tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post1246925660468268899..comments2024-02-25T19:29:38.176-06:00Comments on Rob's Blog: Showers and thunderstorms overnight into Tuesday..Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger54125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-47779383600057458742011-08-17T09:00:53.379-05:002011-08-17T09:00:53.379-05:00agreed, if we had a larger ridge that spread up to...agreed, if we had a larger ridge that spread up to norway house for example we'd be the one to see storms,and not ND. I guess It's there turn this year,and not us. Although i'd love for it to build further north before seasons end.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-54458364082542612072011-08-16T16:08:28.760-05:002011-08-16T16:08:28.760-05:00I'd like to blame it on La Nina too but I beli...I'd like to blame it on La Nina too but I believe its the ridge in NW Ont/MB.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-60935202083265765432011-08-16T15:47:49.586-05:002011-08-16T15:47:49.586-05:00We've been under a neutral (or near-neutral) p...We've been under a neutral (or near-neutral) phase for some time now (since late June or so). So really, we haven't been under the effects of El Nino or La Nina this summer.Chrisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-7864629133953949892011-08-16T15:14:03.740-05:002011-08-16T15:14:03.740-05:00what else could this pattern be explained by? Coul...what else could this pattern be explained by? Could it be the position of the LLJ which could make sense.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-9395717684955516362011-08-16T15:06:16.335-05:002011-08-16T15:06:16.335-05:00The 3 month running mean of ERSST v3b SST anomalie...The 3 month running mean of ERSST v3b SST anomalies in the Nino 3.4 region, for both AMJ and MJJ indicate ENSO-netural conditions. While atmospheric circulation may still reflect remnants of La Nina, this summer's weather in southern MB can't be explained solely by generalized La Nina weather patterns.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-37847447031250709732011-08-16T14:42:11.218-05:002011-08-16T14:42:11.218-05:00Please reply to my above comment before writing on...Please reply to my above comment before writing on the new article. I would very much appreciate it.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-8744593139568898432011-08-16T14:33:29.295-05:002011-08-16T14:33:29.295-05:00We have our share of severe weather, but it mostly...We have our share of severe weather, but it mostly depends on earth climate cycles. As with this year we have a la nina pattern which allows for hot and dry weather to occur, but it also pushes the storm track more to the south allowing for the storms to travel across the northern plains. on the odd ocassion we may get a nasty system move west to east across the prairies. Generally the most travel south of us. even Southern Ontario has the same issue we have here. They just may get more rain, not a lot. years similar to this pattern we have today were back in 2006 and 2009, to my knowledge. On the other end we have el nino which causes warmer and wetter weather as the storm track is more northerly, with that we get storm by storm by storm hit us such as what they have been seeing in north dakota. and by far the years 2005,2008,2010 stand out. so we can have bad years and good years it really depens on the summer storm track. look on the bright side it's not a official end to our summer storms we have a ton more to come over the years. Agree?Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-73713982320584848672011-08-16T14:17:53.074-05:002011-08-16T14:17:53.074-05:00It's too bad. This year has featured many syst...It's too bad. This year has featured many systems pushing across Manitoba. We've had generally a zonal flow aloft with a peristent west coast trough. You don't have to go far for a good severe weather year. North Dakota has been busy, especially sourthern sections. I can't count how many times I've seen a big storm roll through the Bismarck area whether it be an MCS or a supercell. Shift the pattern slightly north and we've all got a smile on our face. Although, too much severe weather may not be a good thing either.Dereknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-60803161245604438352011-08-16T14:17:12.576-05:002011-08-16T14:17:12.576-05:00Yeah even by now in 2006 we were getting stormsYeah even by now in 2006 we were getting stormsAdamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-11037148176285897652011-08-16T14:05:29.150-05:002011-08-16T14:05:29.150-05:00@ Derek
Yes I recall that as well.. I think the p...@ Derek<br /><br />Yes I recall that as well.. I think the pattern shifted during the late summer. I was hoping for something similar this year but so far no luck.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00949425441824069047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-82683157801267076492011-08-16T13:50:41.906-05:002011-08-16T13:50:41.906-05:00I just want to emphasise, though, that that's ...I just want to emphasise, though, that that's at a glance - '77 definitely looks like the most active, but I haven't systematically counted the hours for every single year yet. :)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-56308280864238179182011-08-16T13:49:03.374-05:002011-08-16T13:49:03.374-05:00Derek - at a glance it looks like 1977 was the mos...Derek - at a glance it looks like 1977 was the most active year, mostly due to a very unusually active May.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-64238779122139190452011-08-16T13:43:01.147-05:002011-08-16T13:43:01.147-05:00Rob!
You stated in an ealier post that our next be...Rob!<br />You stated in an ealier post that our next best chance to MISS out on storms was on Tuesday(today)!!<br /><br />That was a good one!<br />It's when we least expect it that we get rains of biblical proportions (Like they had in New York city over the past weekend with almost 8 inches of rain).<br /><br />Oh so that's where all the rain went!!!daniel Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-61963130871757325912011-08-16T13:37:18.970-05:002011-08-16T13:37:18.970-05:00Daniel,
It's been an interesting but frustrat...Daniel,<br /><br />It's been an interesting but frustrating summer to follow. I, like many of you, am a big storm fan. 2005 and 2007 are two of my favorite years in the past decade. 2005 was really the year that got me into storms.<br /><br />The comparison to 2006 is interesting. That was a hot, dry summer but I do recall August being quite busy stormwise.Dereknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-2300401068012607512011-08-16T13:31:04.501-05:002011-08-16T13:31:04.501-05:00Same pattern repeating itself again.. main shortwa...Same pattern repeating itself again.. main shortwave passing to our north and best warm advection of tropical air and LLJ split off well to the south (all the way down to the Iowa/Missouri border) as the systems hit a high pressure ridge to our east. <br /><br />The entire summer has been characterized by this split flow in which very warm, dry air associated with an upper ridge/ omega type block has been entrenched over Manitoba and NW Ontario. The deeper tropical airmasses and plains LLJ have been suppressed south.. while larger synoptic disturbances are deflected north. <br /><br />It has made for wonderful summer weather (many days in the high twenties often with tolearble humidty) but ofcourse is also causing our drought conditions. It seems similar to 2006.. wonder how many past droughts fit a similar pattern. <br /><br />We'll have to see if we can get a more unified strom track (allowing for better linkage between upper waves and LLJ) as we transition into the fall season..Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00949425441824069047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-25150063255080025972011-08-16T13:28:35.678-05:002011-08-16T13:28:35.678-05:00Anonymous,
Which year was the busiest for storms ...Anonymous,<br /><br />Which year was the busiest for storms in Winnipeg?Dereknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-2438197676080363102011-08-16T13:25:55.925-05:002011-08-16T13:25:55.925-05:00I've gone through the online records and noted...I've gone through the online records and noted all the thunderstorm hours observed at Winnipeg airport since 1953. And right now, summer 2011 is on track to being the least thundery summer in Winnipeg since then. Of course, anything can happen; though it's very unlikely, for instance, there have been instances where September sees more thunderstorms than August. (Incidentally, 1958, the year I believe is the current record-holder, didn't see its first thunderstorm until June 28th!)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-40195957793844109872011-08-16T13:24:33.256-05:002011-08-16T13:24:33.256-05:00Daniel p your comment is hilarious.
YAY I reciev...Daniel p your comment is hilarious. <br /><br />YAY I recieved 0.8mm of rain out of all that! Certainly not the first time this year I'm looking ahead in desperation for the next system to strike.Matthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12218729708560701279noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-70972288652668589122011-08-16T13:08:43.181-05:002011-08-16T13:08:43.181-05:00What gives?? That's all I have to sayWhat gives?? That's all I have to sayAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-38394118789427011642011-08-16T12:53:01.575-05:002011-08-16T12:53:01.575-05:00I'm Not complaing about the wonderful sunny su...I'm Not complaing about the wonderful sunny summer weather,we ve been having. we just need that stubborn jetstream to shift north and bring the wicked weather before the end of august. We'll survive until next years storm season if not this summer.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-55637014861596822152011-08-16T12:53:01.272-05:002011-08-16T12:53:01.272-05:00I'm Not complaing about the wonderful sunny su...I'm Not complaing about the wonderful sunny summer weather,we ve been having. we just need that stubborn jetstream to shift north and bring the wicked weather before the end of august. We'll survive until next years storm season if not this summer.Mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-69301582818953960912011-08-16T11:15:08.819-05:002011-08-16T11:15:08.819-05:00Some significant rainfall amounts overnight into t...Some significant rainfall amounts overnight into this morning from west central Manitoba into the northern Interlake with 55 mm in Roblin, over 20 mm in Dauphin, 40 mm in Ste Rose, and 20-35 mm over central and northern Interlake north of Gimli. Further south, 50-100 mm of rain with storms last night over southern ND including over 60 mm in Bismarck. In between, very little over southern MB/RRV with minor amounts (< 5 mm) in showers this morning. Unless we get some locally heavy downpours this morning, Winnipeg airport's streak of days with rainfall less than 5 mm will be 55 and counting.. remarkable for a summer season..robhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01577519556216420480noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-76256032488339864842011-08-16T10:45:38.641-05:002011-08-16T10:45:38.641-05:00Thank you Daniel P, I needed that laugh to get the...Thank you Daniel P, I needed that laugh to get the miss out of my head =)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-85676043260332524632011-08-16T10:39:35.255-05:002011-08-16T10:39:35.255-05:00I'm also interesting if JS's forecast of 5...I'm also interesting if JS's forecast of 50 gusting 70 will come to pass today. It's by far the strongest wind forecast of all the sources I've seen.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33386160.post-88356637904894477022011-08-16T10:25:58.685-05:002011-08-16T10:25:58.685-05:00*BREAKING NEWS*
There are eyewitness accounts of ...*BREAKING NEWS*<br /><br />There are eyewitness accounts of something falling from the sky in Winnipeg....What's that??? Rain???<br />Can it be....????daniel Pnoreply@blogger.com