % around Altona, then down to 52% at Morden, 49% near Miami, 55% near Carman. I was just down there, and they have more snow than I can remember for ages, and it's consistent across the land.<br /><br />According to EC Climate normals, the average snow depth for March in Morden is 13 cm (15cm for Feb). They currently have about 65 cm, more than 5X the normal, yet the map shows only 52% of normal for that area?! What gives? The water content, 80mm, looks better but still is way too low.<br /><br />Grand Forks shows 85% of normal, dips to 35% just a few miles east, jumps to 413% a bit further east! Then down again to 33% by Upper Red Lake. Must have been some very strange isolated convective snow storms in the area! Me thinks quality control is lacking.<br /><br />Many other locations also make no sense. Too bad they took down the previous flood forecast already (it's supposed to be archived, but dissapeared). Our tax dollars at work.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-26081076989161745162013-03-27T15:20:33.709-05:002013-03-27T15:20:33.709-05:00Yeah, strange how the airport rose to -4°C then fe...Yeah, strange how the airport rose to -4°C then fell to -5°C and has stalled out since. Perhaps has something to do with the wind because that -4°C was when the wind was southerly (from the city). Now it's NW... Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-64650023033189479482013-03-27T15:13:35.545-05:002013-03-27T15:13:35.545-05:000 at Rob's and at the Forks. -5 at the airport...0 at Rob's and at the Forks. -5 at the airport. What a difference.Paulnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-75773462910999076522013-03-27T08:31:41.896-05:002013-03-27T08:31:41.896-05:00Had a look at that forecast.io site, and also can&...Had a look at that forecast.io site, and also can't figure out the observed weather. Both the current conditions on the main page and the metar data on their 'data sources' graphs don't match reality. I assume their 'bias corrected' temperature is using those temps as a source, so the bias correction will also be wrong. The various graphs also have undefined units so you often can't tell what they are. <br /><br />As mentioned, the current conditions don't identify a source, and even have weather elements which don't exist at the selected station (like visibility when the station doesn't report it), so I'm guessing it's simply a modeled value and not actual conditions.<br /><br />Sleek site, but not much use when the data is wrong.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com